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<p>The Catamounts and Wildcats are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Wildcats will host the game at Lundholm Gymnasium in Durham, NH. In this America East matchup, Vermont is favored by -8.5 vs. New Hampshire. The over/under for the game is 140.5 points.</p><h3>VERMONT CATAMOUNTS VS NEW HAMPSHIRE WILDCATS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: New Hampshire Wildcats +8.5</p><p>This game will be played at Lundholm Gymnasium at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE NEW HAMPSHIRE WILDCATS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Wildcats.</li><li>Not only will New Hampshire pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 142 points.</li></ul><h3>Does Vermont Have What it Takes on the Road?</h3><p>With a 24-6 record, Vermont is favored by 8.5 points over New Hampshire. The Catamounts have won six straight games, and they have gone 19-3 as the favorite this season. They have also gone 10-5 on the road, and they have won three straight road games.</p>

<p>The Catamounts' average scoring margin on the road this season is +3.9 points per game, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 road games. In their most recent game, they defeated Massachusetts-Lowell by a score of 74-62.</p><p>As the favorite, Vermont has an ATS record of 11-11 this season and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three games as the favorite. On the road, the Catamounts are 8-7 ATS this year and they have gone 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.</p><p>This season, the over/under record for Vermont games is 7-20-1 and today's line of 140.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games of 139.6. So far, 18 of their games have finished with less points than today's line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.</p><p>The Vermont offense is coming off a game where they scored 74 points against Massachusetts-Lowell. They posted a field goal percentage of 46.4% and connected on 10 threes. The top scorer for the Catamounts was Aaron Deloney with 33 points, while TJ Long also chipped in with 12 points.</p><p>This season, the Vermont defense has been impressive, holding the 11th position in the country while permitting an average of 62.8 points per contest. So far, the Vermont defense is giving up an average of 6.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.4 times per game (357th).</p><h3>Will New Hampshire Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?</h3><p>With a record of 15-13, New Hampshire is currently on a three-game losing streak. They are 7-8 in America East games, and their record in non-conference games is 8-5. On the season, the Wildcats have gone 7-4 at home, compared to 7-9 on the road.</p>

<p>For the season, New Hampshire has been the underdog in 14 of their 28 games, going 6-8 in those contests. They enter this game as 8.5-point underdogs. In their last game, they lost to Binghamton, 87-74.</p><p>As the underdog, New Hampshire has gone 9-5 vs. the spread this season. However, their ATS mark at home is just 2-9 this year and they are currently 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Over their last 10 home games, the Wildcats are just 1-9 vs. the spread.</p><p>Today's over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in New Hampshire's games this season (151.2). For the year, their over/under record is 14-12-1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points compared to their season average of 149.8 points per game.</p><p>In their latest game, New Hampshire offense put up 74 points against Binghamton. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 35.8% and made 9 threes. The New Hampshire offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 27.4 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 32% of their looks from outside this season.</p><p>So far, the Wildcats' defense is ranked 247th in the country at 75.0 points per contest. So far, the New Hampshire defense is giving up an average of 8.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.5 times per game (563rd).</p>

Vermont Catamounts vs New Hampshire Wildcats Betting Pick & Prediction 3/5/24

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This article is intended to give a sense of clarity to those who bet on, or would like to bet on, baseball. Betting on baseball does require a slightly different skill-set than betting with a point spread, but in general there are the same risk/reward consequences. The laws of probability still apply.

When we bet on a football game using a point spread we are typically paying a vigorish, or vig, of 10%. That's the number (-110) that implies a <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sports-betting-odds-how-to-win-and-beat-the-vig/"><strong>52.38 win percentage</strong></a>, or the number of bets one needs to win in order to break even.

Since baseball does not have a point spread per se, we are almost exclusively using a <a href="http://bangthebook.com/spread-moneyline-calculator/"><strong>money-line</strong></a> when we bet on a team to win.

Of course most games are not the standard -110 that people are more familiar with. When a great team with a great pitcher is playing a weak team with a weak pitcher, the money-line, or price you pay to bet on that team to win, can be as high as -300 (or higher). That means two things. First, you are risking $300 to make $100. Secondly, the win probability jumps to 75%, meaning that to keep your bankroll 100% in tact you must win 75% of those bets.

Conversely, the underdog in that scenario would only have an implied 25% chance of winning, according to the market, which as we know is all driven by money coming in on one side or the other. The upside of betting on the underdog in that scenario is that you would be risking $100 to make $300. That also implies you need only to win 25% of your bets to break even.

But wait, there's more. The bookmakers don't offer you a price of +300.  If the favorite in that scenario is -300, the best price you can generally find on the underdog is +280. Quite often some of the more recreational bookmakers might only offer you +260, which is why you hear over and over that you need to shop around, or "have more outs", to put it into gambling jargon. Bookmakers price things to their advantage, not ours.

Giving away .20 of your bet before you start is a sure way to lose money over a period of time. It's the dictionary definition of "leaving money on the table", and winning is hard enough already. Shopping for the best price is more often than not time better spent than thinking about who you're going to buy, or bet on as this case may me.

Think about it this way, especially if you're familiar with betting on football. If New England is a -3 favorite over Atlanta, the money-line, or cost to bet on the Patriots just to win, regardless of by how many, is -150. That implies a 60% win probability, meaning you've got to win 60% of the time to just break even. It doesn't sound like much more than 52.38%, but it's a staggering difference.

It's all math. If New England is a -6 favorite then betting on the Patriots to simply win the game is going to cost -300, or a $300 risk to win $100. Or, just as in the baseball example, it's an implied win rate of 75%. Of course, taking Atlanta to win the game outright is exactly the same as taking the baseball team to win that's got an implied win rate of 25% - it's only going to cost you $100 to win $280.

That's the simple answer. But, just like football or any other sport with a point spread, that number is fluid and not a static.

The market may open a baseball team at -140, or an implied win rate of 58.3%. As the money comes into the market, that number (cost) moves just as a point spread would. The bookmakers adjust the price based on their exposure, and the number could go either way, and often many times during the betting cycle. Once you've made up your mind as to what team you want to bet on, the onus is on you to find the best price. The onus is on you to anticipate what the market will or won't do.

This chart is an example of a recent betting cycle of a baseball game between Kansas City (the favorite) and the White Sox. Currently, you can buy the White Sox to win at +107, or bet $100 to make $107.

<img class="size-medium wp-image-403450 aligncenter" src="http://bangthebook.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/unnamed-300x80.png" alt="MLB Betting Lines" width="300" height="80" />

That's all well and good, but you could have had them at +124, or have bet $100 to make $124. Over the long haul, that's a lot of money to leave on the table.

Additionally, this chart is just one <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/bookmaker/"><strong>bookmaker</strong></a>. As I am writing there are options ranging from +100 at Bovada/Bodog (a very recreational bookmaker) to +107 at <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/5dimes/"><strong>5Dimes</strong></a> (another recreational bookmaker) to +105 at Pinnacle Sports, considered by many to be a very sharp, or "professional" bookmaker.

The bottom line to betting money-lines in baseball (or any sport) is that you once you've decided who you're betting on (or against) is to invest your money in the right place at the right time so as to increase the return on your investment, or, decrease the risk, depending on your perspective.

Dave Essler is a professional handicapper at Pregame, featured on ESPN, CNN, &amp; Fox Sports.

MLB Money Line Betting

<p>Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Royals (54-103, 23-56 away) against Tarik Skubal and the Tigers (74-83, 33-43 home). Today will be game two of their series, with the Tigers leading 1-0. Check out who see coming out on top in today's Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers matchup.</p><h3>KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Kansas City Royals +1.5 Runs</p><p>This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, September 27th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE KANSAS CITY ROYALS:</h3><ul><li>In their last ten games, the Royals have gone 8-2 vs. the runline.</li><li>Over their last three games on the road, Kansas City is 2-1 against the runline.</li><li>In Patrick Corbin's three most recent starts, the Royals are 2-1.</li></ul><h3>KANSAS CITY ROYALS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD</h3><p>For the season, the Royals are 54-103 and 68-89 against the runline. In the AL Central, they are in 5th place and have gone 20-30 against division opponents. On the road, Kansas City have won two straight series. The Royals' season-long over/under record sits at 76-75.</p><p>The Royals will be giving Jonathan Bowlan the nod for his first-ever MLB start. The team's pitching has been stellar of late, having yielded the seventh-lowest run total across the league over their last three outings.</p><p>Offensively, Kansas City is ranked 25th in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Royals averaged 5 runs per contest, which is 8th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Kansas City is 23rd in all of baseball, with a total of 156 home runs.</p><p>Nick Loftin has been a consistent force in the Kansas City lineup this season, boasting a .360 batting average and .500 slugging percentage. Over the Royals' last ten games, Loftin has been especially impressive, leading the team in hits with a .403 average.</p><h3>WILL THE DETROIT TIGERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?</h3><p>Heading into today's game, the Tigers are 2nd in the AL Central with an overall record of 74-83. When looking at their performance in their 51 series, Detroit is 19-26-6. Against below .500 teams, the Tigers are 44-44 while going 41-40 on the road and 33-43 at home.</p><p><p>Detroit is banking on Tarik Skubal to continue his impressive form, as he has earned a victory in four consecutive outings. His ERA stands at 2.95 and he holds a 7-3 record for the season. Skubal has tallied 94 strikeouts and is limiting opposing batters to a .199 batting average against him. Additionally, they have only managed a .299 slugging percentage when facing him.</p></p><p>Tarik Skubal earned his fourth win of the season in a 7-3 victory over the Athletics, pitching seven scoreless innings and allowing only two hits. The quality start was a major factor in the Tigers' success.</p><p>Having gone deep 3 times in their last five games, the Tigers are 10th in that span. At 4 runs per game, Detroit is 28th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .234 while hitting a total of 158 home runs (22nd).</p><p>Spencer Torkelson is the Tigers' home-run leader in 2023, with 29 round-trippers and 90 RBIs. His slugging percentage for the season stands at .442.</p>

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/27/23

<p>Betting on today's Owls and Shockers game? Catch the action at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, TX, as the Shockers hosts this showdown at 1:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this American Athletic conference contest is set at 140 points, with Wichita State being favored by -3.5 at home against Rice.</p><h3>RICE OWLS VS WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Wichita State Shockers -3.5</p><p>This game will be played at Dickies Arena at 1:00 ET on Wednesday, March 13th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Shockers.</li><li>Not only will Wichita State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.</li></ul><h3>No Pressure for Rice as Away Dogs</h3><p>Despite their losing record, Rice has been a better team on the road this season, going 5-8 compared to 6-12 at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -6.1 compared to -1.7 at home. The Owls have lost two straight games on the road and have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home.</p>

<p>As the underdog, Rice has gone 4-15 this season, and they come into this game having lost four straight games. In their last game, the Owls lost to North Texas by a score of 71-55. On the season, Rice is 11-20, including a 5-13 record in American Athletic Conference games.</p><p>As the underdog this season, Rice has gone just 6-11-2 vs. the spread. However, their ATS mark in their last 10 games as the underdog is a solid 4-5-1. On the road, the Owls have an ATS record of 7-6 this year and are 6-4 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.</p><p>Today's over/under line of 140 for Rice's game against Wichita State is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (149.2). So far, 12 of their games have finished with fewer than 140 points, including their last three games (136 average points per game in their last three contests). On the year, their over/under record is 14-16-1.</p><p>Compared to their season average of 71.7 points per game, Rice struggled in their previous game. Against North Texas, the Owls scored 55 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 37.3%. Travis Evee led the team in scoring, putting up 21 points. Additionally, Max Fiedler contributed 11 points for the Owls.</p><p>Looking at the Rice defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 75.3 points per game (258th). The Rice defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 71 points and allowed North Texas to connect on 6 threes.</p><h3>Does Wichita State Have a Shot at a Home Win?</h3><p>Wichita State enters this game with a 13-18 record, including a 5-12 mark in American Athletic Conference play. The Shockers have been much better at home this season, going 9-7 compared to 3-10 on the road.</p>

<p>As the favorite, Wichita State is 10-4 this season. In their last game, the Shockers fell to Tulane by a score of 85-75. Over their last 10 games at home, Wichita State is 4-6.</p><p>Wichita State's ATS record this season is 11-17-1, including a 7-9 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Shockers are 4-6 vs. the spread.</p><p>So far this season, the over/under record for Wichita State games is 14-15. Today's over/under line of 140 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (146.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their over/under record during that span is 2-1.</p><p>In their recent game, the Shockers' offense concluded with 75 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 72.8 points per contest. The team's scoring leader is Colby Rogers, who holds an average of 16.5 as they head into today's matchup. Additionally, Xavier Bell is averaging 11.6 points per game this season.</p><p>Wichita State's defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.1 points per game. The Wichita State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 85 points and allowed Tulane to connect on 8 threes.</p>

Rice Owls vs Wichita State Shockers Betting Pick & Prediction 3/13/24

<p>Zack Greinke gets the start for the Royals (29-73, 14-37 away) against Aaron Civale and the Guardians (49-51, 26-24 home). Today will be game two of their series, with the Royals leading 1-0. Check out who I like to see who comes out on top in today's Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians matchup.</p><h3>KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Kansas City Royals +1.5 Runs</p><p>This game will be played at Progressive Field at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, July 25th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE KANSAS CITY ROYALS:</h3><ul><li>Over their last three games as the favorite, the Guardians are just 1-2 against the runline.</li><li>The Guardians have struggled against the runline when favored of late, failing to cover in two straight times.</li><li>The Royals have gone 1-2 in Aaron Civale's last five starts.</li></ul><h3>KANSAS CITY ROYALS LOOKING FOR UPSET AS ROAD UNDERDOGS</h3><p>On an overall record of 29-73, the Royals are 5th in the AL Central. On the road, Kansas City has put together a record of 14-37 while going 15-36 at home. Against teams with below .500 records, the club has gone 15-15. Overall, the Royals have played in 31 series, going 4-25-2.</p><p><p>Today marks Zack Greinke's 20th outing of the season, and his record is currently 1-10. His ERA is 5.40, with an opposing OBP of .312. Greinke has struck out 65 batters and holds a WHIP of 1.30. On the road, his ERA is 7.84 compared to 3.75 at home.</p></p><p>Zack Greinke was handed the loss in his last start against the Tigers, as he allowed two runs on four hits in a 3-0 defeat.</p><p>Having gone deep 9 times in their last five games, the Royals are 3rd in that span. At 3.7 runs per game, Kansas City is 27th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .232 while hitting a total of 91 home runs (23rd).</p><p>Michael Massey has been a major contributor to the Royals' offense over their last ten games, leading the team with three home runs. His season-long total stands at seven long balls, while his batting average is currently .213.</p><h3>WILL THE CLEVELAND GUARDIANS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?</h3><p>Heading into today's game, the Guardians are 2nd in the AL Central with an overall record of 49-51. When looking at their performance in their 31 series, Cleveland is 14-16-1. Against below .500 teams, the Guardians are 24-24 while going 23-27 on the road and 26-24 at home.</p><p><p>Aaron Civale is making his 12th start of the season, boasting a 3-2 record and a stellar 2.71 ERA. He has held opponents to a .209 batting average, while on the road he is 1-1 with a 2.23 ERA and at home he is 2-1 with an ERA of 3.65. Teams have had difficulty hitting off him, as evidenced by their .331 slugging percentage against him this season.</p></p><p>Aaron Civale's latest start against the Pirates resulted in a 7-5 loss for the Guardians. The right-hander went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering two runs on five hits.</p><p>For the season, the Guardians are 10th in batting average, hitting a combined .253. Over their last ten games, they have hit .269 which is 5th in that span. Cleveland's average of 4.2 runs per game puts them 24th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 74 times and have a team slugging percentage of .383.</p><p>David Fry has been a key contributor to the Guardians' offensive success this season, as he leads the team with three home runs in their last five games. His batting average stands at .290, making him a reliable presence in the lineup.</p>

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 7/25/23

<p>Planning on watching today's Wildcats and Scarlet Knights game? Catch the action at Jersey Mike's Arena in Piscataway, NJ, as the Scarlet Knights hosts this showdown at 6:30 ET on BTN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 131 points, and Rutgers is favored by -3.5 to win at home against Northwestern.</p><h3>NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS VS RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -3.5</p><p>This game will be played at Jersey Mike's Arena at 6:30 ET on Thursday, February 15th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Scarlet Knights.</li><li>Not only will Rutgers pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 131 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.</li></ul><h3>Will Northwestern Be The Talk of Jersey Mike's Arena?</h3><p>Northwestern enters this game with a record of 17-7 and a two-game win streak. So far this season, they have gone 8-5 in Big Ten play and 9-2 in non-conference games. On the road, they are 2-6, and their average scoring margin is -7.1 points per game. They have lost four straight games on the road.</p>

<p>As an underdog, the Wildcats have gone 3-5 this season. Overall, they have been the underdog in eight of their 24 games. In their last outing, they defeated Penn State by a score of 68-63. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 3-7.</p><p>As the underdog this season, Northwestern has gone 4-4 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark for the year is 11-11-2. On the road, the Wildcats are 2-5-1 vs. the spread and 4-5-1 in their last 10 road games.</p><p>So far this season, the over/under record for Northwestern games is 16-8. The average over/under line in their games is 137.5 and their games are averaging 144.7 points. Today's over/under line of 131 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.</p><p>In their latest game, Northwestern offense put up 68 points against Penn State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 31.7% and made 6 threes. Boo Buie is leading the team in scoring at 18.8 points per contest. Brooks Barnhizer has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.5 going into the game.</p><p>The Wildcats' defense is presently ranked 107th nationally, allowing an average of 69.8 points per contest. The Northwestern defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 63 points and allowed Penn State to connect on 6 threes.</p><h3>Do the Scarlet Knights Stand a Chance at Home?</h3><p>After winning their last game against Wisconsin by a score of 78-56, the Scarlet Knights come into today's game with a record of 13-10. Over their last three games, Rutgers has gone 3-0, and they have won three of their last five at home. So far this season, the Scarlet Knights have gone 10-5 at home.</p>

<p>As the favorite, Rutgers has gone 9-3 this season, and they have been the favorite in 12 of their 23 games. Currently, the Scarlet Knights are favored by 3.5 points, and their average scoring margin at home is +6.5 points per game.</p><p>As the favorite this season, Rutgers has gone 6-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Scarlet Knights have gone 5-5 ATS. At home, Rutgers has an ATS mark of 8-7 this year and they are 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three home contests.</p><p>Today's over/under line of 131 for the Rutgers game against Northwestern is lower than the average OU line in their games this season (137.5). So far this year, the over/under record in their games is 7-16. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 123 points.</p><p>The Rutgers offense is coming off a game where they scored 78 points against Wisconsin. They posted a field goal percentage of 44.8% and connected on 10 threes. The team's scoring leader is Aundre Hyatt, who holds an average of 11.3 as they head into today's matchup. Additionally, Clifford Omoruyi is averaging 11 points per game this season.</p><p>Coming into today's game, the Rutgers defense is giving up an average of 65.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Rutgers' defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.3% this season.</p>

Northwestern Wildcats vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights Betting Pick & Prediction 2/15/24

<p>At 6:40 PM ET, the Reds and Royals will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -141. The money line odds for a Royals win are at +120, and the over/under line is 9.5 runs.</p>

<p>Kansas City is 66-55 this season, while the Reds come in with a record of 60-61. Michael Lorenzen is starting for the Royals, and he is facing off against Nick Martinez. Cincinnati has won four straight games and is currently 3rd in the NL Central, while the Royals are 3rd in the AL Central.</p><h3>CINCINNATI REDS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -141</p><p>This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Friday, August 16th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS REDS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Royals to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over</li></ul><h3>Royals Records & Stats</h3><p>To close out their series vs. the Twins, the Royals picked up a 4-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -113 on the money line. It was a big 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Twins could only score one run, which came in the 4th.</p>

<p>Cole Ragans put together a good start for the Royals, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Twins batters. Paul DeJong was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs.</p><p>Kansas City is 66-55 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL Central, six games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have been good against other teams in the division, going 26-13. The Royals are just under .500 on the road at 28-30.</p>

<p>The Royals lost the series to the Twins, dropping two of three games. Heading into today's game, they are 4-6 across their last 10. As the road underdog, Kansas City has gone 13-21 this year, and they are 39-23 as the favorite.</p><p>When betting the run line on the Kansas City Royals, it's important to note that their overall run line record is 67-54, and their average run margin is +0.7 runs per game. The Royals have been a better run line bet on the road (31-27) than at home (36-27), and they have been a better run line bet as an underdog (35-24) than as a favorite (32-30). Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2 runs per game.</p><p>Today, the Kansas City Royals are on the road facing the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. The Royals have an over/under record of 55-63 on the season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 5-5. This season, only 5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.</p><p>Michael Lorenzen gets the start for the Royals today as he faces his former team, the Reds. So far this season, he has made 20 starts and eight of them have been quality starts. Lorenzen's ERA for the season is 3.79, and his record is 5-6. Looking back at his last outing, Lorenzen finished with a no-decision after giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .225 off Lorenzen this season, and his ERA on the road is 7.48 compared to 3.6 at home.</p><p>So far, the Royals offense has been a top-10 unit in terms of scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Royals are batting .254, which is the 7th best mark in the league. One thing to watch is that the team's collective on-base percentage is just 28th in the league.</p>

<p>Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been the team's top power threats this season, with 22 and 24 home runs, respectively. Witt Jr. has been especially hot of late, going 14/36 (.389) with four homers over his last nine games. He also has eight runs and 10 RBIs during this stretch. Witt Jr. also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.</p><h3>Reds Records & Stats</h3><p>The Reds's offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cardinals, closing out their series with a 9-2 win. After allowing one run to the Cardinals in the top of the first, the Reds responded with four runs of their own. Cincinnati went on to add another four runs in the 3rd inning.</p>

<p>Starting for the Reds was Emilio Pagan, who picked up the win and didn't give up a run. He only lasted two innings, though, as Cincinnati's offense scored four runs in the 3rd to put things out of reach. Jonathan India went 3/5 with two homers, and TJ Friedl was 2/4 with two homers.</p><p>Cincinnati will host the Royals today with an overall record of 60-61, and they are nine games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Reds are also tied with the Cardinals for 2nd place in the division. The Reds head into today's game on a four-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with three straight wins.</p>

<p>At home, the Reds are 31-31 this season and 29-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Reds are 31-26 and 29-35 as the underdog. Cincinnati has won two straight games as the favorite. So far, their overall series record is 15-21-3.</p><p>The Reds have been a good team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 66-55 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 37-22. They have won three straight games on the run line at home, but overall they are just 29-33. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 40-24 on the run line. The average run margin in their wins is +3.8, while it is -2.9 in their losses.</p><p>Today's over/under line for the Cincinnati Reds' game against the Kansas City Royals is set at 9.5 runs. The Reds have had a combined run average of 8.5 runs in their games this season. Their over/under record for the season is 55-62, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Reds have a record of 18-9 in those games. This season, only 4.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, with a majority of their games (73.6%) having lower lines.</p><p>Cincinnati is sending Nick Martinez to the mound today vs. the Royals, and he has made 33 appearances this year, including seven starts. Martinez's ERA for the season is 3.17, along with a record of 6-5. In his 91 innings of work, he has allowed just seven homers and is averaging 0.99 walks per nine innings. The right-hander's last outing came on August 10th vs. the Brewers, where he went seven innings, giving up no earned runs and coming away with a no-decision. Before that, he had won two straight outings.</p><p>Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent hitter for the Reds this season, batting .263, and he is also 4th on the team with an on-base percentage of .346. De La Cruz's 21 homers are 15th in the league and the top mark on the team. Spencer Steer has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/22 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting just .236, but his 18 homers are 3rd on the team.</p>

<p>Overall, the Reds are 9th in the league in team home runs and are averaging 4.5 runs per game. This is also where they have been at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting just .230, which is 20th in the MLB.</p>

Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 8/16/24

<p>At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-282) will host the Golden State Warriors (+230) in a Western Pacific Division matchup. The Kings are currently favored by 7.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 228.</p>

<p>Golden State is 11th in the Western Conference with a record of 21-21, while Sacramento is 8th in the West at 22-20. The Kings have won two straight games coming into tonight's contest.</p><h3>GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Sacramento Kings -7.5</p><p>This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, January 22nd.</p><h3>WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO KINGS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 137-99 in favor of the Kings.</li><li>Our projections have De'Aaron Fox finishing with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.</li><li>From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.4% and knocking down 15 threes.</li></ul><h3>Do the Warriors Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?</h3><p>The Warriors fell to 21-21 on the season after a 125-85 home loss to the Celtics on Monday. Golden State entered the game as +9 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread, losing by 40 points. The total score of 210 points fell short of the 225-point over/under line.</p> <p>Boston took control with a 10-0 run early, extending their lead from 24-18 to 34-18. The Warriors struggled to keep up, especially in the 3rd quarter, where they were outscored 43-24. Heading into the 4th quarter, Golden State trailed 97-63, and the Celtics closed out the game by outscoring them 28-22 in the final period.</p><p>The Warriors struggled offensively in their 125-85 loss to the Celtics, shooting just 34.8% from the field. Their three-point shooting was also subpar, hitting 26.4% of their attempts, though they made 14 threes overall.</p> <p>Stephen Curry led the team with 18 points, 9 of which came in the 3rd quarter, and he connected on 4 threes at a 33.3% rate. Moses Moody added 13 points, with 5 coming in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.</p><p>The Warriors struggled defensively against the Celtics, giving up 125 points on 53% shooting. They allowed 29 points in the 1st quarter and 25 in the 2nd, but the 3rd quarter was particularly rough, with 43 points allowed. Golden State gave up 28 points in the 4th.</p> <p>Boston hit 20 threes at a 41% clip. The Warriors sent the Celtics to the line just 8 times, where they made 7 free throws. Golden State finished with 28 defensive rebounds, allowing 8 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals and 3 blocks.</p><h3>Can the Kings Deliver Being Favored at Home?</h3><p>The Kings improved to 22-20 this season with a 123-100 win over the Wizards on Sunday. Playing at home, Sacramento entered the game as -17.5 favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game came in at 223, falling short of the 236.5 O/U line.</p> <p>Sacramento took control early, leading 62-48 at halftime. Although the Wizards edged the Kings 29-28 in the 3rd quarter, Sacramento closed out strong, outscoring Washington 33-23 in the 4th.</p><p>Domantas Sabonis led the Kings to a win over the Wizards, scoring 29 points and grabbing 18 rebounds while shooting 75% from the field. DeMar DeRozan added 24 points, and Malik Monk contributed 23, hitting 3 threes at a 50% rate.</p> <p>As a team, the Kings shot 48.4% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, making 12 threes at just 30.8%. Sabonis scored 14 of his points in the 1st quarter, while Keon Ellis had a strong finish, scoring 9 points in the 3rd and 6 more in the 4th.</p><p>The Kings put on a strong defensive performance against the Wizards, allowing just 100 points on 36% shooting. They gave up 26 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 2nd, allowing only 22. The 3rd quarter saw Washington score 29, but Sacramento finished strong, holding them to 23 points in the 4th.</p> <p>Sacramento did an excellent job defending the three-point line, with the Wizards hitting just 10 threes at a 23% clip. The Kings also recorded 12 steals and 4 blocks, while giving up 10 offensive rebounds.</p>

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Betting Pick & Prediction 1/22/25

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