At 8:30 ET, the 9th-seeded Lakers (-157) will host the 10th-seeded Warriors (+131) in a Western Pacific Division matchup. The over/under line is 238.

This game will be played at Arena in Los Angeles and will be shown on ABC.


The Pick: Golden State Warriors +3.5

This game will be played at Arena at 8:30 ET on Saturday, March 16th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 118-116 in favor of the Lakers.
  • Our projections have LeBron James finishing with LeBron James points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Lakers finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and knocking down 13 threes.

Can the Golden State Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Golden State is 6-17 as the underdog this season and has lost two straight games as the underdog. As the underdog, they are 14-8 ATS on the road and 35-29 overall.

The Warriors' O/U record for the season is 31-33-1, and their games have averaged 234.9 points per game. Today's O/U line of 238 is higher than the team's season average of 232.7.

In their last game, the Warriors lost to the Mavericks by a score of 109-99. The O/U line for that game was 234 points. Golden State was getting 8.5 points in the game and did not cover the spread.

Currently, the Warriors are 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 34-31. Against the West, they are 17-23 and 5-9 in the Pacific Division. On the road, Golden State is 17-14.

On the road, the Warriors have been one of the league's top-scoring teams, averaging 118.8 points per game compared to 117.7 at home. Overall, they are 8th in the NBA in scoring at 118.2 points per game.

Golden State's offensive style is heavily reliant on three-point shooting, as they are 2nd in the league in made threes at 14.8 per game. In terms of pace, they are 8th in the NBA at 100.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, the Warriors are 16th in the league at 47%. However, they are 6th in three-point shooting at 37%.

Coming into today's game, the Warriors' defense is giving up an average of 116.7 points per contest. Golden State's defense is currently forcing 13.9 turnovers per game, which is 23rd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 27th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.3 rejections per game.

Will the Lakers Make it Happen at Home?

Today, the Lakers will look to improve their ATS record of 30-37 as 3.5-point favorites at home. They have gone 17-18 ATS at home this season and have covered the spread in their last two games at home.

As the favorite, the Lakers have a record of 23-12 this season and have gone 14-21 ATS in those games. On average, they have outscored their opponents by 3.2 points per game as the favorite.

In the Western Conference, the Lakers are in 9th place with a record of 36-31. Against the West, they are 24-22 compared to 12-9 against non-conference opponents.

The Lakers' O/U record for the season is 37-30, and their games have averaged 234.7 points per game. Today's O/U line of 238 is higher than 48 of their previous games.

Los Angeles is coming off a 120-107 loss to the Kings, where they were favored by 2.5 points. The Lakers are now 2.5 games behind the 8th seed in the West.

This season, the Lakers are 10th in the NBA in scoring at 117.1 points per game. At home, they are averaging 118.2 points per game, which is 10th in the league. In terms of field goal percentage, the Lakers are 3rd in the NBA at 49%.

Despite being 4th in pace, the Lakers are just 26th in three-point attempts and 30th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. Overall, they are 8th in two-point shooting percentage at 56%.

So far, the Lakers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.2% of their games. In terms of free throws, they are 7th in the league in makes and 6th in attempts.

On defense, the Lakers are ranked 22nd in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 58.2% of their games. In the terms of takeaways, Lakers are causing 13.2 turnovers per game, ranking 20th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 10th in rejections, averaging 5.6 blocked shots each game.