Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Buccaneers and Bulldogs. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN2, and it's hosted by the Bulldogs at Harrah's Cherokee Center in Asheville, NC. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 149 points, and Samford is favored by -10.5 vs. East Tennessee State in a Southern conference matchup.

EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS VS SAMFORD BULLDOGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +10.5

This game will be played at Harrah's Cherokee Center at 7:00 ET on Monday, March 11th.

WHY BET THE EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Even though we have Samford winning straight-up, we like East Tennessee State at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Are the Buccaneers Ready for a Win at Asheville?

East Tennessee State comes into today's game against Samford as 10.5-point underdogs. The Buccaneers have gone 6-13 this season when labeled the underdog, and they have a 19-15 overall record. ETSU's road record this year is 6-11, and they have gone 3-0 in their last three road games.

Over the last 10 games, the Buccaneers have gone 5-5 on the road. In their last game, they defeated UNCG by a score of 73-62. East Tennessee State's average scoring margin on the road this year is -4.3 points per game, and their record in Southern Conference games is 10-10.

As the underdog this season, East Tennessee State has an ATS record of 12-7 and they are 17-14 overall. On the road, the Buccaneers are 9-8 vs. the spread and they have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, ETSU has an impressive ATS mark of 8-2.

East Tennessee State has an over/under record of 17-14 this season and the average scoring total in their games is 140.2 points. Today's over/under line of 149 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (141.8). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 155 points.

Coming off their recent game, the East Tennessee State offense tallied 73 points in a matchup against UNCG. Their field goal percentage for the game was 43.3%, and they made 12 threes. Ebby Asamoah led the team in scoring, putting up 24 points. Additionally, Quimari Peterson contributed 17 points for the Buccaneers.

The Buccaneers' defense is presently ranked 97th nationally, allowing an average of 69.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. UNCG, the Spartans finished with a field goal percentage of 40% and a total of 62 points vs. East Tennessee State.

Can Samford Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Samford will look to improve on their impressive 17-0 record at home when they take on East Tennessee State. The Bulldogs have won their last three games and are 28-5 overall this season. They are also 22-2 when favored.

Samford's average scoring margin at home this season is +15.3 points per game. In their last game, they defeated Furman by a score of 84-77. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bulldogs have gone 10-0.

As the favorite this season, Samford has gone 15-9 against the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 11-6 and in their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Samford's over/under record for the season sits at 14-16 and the average scoring total in their games is 158.3 points. Today's over/under line of 149 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (155.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

In their recent matchup, the Samford offense ended with 84 points against Furman. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 54.9% and made 6 threes. The top scorer for the Bulldogs was Achor Achor with 28 points, while Jaden Campbell also chipped in with 14 points.

The Bulldogs' defense is presently ranked 230th nationally, allowing an average of 74.1 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.6 threes per game vs. East Tennessee State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.9%.