The Buccaneers and Bears are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bears will host the game at Hawkins Arena in Macon, GA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 138.5 points, and Mercer is favored by -1.5 to win at home against East Tennessee State.


The Pick: Mercer Bears -1.5

This game will be played at Hawkins Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Mercer pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can East Tennessee State Lock in a Road Win?

East Tennessee State comes into this game with a 10-11 record, including a 2-6 mark in Southern Conference play. On the road, the Buccaneers have gone just 3-8, and they are currently on a three-game losing streak at home.

For the season, East Tennessee State has been the underdog in 12 of its 21 games, going 3-9 in those contests. The Buccaneers' average scoring margin on the road is -6.6 points per game.

As the underdog, East Tennessee State has gone 7-5 vs. the spread this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-6 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have a solid 6-4 record vs. the spread.

East Tennessee State's over/under record this season is 11-8 and the average scoring total in their games is 142.8 points. Today's over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (142.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 149 points.

In their previous game, the Buccaneers' offense finished with 72 points, which is right in line with their current average of 71.7 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring was Ebby Asamoah with 15 points. Gabe Sisk also added 15 points for the Buccaneers.

Currently, the Buccaneers' defense holds the 134th rank in the nation, allowing 70.7 points per game. In today's game vs. Mercer, the East Tennessee State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, East Tennessee State made 19 free-throws vs. the Buccaneers.

Will the Bears Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

After winning their last game against UNCG by a score of 70-64, Mercer comes into this game with a record of 9-12. So far, they have gone 2-6 in Southern Conference play and 7-6 in non-conference games. At home, they are 3-4 this season, and over their last three games at Hawkins Arena, they have gone 0-3.

As the favorite, the Bears have gone 4-2 this season, and they have been favored in six of their 21 games. On the other hand, they have gone 3-9 as the underdog. So far, Mercer has gone 4-7 on the road compared to 5-5 at home.

As the favorite this season, Mercer has gone 3-2-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears are 6-3-1 ATS. At home, Mercer is 4-3 vs. the spread this year and their last 3 home ATS record is 1-2.

On the season, the over/under record for Mercer is 10-7-1 with their games averaging 140.1 points. Today's over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (139). So far, nine of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1 with an average scoring total of 145 points.

In their recent game, the Bears' offense concluded with 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 69.8 points per contest. Offensively, the Bears hold a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, placing them 244th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 197th in terms of percentage and 263rd in three-pointers made.

On the defensive side, Mercer is currently hovering around the NCAA's average for points allowed, conceding an average of 70.9 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.7 threes per game vs. East Tennessee State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.5%.