The Dukes and Flyers are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Flyers will host the game at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. The over/under for this Atlantic 10 conference contest is set at 136 points, with Dayton being favored by -8.5 at home against Duquesne.


The Pick: Duquesne Dukes +8.5

This game will be played at UD Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Flyers.
  • Even though we have Dayton winning straight-up, we like Duquesne at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Duquesne Make it Happen on the Road?

As a road underdog this season, Duquesne has gone 2-4. Over their last ten road games, the Dukes are 4-6. On the road this season, Duquesne has a record of 3-5 compared to their 10-4 home record.

Through 23 games, the Dukes have a record of 14-9. In their last game, they defeated St. Bonaventure by a score of 75-69. So far this year, Duquesne has gone 4-6 in Atlantic 10 play compared to their 10-3 non-conference record.

As the underdog, Duquesne has gone 3-3 vs. the spread this season. On the road, they have an ATS mark of 4-4 and have gone 9-13 overall. In their last three road games, the Dukes have gone 3-0 vs. the spread and are 5-5 in their last 10 road games.

This season, the over/under record for Duquesne games is 7-15. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 144.3 and the average score is 139.7. Today's over/under line of 136 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 143 points.

The Duquesne offense is coming off a game where they scored 75 points against St. Bonaventure. They posted a field goal percentage of 45.8% and connected on 6 threes. The team's top scorer is Dae Dae Grant, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 17.3, while Jimmy Clark III also maintains a PPG average of 14.9 leading up to the game.

So far this season, the Duquesne defense has been performing well, ranking 73rd in the country at 67.7 points allowed per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Duquesne's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.6% this season.

Does Dayton Have What it Takes at Home?

Dayton enters this game with a 19-4 record, including a perfect 13-0 mark at home. They are coming off a 49-47 loss to VCU, which snapped their 10-game home winning streak. On the season, the Flyers have been favored in 19 games, going 17-2 in those contests.

For the year, Dayton has outscored opponents by an average of 14.6 points per game at home compared to just +2.9 on the road. They have gone 10-2 in non-conference games and 9-2 in Atlantic 10 action.

As the favorite this season, Dayton has gone 10-9 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Flyers have an ATS mark of 5-5. At home, Dayton's ATS record is 6-7 this year and they are 2-3 vs. the spread in their last five home games.

Today's over/under line of 136 is right in line with the average over/under line in Dayton's games this season (137). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In contrast to their season average of 73.8 points per game, the Dayton had a below average performance. They scored 47 points against VCU and had a field goal percentage of 36.2%. Leading the team in scoring was Nate Santos with 19 points. DaRon Holmes II also added 12 points for the Flyers.

The Flyers' defense is presently ranked 22nd nationally, allowing an average of 64.3 points per contest. Dayton's three-point defense is currently 136th in the country at 7.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.5% of their shots vs. Dayton.