Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/17/24
Casey Mize is starting for the Tigers on Tuesday, and he is facing off against Cole Ragans for the Royals. This AL Central matchup has a first pitch time of 7:40 PM ET from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO. The forecasted temperature is 92 degrees with a clear sky.
The Royals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -168 compared to the Tigers at +142. Tuesday’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on BSKC. The Tigers come in with a record of 78-73, while the Royals are 82-69. Kansas City is currently on a two-game losing streak.
DETROIT TIGERS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline +142
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, September 17th.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Detroit rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Royals series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 7-6 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +117 on the money line.
Kansas City wasted a good outing from Seth Lugo, as he gave up just four hits and four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work for the Royals. Sam Long took the loss.
Reese Olson only went 2 1/3 innings for the Tigers but gave up just four hits and four earned runs. He didn’t factor into the decision, as Brennan Hanifee got the win out of the bullpen. Jason Foley got the save.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 78-73 overall, putting them 4th in the AL Central, nine games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Tigers have gone 25-22 against other teams in the AL Central. They have won two straight games and are 7-3 over their last 10 games overall.
As the Tigers are just above .500 at home (39-36), they have been slightly better on the road, coming in at 39-37 this season. Detroit has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 43-49 when listed as the underdog this year. The Tigers have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 23-19-5 this year.
When betting the run line on the Tigers, it’s been wise to take them as the underdog, as they are 59-33 against the run line in those games. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog and are 47-29 against the run line on the road this season. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Kansas City Royals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Tigers have a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 75-72. Their average over/under line for the season is also 8 runs per game, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 18-20-2. So far this season, 54 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 35.8% of their games, while 57 games have had lines set lower than 8 runs, which accounts for 37.7% of their games.
Casey Mize will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Rockies on September 11th, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, and six hits. Mize has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 4.47. Looking back over his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in each one. Mize has a WHIP of 1.41 and batting average allowed of .278. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.75 strikeouts and just 2.19 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This includes averaging 4.4 runs per game on the road and 4.1 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting just .235, which is 18th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .299 is also towards the bottom of the league rankings.
Riley Greene comes into the game as the Tigers’ top power threat, as his 23 home runs are the most on the team. Greene is also batting a solid .263 for the season. However, he has gone just 4/18 in his last five games. Spencer Torkelson has been hot of late, batting .444 over his last five games, but he is still looking for his first home run of the season.
Royals Records & Stats
The Royals are five games behind the Guardians in the AL Central as they host the Tigers today. Kansas City is 82-69 overall and have gone 33-17 against other teams in the AL Central. They have dropped two straight games, with the most recent loss coming in the first game of this series vs. the Tigers.
So far, the Royals have been good at home, going 45-31 this season. On the road, they are just above .500 at 37-38. As the favorite, the Royals are 47-27 this year and 30-18 as the favorite at home. Kansas City’s overall series record is 21-24-2, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line, the Royals have been a solid choice, as they have covered the run line in 85 of their 151 games. They have been especially good at home, going 43-33 against the run line, and have an average run differential of +0.7 runs per game at Kauffman Stadium.
The Kansas City Royals are playing host to the Detroit Tigers today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Royals games this season is 8.8 runs. Kansas City has an over/under record of 67-79 on the year, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Royals have a record of 15-15-3. Overall, 60.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, while 17.2% have been set at under 8 runs.
Cole Ragans is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Yankees, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Ragans has finished with a no-decision in three of his last four outings. One positive note is that he has allowed just one earned run in two of his last four outings. Ragans’ record for the season is 11-9, and he has an ERA of 3.32. Opponents are batting .209 off the left-hander this season. Out of his 30 starts, Ragans has 19 quality starts and one complete game.
Heading into today’s game, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the better hitting teams in the league, with a team batting average of .253 (6th). Kansas City also does a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 home runs are 9th in the league. He is also 3rd in the league in RBIs, with 108. Witt Jr. has gone 2/26 in his last six games, with two homers and 10 RBIs. Salvador Perez has also been a big run producer for the Royals, as he is 6th in the league with 102 RBIs.