Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 3/21/25

The Detroit Pistons (-360) are favored by 8.5 points as they head to Dallas to take on the Mavericks (+285). The over/under line for the game is set at 236 points.
This non-conference matchup will tip-off at 8:30 ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Pistons (39-31) are currently 6th in the Eastern Conference, while the Mavericks (33-37) are 11th in the West.
DETROIT PISTONS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Pistons -8.5
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Friday, March 21st.
WHY BET THE DETROIT PISTONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 124-79 in favor of the Pistons.
- Our projections have Cade Cunningham finishing with 25 points, 6 rebounds and 9 assists.
- From the field, we have the Pistons finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.5% and knocking down 14 threes.
Will Detroit Come Through as Road Favorites?
Detroit improved to 39-31 with a 116-113 win over Miami on Wednesday. Despite being favored by 4.5 points, the Pistons didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 229 exceeded the over/under line of 216.
After trailing 32-22 after the 1st quarter, Detroit turned things around by outscoring Miami 36-28 in the 2nd. They entered the 4th quarter down 93-88 but held the Heat to 20 points in the final period while scoring 28 to secure the win.
Cade Cunningham led the Pistons to a win over the Heat, recording a triple-double with 25 points, 11 assists, and 12 rebounds, hitting 3 threes at a 75% rate. Malik Beasley added 16 points, connecting on 5 threes at 50% efficiency.
Detroit shot 50.5% from the field and 39.1% from beyond the arc, making 9 threes in total. Jalen Duren contributed 15 points and 11 rebounds, with 8 points coming in the 2nd quarter.
Defensively, the Pistons gave up 113 points to the Heat, who shot 48% from the field. Detroit allowed 32 points in the 1st quarter and 33 in the 3rd but tightened up in the 4th, giving up just 20 points to secure the win.
The Pistons limited Miami to 10 made threes on 31% shooting from deep. The Heat went 15/18 from the free-throw line. Detroit finished with 34 defensive rebounds, allowed 11 offensive boards, and recorded 10 blocks.
Do the Mavericks Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?
Dallas fell to 33-37 on the season after a 135-131 road loss to the Pacers on Wednesday. The Mavericks, who were +10.5 point underdogs, kept it close, losing by just four points. The total score of 266 points was well over the O/U line of 227.5.
After a slow start, with Dallas trailing 33-21 after the 1st quarter, they battled back, outscoring Indiana 34-22 in the 3rd quarter to take a 91-90 lead into the 4th. However, the Pacers edged them out in the final quarter, 45-40.
In their 135-131 loss to the Pacers, the Mavericks shot 54.5% from the field and hit 40.7% of their three-pointers, making 11 from beyond the arc. P.J. Washington led Dallas with 26 points, scoring 13 in the 2nd quarter and 11 more in the 4th.
Jaden Hardy added 24 points, with 8 coming in the final period. Naji Marshall contributed 20 points, scoring 9 in both the 3rd and 4th quarters. Spencer Dinwiddie also had a big 3rd quarter, scoring 10 of his 17 points in that frame.
Defensively, the Mavericks struggled against the Pacers, giving up 135 points on 54% shooting. Their best effort came in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed just 22 points, but they gave up 45 points in the 4th. Indiana hit 16 threes at a 45% clip.
Dallas sent the Pacers to the line 37 times, where they converted 29 free throws. The Mavericks gave up 6 offensive rebounds while recording 6 steals but failed to register a block.