Detroit Lions vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Pick & Prediction 12/30/24

ABC will broadcast this week 17 NFC matchup between the Lions and 49ers, which kicks off at 8:15 ET. The Lions are favored on the road with a point spread of -3.5 and a money line of -196. The 49ers, the home team, have a money line of +164 and the over/under line is set at 50.5 points. The game is being played at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA.

DETROIT LIONS VS SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco 49ers +3.5

This game will be played at Levi’s Stadium at 8:15 ET on Monday, December 30th.

WHY BET THE SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS:

• We have the 49ers winning this one by a score of 25 to 19
• Not only do we have the 49ers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 50.5 points

Will The Lions Win As Road Favorites?

With a 13-2 record, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 76.3% chance of winning the NFC North. They bounced back from their week 15 loss to the Bills by beating the Bears 34-17 in week 16, covering the 6.5-point spread. The O/U line was 47.5, and the teams combined for 51 points.

Detroit has an average scoring margin of +12.9 points per game and is 10-4-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-6-1, with the over hitting in three straight games.

Heading into week 17, the Lions are 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 32.9 points per game, and are 2nd in passing yards per game (264.7) despite ranking 15th in pass attempts. Detroit also ranks 6th in rushing yards per game (143.9) on 31.3 attempts per contest.

Jared Goff has been on fire, posting a passer rating of 136 in week 16, with 336 yards and 3 touchdowns on 23/32 passing. He threw for 494 yards and 5 touchdowns in week 15 and had 283 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 14. Jameson Williams led the team in receiving in week 16, with 5 catches for 143 yards.

In their 34-17 win over the Bears, the Lions’ defense gave up 323 passing yards on 26 completions. Chicago had a tough time running the ball, with just 59 yards on 17 attempts. Despite allowing 382 total yards, Detroit’s defense limited the Bears to a 20% third-down conversion rate.

The Lions’ defense recorded two sacks and had two more quarterback hits than the Bears. Chicago did find the endzone twice through the air, with the Lions allowing two passing touchdowns.

Are The 49ers Going Win In At Upset At Levi’s Stadium

Heading into week 17, the 49ers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 29-17 loss to the Dolphins in week 16. San Francisco was favored by 1.5 points in that game but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 6-9. Despite their record, the 49ers rank 9th in our NFL power rankings, but their playoff chances are now at 0.0%.

Against the spread, the 49ers are 5-10 this season, with an average scoring margin of -1.2 points per game. They are 5-8 ATS as favorites and 0-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-7, with their games averaging 45.3 points compared to an average line of 46.3.

Heading into week 17, the 49ers rank 16th in the NFL with 22.1 points per game and 8th in total yards, averaging 365.7 per contest. They are 21st in passing attempts but 7th in passing yards, with 235.7 per game. On the ground, they rank 13th in rushing attempts and 10th in rushing yards, averaging 130 per game. San Francisco is 10th in 3rd-down conversions and 7th in red zone attempts, but they sit 21st in red zone conversion percentage.

Brock Purdy threw for 313 yards (26/40) with 2 touchdowns and an interception in week 16 against Miami. George Kittle had 8 catches for 106 yards, and Purdy led the team in rushing with 26 yards on 4 carries. Before that, the 49ers scored just 6 points in week 15, with Purdy posting a passer rating of 45 against the Rams.

San Francisco’s defense struggled to stop the run in their 29-17 loss to the Dolphins, giving up 166 yards on the ground across 30 attempts. They also allowed 215 passing yards, with Miami completing 64.7% of their passes. The 49ers’ inability to generate pressure was evident, as they failed to record any sacks and finished with a -5 differential in quarterback hits.

Despite their struggles, the 49ers did manage to hold Miami to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. Overall, the defense had a tough time slowing down the Dolphins’ offense, as they allowed 381 total yards in the game.