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The Flyers and Dukes are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The Dukes will host the game at UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse in Pittsburgh, PA. The odds for this Atlantic 10 conference game currently have the Dukes as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 139 points.

DAYTON FLYERS VS DUQUESNE DUKES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Duquesne Dukes -1.5

This game will be played at UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse at 7:00 ET on Friday, January 12th.

WHY BET THE DUQUESNE DUKES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Dukes.
  • Not only will Duquesne pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for Dayton?

Dayton comes into this game with a record of 12-2, including a perfect 9-0 mark at home. However, on the road, the Flyers are just 3-2, compared to their 9-0 record at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +13.8, compared to -0.2 on the road.

Over their last 10 road games, Dayton has gone 6-4, and they are currently on a two-game road winning streak. As the underdog this season, the Flyers have gone 2-2.

As the underdog, Dayton has gone 2-1-1 vs. the spread this season and 5-4-1 over their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Flyers are 3-1-1 vs. the spread this year and 6-3-1 over their last 10 road games. Overall, Dayton's ATS record is 7-6-1 this season.

So far this season, the over/under record for Dayton games is 8-6 and the average scoring total in their games is 138.2 points. Today's over/under line of 139 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (135.8). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 133 points.

In contrast to their season average of 73.5 points per game, the Dayton had a below average performance. They scored 64 points against Massachusetts and had a field goal percentage of 38.3%. Offensively, the Flyers have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 80th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 27th in percentage and 26th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today's game, the Dayton defense is giving up an average of 64.7 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Dayton's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.9% this season.

Can the Dukes Pull Off a Home Win?

After losing their last three games, Duquesne is 9-5 overall and 0-2 in Atlantic 10 play. The Dukes are 7-1 at home this season and have won four straight games at home.

For the year, Duquesne has been favored in 10 of its 14 games, going 7-3 in those contests. As the favorite, the Dukes are 8-2 at home.

When looking at Duquesne's ATS record this season, they have gone 4-9. At home, their ATS mark is 3-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Dukes have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Duquesne sits at 5-8, and today's OU line of 139 is lower than the average OU line in their games this season (147.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points, and in their last 10 games, their OU record is 2-7.

The Duquesne offense is coming off a game where they scored 67 points against Loyola Chicago. They posted a field goal percentage of 39.4% and connected on 6 threes. Offensively, the Dukes hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 278th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 192nd in terms of percentage and 92nd in three-pointers made.

Coming into today's game, the Duquesne defense is giving up an average of 69.2 points per contest. Duquesne's three-point defense is currently 87th in the country at 6.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. Duquesne.