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<p>First pitch for this NL matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets is set for 1:40 PM ET at Citi Field in New York, NY. The Mets are currently favored in this one, with a money line payout of -126 compared to +105 for the Brewers.</p>

<p>MLBN will be providing television coverage for this one. On the mound, we have DL Hall for the Brewers facing off against Luis Severino for the Mets. The over/under line is currently set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -107 compared to -114 for the under.</p><h3>MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +105</p><p>This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Saturday, March 30th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS METS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4</li><li>If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>The Mets and Brewers played a low-scoring game in the previous matchup of this series, with the Brewers coming out on top by a score of 3-1. Despite only getting one hit, the Mets hit one home run, while the Brewers went deep one time as well.</p>

<p>Christian Yelich was the only Brewers hitter to go deep, while Starling Marte hit a home run for the Mets. However, the lack of offense from the Mets can be attributed to their 10 strikeouts, compared to just seven for the Brewers.</p>

<p>Freddy Peralta got the win for the Brewers, going six innings and giving up just one hit. He finished with eight strikeouts. Jose Quintana took the loss, giving up two earned runs on six hits. Abner Uribe picked up the save for Milwaukee.</p><h3>Brewers Records & Stats</h3><p>Coming off a season in which he made 18 appearances but no starts, DL Hall is set to take the mound for the Brewers against the Mets. Last year, Hall went 3-0 with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.19. His batting average allowed was .231, and he gave up two home runs. Hall's FIP for the season was 3.00, and he averaged 0.3 walks per game. His strikeouts per walk ratio was 4.6.</p><p>When looking at the Brewers' home run projections today, Rhys Hoskins has the highest odds to hit one out of the park for Milwaukee. His home run projection is 11th best in the league today. Christian Yelich's home run projection is 15th best in the league. If you're looking for a long shot, William Contreras has the 18th best odds in the league to hit a home run. As far as total hits go, William Contreras has the 2nd highest total on the Brewers today.</p><h3>Mets Records & Stats</h3><p>Coming off a season in which he made 18 starts, Luis Severino is set to take the mound against the Brewers. Last season, Severino went 4-8 with an ERA of 6.65. The right-hander's WHIP was 1.65, and he allowed a batting average of .288. In terms of quality starts, Severino had five, and he averaged 7.96 strikeouts per nine innings. Severino's FIP was 6.14, and he allowed a total of 23 home runs.</p><p>When it comes to the Mets' offensive projections, Pete Alonso is the player to watch, as he has the highest home run projection on the team and the 8th best in the league today. Brandon Nimmo has the highest total hits projection for the Mets, while DJ Stewart has the 2nd best odds on the team to hit a home run, with the 10th best odds in the league today. Jeff McNeil is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 20th best in today's slate of games.</p>

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 3/30/24

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<p>Looking to win big? The Bearkats and Bears face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bears are hosting the game at Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 148 points, and Baylor is favored by -15 vs. Sam Houston.</p><h3>SAM HOUSTON BEARKATS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Sam Houston Bearkats +15</p><p>This game will be played at Foster Pavilion at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, November 12th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE SAM HOUSTON BEARKATS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-68 in favor of the Bears.</li><li>Even though we have Baylor winning straight-up, we like Sam Houston at +15.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 148 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.</li></ul><h3>Will the Bearkats Defense Show Up on the Road?</h3><h3>Sam Houston Bearkats Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>Sam Houston picked up a decisive 91-62 win over Tarleton State on Saturday, November 9th. The Bearkats, who were -5.5 favorites, covered the spread with ease. The game’s total points hit 153, surpassing the O/U line of 144.5.</p> 

<p>Sam Houston led 47-34 at halftime and continued their strong play in the 2nd half, scoring 44 points while holding Tarleton State to 28 points.</p><p>Sam Houston's offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 91 points with a field goal percentage of 48.4%. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 59.7%, thanks largely to their 53.8% shooting from beyond the arc, where they hit 14 of 26 attempts.</p> <p>The Bearkats also dominated the offensive glass, pulling down 19 offensive rebounds and dishing out 20 assists. Bubu Benjamin led the way with 17 points and 10 rebounds, while Dorian Finister and Lamar Wilkerson each added 15 points, with Wilkerson hitting 3 of 4 from deep.</p><p>Sam Houston's defense held their opponent to 62 points, allowing them to shoot 43% from the field on 25 of 57 attempts. Inside the arc, the opposing team managed to hit 21 of 45 shots, good for 46% shooting.</p> <p>From three-point range, the Bearkats limited their opponent to just 4 made threes on 12 attempts, a 33% shooting performance. Sam Houston also sent them to the free-throw line 19 times, where they converted 8 of those attempts, shooting 42%.</p><h3>Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Baylor?</h3><h3>Baylor Bears Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>The Bears picked up a 72-67 win over the Razorbacks on Saturday, November 9th. Baylor, who were -4 favorites, covered the spread with the victory.</p> 

<p>Baylor led 42-33 at halftime but were outscored 34-30 in the 2nd half. The total points for the game were 139, falling under the O/U line of 155.</p><p>Adou Thiero led the way for Baylor with 24 points on 10-of-15 shooting, including 2-of-4 from three-point range, and added 6 rebounds in their latest game. Boogie Fland contributed 17 points and 7 assists, hitting 3-of-5 from deep, while Jayden Nunn added 16 points, connecting on 4-of-7 from beyond the arc.</p> <p>Baylor shot 46.6% from the field, with a 51.7% effective field goal percentage. They hit 58.8% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from three, shooting just 29.2% (7-of-24). The Bears also made 11-of-17 free throws (64.7%) and grabbed 9 offensive rebounds, finishing with 12 assists as a team.</p><p>Despite Baylor's defensive struggles, they managed to hold the opposing team to 67 points. The Bears allowed their opponents to shoot 46% from the field, including 58% from two-point range, where they hit 20 of 34 attempts.</p> <p>Baylor's defense did a better job on the perimeter, limiting the opposing team to 29% shooting from three-point range, with just 7 made threes on 24 attempts. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 17 times, where they converted 11 free throws for 64%.</p>

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Baylor Bears NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/12/24

There are a lot of misconceptions out there about sports betting. A lot of people that watch sports pick up a sportsbook account and think, “How hard can it be?” Well, it’s not easy. Realistic expectations can go a long way. This is not a get-rick-quick scheme. It is a long-term grind. It is something that requires a lot of discipline and <a href="http://bangthebook.com/money-management-and-sports-betting/"><strong>bankroll management</strong></a>.

We’ve all heard the stories about those lottery ticket 12-team parlays that pay out exorbitant amounts of money. The reality is that those are extremely rare. For many handicappers, money like that is not going to come along anytime soon. In terms of win percentages and <strong>what it takes to show a profit</strong>, that all depends on your average vigorish, also known as “vig” or “juice”. The vig is the number listed after the spread or the specific price on the money line. It is a way for the books to create an edge. If sportsbooks simply paid out even money on everything, they could take a beating if action was really heavy on one side and not the other in a money line sport.

The ultimate goal of the <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/"><strong>sportsbook</strong></a> on every game is to have a balanced level of action that they are comfortable with on each side. For money line sports, they move around the prices, possibly moving from -125 to -130 on a favorite. For spread sports, they can move the actual game spread or they can adjust the vig.

Most spreads adhere to the standard vig of -110. With a -110 line, bettors will win $1 for every $1.10 that they bet. For example, a $110 bet will return $100. A $100 bet will return about $91. Think of it like the House Edge in blackjack, roulette, craps, or any of the other casino games. It’s a way for the house to limit its own exposure on a game. The concept is the same at -115, where a bettor will win $100 for every $115 wagered.

For money line wagers, the vig is the price that you price. Books use the vig to account for the differences between the two teams. If you could pick the Cleveland Cavaliers against the Brooklyn Nets with no vig, sportsbooks would get decimated by having to pay out on the Cavaliers more often than not. Instead, sportsbooks can set a line, like -400 on the Cavs, where you would win $100 for every $400 that you bet.

The amount that you pay in vig will change the percentage of success that you need to break even. At the standard -110 vig for a regular spread bet, the break-even percentage is 52.38 percent. You would have be on the correct side more than 52.38 percent of the time to make money if you were betting the same amount on every game. If you took an added vig price of -115, you would need a 53.49 percent success rate to break even. The break-even rate changes with every variation to the vig.

In money line sports, some bettors have no problem betting -150 favorites. To break even betting -150 favorites, you need a success rate of 60 percent. In the above example with the Cavaliers and the Nets, assuming a -400 money line price, you would need an 80 percent success rate to break even.

Based on this concept of vig, let’s assume 10 bets, made with the idea of winning a $100 profit:

Team A -3 (-110) WIN

Team B +7 (-115) LOSS

Team C -175 WIN

Team D -215 LOSS

Team E -6 (-110) WIN

Team F +1 (-110) WIN

Team G +110 WIN

Team H -350 LOSS

Team I -115 WIN

Team J +125 WIN

Out of these 10 bets, you have a 7-3 record. If we assume a wager to win $100 on each bet, the total amount bet is $1500. The amount won is $735. The amount lost is $680. You went 7-3 on your bets, but you only made a profit of $55 out of $1500 worth of bets. Why? Because of the vig. You lost a -350 play and a -215 play. That was a combined loss of $565.

Professional handicappers shoot for numbers in the 55 to 56 percent range over the long-term on spread wagers. Anything better than that is a very good living. Anything in the 53 to 54 percent range is very decent. Anything below is barely breaking even or worse. It’s still called gambling. There’s a lot of variance in sports outcomes.

The formula for determining your break-even percentage for a negative money line is:

Vig / (Vig-100)

-110 / (-110-100)

-110/-210 (dividing (or multiplying) two negatives makes a positive)

52.38%

The formula for determining your break-even percentage for a positive money line is:

100 / (Vig+100)

100 / (110+100)

+100 / +210

47.62%

These are important mathematical concepts that can help your bottom line, so be sure to keep them in mind with every bet you make.

Sports Betting Odds: How to Win and Beat the Vig

<p>At 9:00 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-341) will travel to Salt Lake City to take on the Utah Jazz (+269). The Mavericks are favored by 8 points and have won three straight games. The Jazz have lost five straight and are 12th in the Western Conference.</p>

<p>This Western Conference matchup can be seen on KJZZ.</p><h3>DALLAS MAVERICKS VS UTAH JAZZ BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Dallas Mavericks -8</p><p>This game will be played at Delta Center at 9:00 ET on Monday, March 25th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-108 in favor of the Mavericks.</li><li>Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.</li><li>From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.1% and knocking down 16 threes.</li></ul><h3>Will Dallas Come Through as Road Favorites?</h3><p>The Mavericks are favored by 8 points in today's game against the Jazz. This season, Dallas has been favored in 42 of their 70 games and has a record of 31-11 as the favorite. The team has won their last six games as the favorite, and they are 26-16 against the spread as the favorite.</p>

<p>Dallas' O/U record for the season is 34-36, and the under has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 235.7 points, which is higher than today's O/U line of 234.5.</p>

<p>In their most recent game against the Jazz, the Mavericks won by a score of 113-97. They were favored by 14.5 points in that game and covered the spread. The teams combined for 210 points, which was below the O/U line of 236.5.</p>

<p>Currently, the Mavericks are 8th in the Western Conference with a record of 41-29. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 25-19 and 9-5 against teams in the Southwest Division.</p>

<p>This season, the Mavericks are 39-31 against the spread and have covered in three straight games. On the road, they have an ATS record of 21-12 compared to 18-19 ATS at home.</p><p>When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks are one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 118.6 points per game, which is 6th in the NBA. They have been even better at home, averaging 119.3 points per game.</p>

<p>So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60% of their games. However, they have scored less than their own scoring average in their last three games.</p>

<p>When it comes to pace, the Mavericks are 11th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Dallas is 11th in the league at 48%.</p><p>On defense, the Mavericks are ranked 22nd in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 61.4% of their games. Opponents are hitting 55.5% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they're also connecting on 36.6% of their three-point attempts.</p><h3>Will the Utah Defense Show Up at Home?</h3><p>As the underdog, the Jazz are looking to snap a five-game losing streak. Utah has been the underdog in 53 of their 71 games this season and has an ATS record of 25-28 as the underdog. Today, they are getting 8 points against the Mavericks.</p>

<p>In their last game, the Jazz lost to the Rockets by a score of 147-119. The O/U line for that game was 227.5 points. Utah was getting 10.5 points in that game, and the loss moved their overall record to 29-42.</p>

<p>Currently, the Jazz are 12th in the Western Conference and have gone 14-28 against other teams in the West. In the Northwest Division, they are in 4th place.</p>

<p>This season, Utah has an O/U record of 38-31-2, and their games have averaged 237.7 points per game. Today's O/U line is set at 234.5 points.</p>

<p>Utah is 37-34 ATS this season and has failed to cover the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 22-13 ATS compared to 15-21 ATS on the road.</p><p>When playing at home, the Jazz are one of the top scoring teams in the league, averaging 121.5 points per game (6th). Overall, they are 11th in scoring at 116.8 points per game. In terms of pace, Utah is 9th in the NBA (99.8).</p>

<p>So far this season, the Jazz have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.6% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Utah is 18th in the league at 46%. They are also 14th in two-point shooting percentage (54%).</p>

<p>From beyond the arc, the Jazz are 12th in three-point makes per game (13). However, they are only shooting 35% from three, which is 20th in the NBA. In terms of free throws, Utah is 5th in makes (18.8) and 11th in attempts (22.7).</p><p>On defense, the Jazz are ranked 28th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 66.2% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the Jazz's defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.8% and allowing 39.6% from beyond the arc.</p>

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Betting Pick & Prediction 3/25/24

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