Making on a bet on this NBA game featuring the Mavericks versus the Timberwolves? Tip off is at at 8:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on BSNX. The game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN. This Western conference matchup has an over/under of 227.5 points, and the Timberwolves are favored to win at home vs. the Mavericks.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +10

This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, December 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 119-111 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.6% and knocking down 16 threes.

Can Dallas Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

So far, the Mavericks have been the underdog in 11 of their 31 games and have an underdog record of 3-8. When playing on the road, Dallas is 10-6 compared to going 8-7 at home.

When looking at their over/under record, the over has gone 19-12 in their games. The average over/under line in their games this season is 234, and their games have averaged 236.6 points.

Today's over/under line of 227.5 is lower than their average over/under line this year. Dallas has an over/under mark of 2-3 in games with a lower over/under line than today's line.

In their last game, the Mavericks fell to the Cavaliers by a score of 113-110. Dallas was favored by 6.5 points going into the game and did not cover the spread. The over/under line for the game was 232 points.

When comparing to their season average of 119 points per game, the Mavericks had a subpar performance. Against the Cavaliers, they scored 110 points while shooting 44.3% from the field. In their most recent game, Luka Doncic led the team with 39 points while Seth Curry chipped in 19 points.

Facing Minnesota, the Mavericks aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 117.6 points allowed per game (21st). The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.5% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.

Can the Timberwolves Pull Off a Home Win?

At 22-7, the Timberwolves are in 1st place in the Western Conference and are favored by 10 points at home vs. the Mavericks. So far, they have gone 12-1 at home and 18-3 as the favorite.

Minnesota has also been the favorite in each of their last ten wins. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +11.9 points per contest. Against the spread, they are 8-5 at home and 11-9 overall.

When playing teams outside of their division, the Timberwolves are 7-3 and have gone 15-4 vs. other teams in the West. Minnesota's road vs. home scoring differential is +10.8 points.

Minnesota's over/under record for the season is 16-13. For the year, their games have had an average over/under line of 223.2 and an average of 220.6 points per game.

In their last game, the Timberwolves lost to the Thunder by a score of 129-106. The over/under line in that game was 231 points, and they were 1.5-point underdogs going into the matchup.

In their most recent game, the Timberwolves put up 106 points against the Thunder. In that game, they went 12/27 from three-point range and shot 46.6% from the field. On the season, the Timberwolves have been averaging 31.5 three-point attempts per game. Overall, they are shooting 48% from the field while averaging 98.1 possessions per game.

Minnesota's defense has been playing well, ranking 1st in the NBA with 107.3 points allowed per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Timberwolves defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 51.2% while allowing 34.1% from downtown.