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Heading into game three of this National League matchup, it will be Wade Miley on the mound for the Brewers (76-59, 40-27 home), facing off against the Phillies (74-61, 33-35 away) and Ranger Suárez. Find out my prediction for today's Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers game in Milwaukee.<h3>PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK</h3>The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 RunsThis game will be played at American Family Field at 1:05 ET on Sunday, September 3rd.<h3>WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:</h3><ul><li>As the road underdog, the Phillies' runline win streak stands at three games.</li><li>The Brewers have struggled against the runline when favored of late, failing to cover in two straight times.</li><li>Over his last five starts, Ranger Suárez has an ERA of just 2.48.</li></ul><h3>PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL EAST</h3>Entering with a record of 74-61, the Phillies are in 2nd place in the NL East and are losers of three straight games. So far, they have a road win percentage of 48.5% compared to 61.2% at home. Philadelphia's overall series record stands at 24-16-3.Ranger Suárez has made 17 appearances this season, with a 2-6 record and an ERA of 3.88. His WHIP is 1.43 and he has allowed an OBP of .327. In his last two outings, Suárez has given up a home run each time. He currently holds a strikeout to walk ratio of 89/35.Ranger Suárez's most recent outing was a quality start against the Twins, where he pitched 6 1/3 innings, allowing six hits and two earned runs.Having gone deep 12 times in their last five games, the Phillies are 1st in that span. At 4.9 runs per game, Philadelphia is 9th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .259 while hitting a total of 177 home runs (10th).Over the past ten games, Trea Turner has been a powerful force for the Phillies, leading the team with six home runs. His season-long total now stands at an impressive 21 long balls, while his overall batting average is .260.<h3>WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?</h3>Throughout the season, the Brewers have taken advantage of playing at home, posting a series record of 12-7 at American Family Field. Their overall record of 76-59 puts Milwaukee 1st in the NL Central. Against the runline, their overall record is 64-71 and 28-39 at home. This year's Brewers' games have an over/under record of 61-70.Wade Miley has been impressive in his 18 outings this season, boasting a 7-3 record and 3.17 ERA. However, he has surrendered a home run in each of his last four appearances. His WHIP is currently 1.14 and opponents have an OBP of .282 against him. Additionally, Miley's strikeout to walk ratio stands at 60/27.Milwaukee is counting on Wade Miley to lead them to another victory, as he helped them defeat the Cubs 6-2 in his last outing. He allowed two earned runs on four hits over six innings of work.For the season, the Brewers' offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game. Over their last ten games they have swung the bats well, sitting 5th in the league in scoring, with a total of 59 runs. Overall, Milwaukee's team batting average is .236, putting them 18th in the MLB.Christian Yelich has been the Brewers' top hitter this season, boasting a .278 batting average. He currently holds a .442 slugging percentage and a .366 on-base percentage.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/3/23

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The Dallas Mavericks (39-26; 34-28-3 ATS) have never swept the Spurs in the regular season, but that could change Tuesday night when they meet San Antonio for the fourth and last time this term. In their first two encounters of the season, the Mavs beat the Spurs 117-110 as 4.5-point home favorites and 102-98 as 8-point home favorites. Back in February, the Mavs outlasted the Spurs 109-103 as 4-point road favorites.

Injuries/Suspensions

The Mavericks are without Jalen Brunson (shoulder), Seth Curry (ankle), Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (illness), Willie Cauley-Stein, and Dwight Powell (Achilles), while Luka Doncic (wrist) and Dorian Finney-Smith (hip) are listed as questionable. The Spurs miss Jakob Poeltl (knee), Dejounte Murray (calf), and Lonnie Walker (shin), while LaMarcus Aldridge is doubtful to play due to a shoulder injury.

The Line

The visitors opened as 3.5-point favorites with a total of 227.0 points at <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/betonline/">Betonline</a>, <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/5dimes/">5Dimes</a>, and <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/betdsi/">BetDSI</a>. This could easily change if Luka Doncic doesn’t suit up for tonight’s clash.

What's at Stake?

The Spurs are in a difficult situation, trailing five games behind No. 8 seed in the West. The Mavericks sit at the seventh spot of the Western Conference standings, a game behind the sixth-seeded Houston Rockets and only 2.5 games behind the fourth-seeded Utah Jazz.

The Spot

Dallas is coming off a 112-109 home loss to the Indiana Pacers this past Sunday. The Mavericks have won five of their last eight games overall, while they haven’t dropped two straight contests since February 7. On the other side, the Spurs have just finished a three-game road trip with a 132-129 overtime loss in Cleveland. They’ve won only two of the previous seven games overall.

The Matchup

The Mavericks have a unique opportunity to sweep the Spurs. Before they beat San Antonio three times this season, the Mavs have lost 15 of their previous 17 encounters with the Spurs. Still, the Mavs are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 contests against San Antonio.

In their previous meeting the Spurs on February 26, the Mavs had a double-digit lead for most of the game, but they allowed the Spurs to cut the deficit late in the fourth quarter and even took a one-point lead with 6:16 left on the clock. However, Kristaps Porzingis, Seth Curry, and Luka Doncic hit a 3-pointer each to lift their team over the Spurs.

Dallas is still leading the league in points scored per 100 possessions (116.8). The Mavs are making 46.3% of their field goals (13th in the league) and 36.9% of their 3-pointers (8th). Dallas takes the second-most 3-point attempts per 100 possessions (41.6). The Spurs score 111.8 points per 100 possessions (12th) on 46.9% shooting from the field (9th) and 37.0% from beyond the arc (7th).

On the other side of the ball, both teams have some serious problems, especially the Spurs who’s been struggling defensively all season long. San Antonio allows 113.7 points per 100 possessions (26th) on 47.0% shooting from the field (21st) and 37.6% from downtown (26th). The Mavericks surrender 110.7 points per 100 possessions (17th) on 45.3% shooting from the field (12th) and 34.3% from beyond the 3-point line (5th).

The Bets

The Spurs will have a tall task to avoid another loss to the Mavs, especially if Luka Doncic takes the court. They lost Dejounte Murray and LaMarcus Aldridge will almost certainly remain sidelined. Therefore, if Luka Doncic suits up, I suggest you go with the Mavericks to cover. The Spurs’ defense is horrible and will struggle to cope with the Mavs’ fluid offense.

When it comes to the totals, I would go with the over even though the under has hit in five of the previous six encounters between these two Southwest Division foes. I’ve mentioned how bad the Spurs are defensively, while the Mavericks also have serious issues. The over is 11-5 in Dallas’ last 16 games overall, and it is 10-3 in San Antonio’s previous 13 outings.

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs NBA Expert Betting Picks 3/10/20

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