On Sunday, January 7th, the Commanders are hosting the Cowboys at FedEx Field. This week 18 NFL matchup kicks off at 4:25 ET with FOX carrying the television coverage. i


The Pick: Washington Commanders +13

This game will be played at FedEx Field at 4:25 ET on Sunday, January 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 23-21 in favor of the Cowboys.
  • Our projections have Dak Prescott finishing with 259.368 passing yards on 20.873/34.034 passing.
  • The Cowboys are projected to finish with 340 yards of offense compared to the 326 yards for the Commanders.

Do the Cowboys Stand a Chance in Landover?

With a record of 11-5, the Cowboys head into their week 18 matchup with Commanders in 1st place in the NFC-East. So far, they have gone 3-5 on the road and 8-0 at home. The Cowboys' have a scoring margin of +10.4 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 9-7.

The Cowboys come in with an average 29.4 points per game on offense, which has them 3rd in the NFL. Dallas' passing offense enters this week's game with a ranking of 4th in passing yards. Furthermore, they hold the 9th spot in attempts, averaging 35.9 passes per game.

On a per-attempt basis, the Cowboys average 4.1 yards while carrying the ball an average of 27.4 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 14th in the league.

The Dallas defense has 23 takeaways this season, positioning them 7th in the NFL. Overall, they are at 19.1 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 307.2 yards.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen at Home?

At home, the Commanders have a record of 1-6 this season and are 4-12 overall. When looking at the standings, Washington is 14th in the NFC and 4th in the NFC-East. On the road, Washington has gone 3-6 thus far. The Commanders have a 6-9-1 ATS record so far. As we enter week 18, their scoring margin per game is -10.1.

On offense, the Commanders are at 19.9 points per game, putting them 20th in the NFL. Coming into this week's game Washington's passing game is ranked 18th in passing yards. Additionally, they are positioned 1st in pass attempts, with an average of 38 passes per game.

Washington comes in with an average of 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and have an average of 21.4 attempts per game. In terms of total rushing yards, they are currently ranked 24th in the league.

With a matchup against the Cowboys' offense, the Commanders defense has allowed an average of 30 points per game so far. They currently are 18th in quarterback hits and are allowing 385.8 yards per contest.