Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles Betting Pick & Prediction 12/29/24

With a money line of -453, the Eagles are the heavy favorite as they take on the Cowboys at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th. The Eagles are looking to improve their record, while the Cowboys are also looking to add to theirs. The over/under line is sitting at 43 points, and the Eagles are favored by -9.5 points. You can catch this week 17 NFC East matchup on FOX.
DALLAS COWBOYS VS PHILADELPHIA EAGLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -9.5
This game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES:
- We have the Eagles winning this one by a score of 25 to 10
- Not only do we have the Eagles winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -9.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 43 points
Will The Cowboys Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
With two straight wins, the Cowboys are now 7-8, but they have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. After a week 14 loss to the Bengals, Dallas bounced back with wins over the Panthers and Buccaneers, including a 26-24 victory over Tampa Bay in week 16. The Cowboys were 4.5-point underdogs in that game, and the 50 combined points were enough to hit the over (47.0).
Dallas ranks 28th in our NFL power rankings and sits 10th in the NFC. They are 6-9 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -5.3 points per game. Their O/U record is 10-5, with the over hitting in two straight games.
Cooper Rush has been solid over his last three games, posting passer ratings of 108 in week 16, 119 in week 15, and 77 in week 14. Against the Buccaneers, he threw for 292 yards on 26/35 passing, with one touchdown and no interceptions. CeeDee Lamb has also been consistent, with 105 receiving yards in week 16, following 116 yards in week 15 and 93 yards in week 14. Rico Dowdle struggled in week 16, rushing for just 23 yards on 13 carries after a 149-yard performance in week 15.
Dallas ranks 25th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 21.6 points per game, which is 20th in the league. They are 16th in total yards per game with 328.1 and 10th in passing yards, averaging 232.9 per game. The Cowboys rank 24th in 3rd down conversions, with a 36% success rate, but they are 6th in the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.
In the Cowboys’ 26-24 win over the Buccaneers, their defense allowed 410 yards, including 134 rushing yards on just 23 attempts. Tampa Bay had some success on the ground, averaging 5.8 yards per attempt, but Dallas’ defense made key plays when needed.
Dallas’ defense recorded four sacks, intercepted one pass, and limited the Buccaneers to a 50% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up 276 passing yards and allowing Tampa Bay to complete 72.1% of their passes, the Cowboys managed to come out on top.
Are The Eagles Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Heading into week 17, the Eagles hold a 12-3 record, giving them a 98.4% chance of winning the NFC East and a 100% chance of making the playoffs. They currently rank 5th in our NFL power rankings. Philadelphia is 9-6 against the spread, with a +7.9 scoring margin, and they are 3-0 ATS as underdogs.
After winning five straight games, the Eagles lost 36-33 to the Commanders in week 16. They were 4-point favorites in this matchup but couldn’t get the win. The O/U line was 47 points, and the teams combined for 69.
Heading into week 17, the Eagles are 4th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 8th in the NFL in points per game (26.8) and 6th in yards per game (370.9). Philadelphia has leaned heavily on the run game, leading the league with 36.9 rushing attempts per game and 187.9 rushing yards per game. On the other hand, they rank 31st in passing yards, averaging 183 per game, and are 27th in passing attempts.
In week 16, the Eagles scored 33 points in a loss to Washington, with 21 of those points coming in the first quarter. Saquon Barkley rushed for 150 yards on 29 carries, while A.J. Brown had 8 catches for 97 yards and a touchdown. Philadelphia struggled on 3rd down, converting just 3 of 16 attempts, but they did score on 2 of their 4 red zone trips.
In their 36-33 loss to the Commanders, the Eagles’ defense allowed five passing touchdowns while giving up 255 yards through the air. They did manage to force two interceptions but struggled to get off the field, as Washington converted on 53.8% of their third down attempts. The Eagles allowed a completion percentage of 61.5% and gave up 368 total yards. Additionally, the Eagles’ defense struggled to generate consistent pressure, finishing with only one sack and a negative tackles for loss differential.