Indianapolis Colts vs New York Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 12/29/24

The Giants are +322 on the money line as they host the Colts at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Colts are favored by -7.5 on the road, with the over/under line set at 40.5 points. This non-conference matchup is being televised by FOX, and the Giants’ point spread is +7.5. The game kicks off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS NEW YORK GIANTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Indianapolis Colts -7.5
This game will be played at MetLife Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th.
WHY BET THE INDIANAPOLIS COLTS:
- We have the Colts winning this one by a score of 28 to 20
- Not only do we have the Colts winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 40.5 points
Will The Colts Win As Road Favorites?
After a week 15 loss to the Broncos, the Colts bounced back with a 38-30 win over the Titans in week 16, bringing their record to 7-8. Indianapolis was a 4-point favorite and covered the spread, moving their ATS record to 9-6. They are 3-2 as favorites and 6-4 as underdogs. The over has hit in three straight Colts games, including week 16, when they and the Titans combined for 68 points, easily surpassing the 42.5-point line.
Heading into week 17, the Colts rank 25th in our power rankings and have a 13% chance of making the playoffs. They are 8th in the AFC and 2nd in the AFC South, with a 2-3 division record. They are 4-3 at home and 3-5 on the road.
Heading into week 17, the Colts are 27th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 21st in the NFL in both points (21.2) and yards (321.1) per game. Indianapolis has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 8th in both rushing attempts (28.6) and yards (135.2) per game. On the passing side, they are 28th in the league with 185.9 yards per game, despite ranking 22nd in attempts.
In week 16, the Colts scored 38 points against the Titans, with 24 coming in the 2nd quarter. Jonathan Taylor had a huge game, rushing for 218 yards and 3 touchdowns on 29 carries. Anthony Richardson threw for 131 yards, completing 7 of 11 passes, with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Josh Downs led the team in receiving with 3 catches for 61 yards and a touchdown.
In their 38-30 win over the Titans, the Colts’ defense allowed 242 passing yards on 23 completions. They picked off three passes and held Tennessee to 45.5% on third down. The Colts defended the run well, allowing just 65 yards on 22 attempts, and their secondary limited the Titans to a 67.6% completion rate. However, they did give up two passing touchdowns.
Despite allowing 307 total yards, the Colts’ defense made key plays in the passing game to help secure the win. They managed only one sack but did generate three interceptions and held the Titans to 3.0 yards per attempt on the ground.
Are The Giants Going Win In At Upset At MetLife Stadium
The Giants enter week 17 against the Colts looking to end a 10-game losing streak, which includes a 34-7 loss to the Falcons in week 16. This leaves New York at 2-13, ranking 31st in our power rankings. They are 0-8 at home and 2-5 on the road, with both wins coming away from MetLife Stadium.
Against the spread, the Giants are 4-11, including two straight ATS losses. They were unable to cover as 9.5-point underdogs against Atlanta. Their O/U record is 5-10, with their games averaging 38.5 points compared to a 41.7-point line.
Heading into week 17, the Giants rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 31st in the NFL in points per game (14.3) and last in total yards, averaging 292.3 per game. Despite ranking 7th in passing attempts, they are 29th in passing yards, with 185.4 per game. On the ground, they rank 22nd in rushing yards, averaging 106.9 per game on 24.6 attempts.
In week 16, the Giants scored just 7 points, all in the 2nd quarter, in a 34-7 loss to the Falcons. Drew Lock threw for 210 yards, completing 22 of 39 passes, with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Malik Nabers led the team with 7 catches for 68 yards. The Giants converted 33.3% of their 3rd downs and went 1/2 in the red zone.
The Giants’ defense struggled to generate pressure in their most recent game, failing to record any sacks and losing the quarterback hit differential by -4. Despite allowing just 202 passing yards, they gave up 34 points in a 34-7 loss to the Falcons. New York allowed Atlanta to convert on 57.1% of their third down attempts and ran for 127 yards on 38 attempts.
New York’s defense did come up with one interception and limited the Falcons to 3.3 yards per rushing attempt. In the passing game, the Giants didn’t give up any big plays, but Atlanta was efficient enough to come away with a lopsided victory.