Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24
From PETCO Park in San Diego, the Rockies and Padres face off in an NL West matchup. First pitch is set for 4:10 PM ET, and the Padres are favored on the money line (-168) compared to the Rockies at +142. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Cal Quantrill will go for the Rockies, while the Padres are starting Matt Waldron. Colorado is 41-71 this season, while the Padres are 60-52, which has them in 2nd place in the NL West. The Rockies are 5th in the division.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS COLORADO ROCKIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -168
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, August 4th.
HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
San Diego picked up a 3-2 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a two-run 7th inning and then closed things out with Robert Suarez getting the save. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -211 on the money line.
Xander Bogaerts went 2/3 with an RBI, while Hunter Goodman hit the game’s only home run and went 2/3 with two RBIs. Jacob Stallings also had a two-hit game for Colorado.
Martin Perez pitched well for the Padres in this one, going six innings and giving up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision. Jason Adam got the win out of the bullpen.
Rockies Records & Stats
With a record of 41-71, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 23.5 games. Overall, they are 13-23 against other teams in the NL West. Colorado has struggled on the road this year, going 17-42 compared to a 24-29 mark at home.
So far this year, the Rockies have yet to win a game as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, they are also 17-42 this year. Colorado’s overall series record is 7-24-3, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Colorado has been a solid bet against the run line overall this season, going 57-55. They have been especially good on the road, going 28-31, and have covered in four straight games. The Rockies have been a good run line bet as the underdog, going 57-55, and have an average run margin of -1.5 runs per game this season.
The Rockies are on the road against the Padres today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rockies games this season is 10.0 runs, and their over/under record is 57-53. The average over/under line for Rockies games this season is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 9-4. The Rockies have played 93 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 83.0% of their games this season. They have played just 6 games with over/under lines set lower than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces his former team, the Padres. So far this season, he has made 22 starts and has a record of 7-7 with an ERA of 4.50. Quantrill’s WHIP for the season is 1.39. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up seven earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had pitched well, going 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his previous three starts. Quantrill has a BB/9 figure of 3.43 compared to 6.86 strikeouts per nine innings.
Colorado’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 19th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Rockies are batting .243, which is 12th in the MLB. They have been one of the league’s best teams at putting the ball in play, as their strikeout rate is 28th in the league.
Michael Toglia comes into the game as the Rockies’ leader in home runs, but he is batting just .206 for the season. Toglia’s 19 homers is 14th in the MLB. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are 2nd and 3rd on the team in RBIs and are tied for 2nd on the team with 18 homers. Tovar is batting .283, while Doyle is batting .266. Over his last five games, Brendan Rodgers is hitting .350, with one homer and two RBIs.
Padres Records & Stats
With a record of 60-52, the Padres are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 18-18 in divisional games this year. San Diego will take on the Rockies today at home, and they are 29-29 at home this year.
San Diego has gone 8-2 across their last 10 games and have won four straight series. Overall, they have a series record of 21-12-3, which includes having won five straight series on the road.
When the Padres win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is 3.7 runs per game. Their run line record is 59-53 overall, but they have been much more profitable on the road, going 38-16 against the run line compared to just 21-37 at home. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 33-15 against the run line in those games.
San Diego’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 59-52. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 17-19. The over/under line for today’s game against the Rockies is set at 7.5 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Rockies at home. He has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 3.89. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Waldron has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .227 off Waldron this season.
Over his last eight games, Manny Machado has gone 11/32 with four homers and six RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .270, and his 17 homers is the 2nd best mark on the team. Machado is also currently on a six-game hitting streak. Jurickson Profar has been a key run producer for the Padres this season, as his 70 RBIs are 10th in the league, and his 18 homers is the best mark on the team. He is also batting .298 for the season.
As a team, the Padres are the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .263. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the best slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game.