Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24
At 4:10 PM ET, the Phillies and Mariners face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (+114). The Phillies have a money line payout of -134, and they are 1st in the NL East with a record of 65-45. Seattle is 1st in the AL West at 59-53.
NSPPH will be televising Sunday’s Phillies vs. Mariners matchup, and Zack Wheeler will be starting for the Phillies vs. Logan Gilbert for the Mariners. Philadelphia is currently on a 6 game losing streak.
SEATTLE MARINERS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline +114
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, August 4th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS MARINERS:
- We have the Mariners winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Seattle rallied for four runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this Mariners vs. Phillies series. The Mariners scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the 6th, picking up a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -118 on the money line.
Philadelphia wasted a good outing from Orion Kerkering, as he gave up just one run in one inning of work for the Phillies. Carlos Estévez took the loss. Collin Snider got the win out of the bullpen for the Mariners as Bryce Miller went just 4 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs.
Mitch Haniger and Jorge Polanco each had two hits and an RBI for the Mariners’ offense. Randy Arozarena scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5. Luke Raley also had a two-hit game for Seattle.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Mariners and snap their six-game losing streak. The Phillies are 65-45 overall and lead the NL East by five games over the Braves. So far, they have gone 15-10 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have gone 38-21 this year and are just above .500 at 27-24 on the road. This season, the Phillies are 57-35 when favored and 8-10 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-13-5 but have dropped two straight series.
Philadelphia has been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 26-25. The Phillies have been a solid run line bet overall, going 54-56. They have been a better run line bet at home, going 28-31. Their average run margin on the road is +0.3, and it is +1.3 at home. They have been a run line favorite in 92 games, going 45-47, and a run line underdog in 18 games, going 9-9. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9, while it is -3.5 in losing games. They have not lost more than three games in a row against the run line on the road this season.
Today’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners has an over/under line of 7 runs. The Phillies have played to an over/under record of 51-54 on the season, and their combined run average is 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7 runs, the Phillies have gone over the total in 6 of 11 games. Overall, 90.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7-run total.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Wheeler has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 10-5 with a 2.94 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Wheeler has a WHIP of 1.02 and has turned in 15 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.72 strikeouts compared to just 2.8 walks. In his last outing, Wheeler took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up more than one earned run.
Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting .255, which is the 5th best mark in the league. They also have the league’s top on-base percentage, at .327. Philadelphia has three hitters in the top 15 in home runs, with Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper both ranking in the top 11 in RBIs.
Alec Bohm has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/23 in his last five games, with four runs scored and five RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 2nd spot in batting average (.296). Schwarber, Harper, and Bohm are all on hitting streaks heading into the game.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle will host the Phillies today with an overall record of 59-53, and they currently lead the AL West by one game over the Astros. The Mariners have gone 19-13 in divisional games this season and have won two straight games overall. Seattle has also won two straight at home, and their home record is 33-23 this season.
The Mariners have been good as the favorite this season, going 40-33, and they are 19-20 as the underdog. So far, the Mariners are 7-5 as the home underdog, and they are 15-18-2 in series this year.
The Mariners have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 50-62 overall. They have been particularly strong at home, where they are 24-32 against the run line. Their average run margin on the season is +0.3 runs per game, but that number jumps to +0.5 runs per game at home. When they win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, while their losses come by an average of -3.1 runs per game.
The Seattle Mariners are at home today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Mariners games this season is 7.7 runs, and their over/under record is 49-58. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 10-16-4. The over has hit in two straight games for the Mariners.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.11 ERA. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is currently 0.90. In his last outing, he was roughed up by the Red Sox, giving up seven earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Gilbert has taken the loss in each of his last two outings. Before that, he had turned in three straight quality starts. So far, he has allowed 16 homers this season.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ most consistent run producer this season, as his 67 RBIs are 11th in the league and the top mark on the team. He has also hit 23 home runs, which is the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. However, he is batting just .213 for the season. Julio Rodriguez has been a solid run producer as well, with 11 homers and 37 RBIs to go along with a batting average of .263.
Seattle’s offense has been led by Jorge Polanco and Victor Robles of late, as Polanco has gone 10/29 over his last eight games with four homers, and Robles is 11/35 in that stretch. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .219 and are averaging only 4 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league.