Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 5/14/24
From PETCO Park in San Diego, we have the Rockies and Padres facing off in an NL West matchup. The money line odds have the Padres at -284 compared to the Rockies at +233. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 60’s.
First pitch for Tuesday’s matchup is set for 9:40 PM ET. Colorado will be looking to keep their 5 game winning streak alive with starter Cal Quantrill, while the Padres are 22-22 overall and 2nd in the NL West. Dylan Cease is the expected starter for the Padres.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 7 Runs
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, May 14th.
HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Colorado picked up a 5-4 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Rockies had a huge 4th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Padres, they scored one run in the 5th and added their final three runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Rockies were at +190 on the money line.
Dakota Hudson got the win for the Rockies, going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up three runs. Jalen Beeks got the save. Randy Vásquez had a rough outing for the Padres, taking the loss after going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up five runs.
At the plate, the Rockies were led by Elehuris Montero and Ezequiel Tovar, as they were the only two Rockies hitters to have more than one hit. Montero. Jackson Merrill had a two-home run performance for the Padres.
Rockies Records & Stats
Colorado has won five straight games and are 13-28 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Giants by five games for the 4th spot in the division and are 14 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Rockies are just 4-16 on the road this year compared to 9-12 at home.
So far, the Rockies have really struggled in night games, going 7-18. As the underdog, Colorado has a record of 13-28 this year, and they have not yet been favored in a game (0-0). Colorado’s overall series record is 1-11-1, and they have lost 11 of their last 13 series.
Colorado is 21-20 against the run line this season, and they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 21-20. Their average run margin is -1.6 runs per game, and they have gone 10-10 against the run line on the road. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.9 runs per game.
Colorado’s games have had an average of 9.3 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-21. The average over/under line for their games this season is 10 runs, and the over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 1-2. The Rockies have played 38 games this season with an over/under line set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 92.7% of their games.
Cal Quantrill will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he picked up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Quantrill has made eight starts and has a record of 2-3. His ERA for the season is 3.94, along with a WHIP of 1.29. Opposing batters have a batting average of .236 off Quantrill this season. The right-hander has made five quality starts this year. For the season, he has allowed seven home runs and is averaging 6.11 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Rockies offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 24th in the MLB. Their team batting average of .245 is 10th in the league, and they have the best team BABIP in the league. Colorado’s home run numbers are also towards the bottom of the league, as they are 16th in the league in homers.
Colorado has a few hitters who have put up some solid power numbers so far, with Ryan McMahon leading the team with five homers and Elias Diaz and Michael Toglia each having four. McMahon and Diaz are also near the top of the league in RBIs, with 21 apiece. Over his last nine games, Brendan Rodgers is hitting .353, and Ezequiel Tovar is on a seven-game hitting streak.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is hosting the Rockies today with an overall record of 22-22, and they are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone 12-11 in divisional matchups. The Padres are looking to bounce back today, as they dropped the first game of the series vs. the Rockies.
This season, the Padres have been good on the road, going 12-8, but they are just 10-14 at home. As the favorite, San Diego is 14-12 this year and 8-10 as the underdog. The team’s overall series record is 8-5-2, and they have won four straight series.
The Padres have been a profitable run line team overall this season, going 24-20 against the run line. They have been especially good on the road, going 16-4 against the run line. However, they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 8-16. Their average run margin for the season is +0.3 runs per game.
The Padres have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 22-21. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and in games with an over/under line of 7 runs, the record is 0-0.
Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today and is coming off a great outing vs. the Cubs. In that May 8th start, Cease went seven innings, picking up the win and didn’t give up a run. He finished with 12 strikeouts in the outing. Cease has made six quality starts this year and has an ERA of 2.19. Overall, he is 5-2 this year. Cease’s ERA on the road is 1.43, and he is 4-0 away from home. At home, Cease is 1-2 with a 3.79 ERA.
Heading into today’s game, Jurickson Profar is on a three-game hitting streak for the Padres, but he has gone just 4/21 in his last six games. For the season, he is batting .320, which is 3rd on the team, and his seven home runs are 2nd on the team. Profar’s 29 RBIs is the best mark on the team and is 7th in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. also has eight homers for the Padres but is batting just .251 for the season.
As a team, the Padres are 6th in batting average and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. San Diego’s team on-base percentage is 6th in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and OPS.