Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 5/14/24

The Reds and Diamondbacks are set to face off in an NL matchup at 9:40 PM ET. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Reds are the slight money line favorite (-104 vs. -116).

Slade Cecconi will go for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing a Reds team that is 5th in the NL Central with a record of 17-24. Cincinnati will be looking to Hunter Greene to keep them in the win column. Arizona is currently 3rd in the NL West, and they have won three straight. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -116

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, May 14th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a close game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Reds series. Arizona went into the matchup as -158 favorites and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Cincinnati had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th, but Justin Martinez closed things out for the Diamondbacks.

Jordan Montgomery got the start for Arizona, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out seven. He did not factor in the decision. Graham Ashcraft only went four innings for the Reds, giving up three earned runs on seven hits.

At the plate, Joc Pederson and Gabriel Moreno each homered for the Diamondbacks. Pederson, Kevin Newman, and Mike Ford each had two hits and two RBIs. For Cincinnati, Jonathan India went 2/4 with two RBIs.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Diamondbacks and snap their three-game losing streak. The Reds are 5th in the NL Central, seven games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games this year.

This season, the Reds have an overall record of 17-24, and they have really struggled recently, going 1-9 over their last 10 games. Cincinnati has gone 9-13 at home compared to 8-11 on the road. As the favorite, the Reds are 10-10 this year and 7-14 as the underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-8-1, and they have dropped five straight series.

The Reds are 12-7 against the run line on the road this season, and they have covered in two straight games. Cincinnati’s average run differential on the road is +0.3 runs per game, and they are 20-21 overall against the run line this season, with an average run differential of -0.1 runs per game.

The Reds have played 39% of their games with over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs, and 46.3% of their games have had higher lines. Their over/under record is 20-19, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. The over has hit in two straight games, and their over/under record is 3-3 when the line is set at 8.5 runs.

Hunter Greene is getting the start for the Reds today and comes in with a record of 1-2 and ERA of 3.38. So far, he has made eight starts and two of them have been quality starts. Greene’s most recent outing came vs. the Diamondbacks, where he finished with a no-decision. In that game, he gave up three earned runs on six hits in five innings of work. Looking back, he has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Greene’s WHIP for the season is 1.24, and his BB/9 figure is 4.17 compared to 10.52 strikeouts per nine innings.

Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ top home run hitter this season, but he has struggled of late, going just 6/27 in his last seven games. Overall, he is batting .262 with a team-high 21 RBIs. Spencer Steer is also batting just .248 for the season, but his 29 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Steer is also on a five-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Reds are just 24th in batting average and are averaging 4.3 runs per game (16th). They have been even worse at home, averaging just 4.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 13th in home runs, but their team on-base percentage of .299 is just 18th in the league.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 20-22 overall this season and picked up a win in the series opener vs. the Reds. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 7.5 games. So far, they are 9-8 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 10-10 this season and 10-12 on the road. Arizona has won two straight at home and are 3-5 as the home underdog this season. They have an overall series record of 4-8-1 this year.

The Diamondbacks have been a solid run line bet this season, going 21-21 overall. They are 9-11 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of 0.1. They have been a better bet on the road, going 12-10 against the run line with an average run margin of 0.7. They are 14-10 against the run line as an underdog this season.

Arizona’s over/under record for the season is 18-22, and the over has hit in three straight games. The Diamondbacks’ games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 7-5. Overall, 47.6% of Arizona’s games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.

Slade Cecconi will be making his 3rd start of the season, and it will be his first at home. He started the year with a win over the Giants, then took a loss to the Padres. In his last outing, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up just 1 earned run on 3 hits, but he did take a no-decision.

Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league so far, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of avoiding strikeouts and walks. As a team, they are 11th in the league in home runs.

Over his last seven games, Ketel Marte has gone just 7/32, but three of those hits have left the yard. For the season, he is batting .290 and leads the team with nine home runs. Christian Walker is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with seven homers and is batting .265. Walker’s 27 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th in the league.