Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 7/14/24
First pitch from Citi Field is set for 1:40 PM ET, where the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the upper 80s. SNY is carrying this one on TV, and the Rockies are 33-63, while the Mets are 49-45.
New York comes into the game on a five-game winning streak and has Jose Quintana on the mound vs. a Rockies club that has lost three straight and is starting German Marquez. On the money line, the Mets are the heavy favorite at -222, while the Rockies are sitting at +185. Sunday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, July 14th.
HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
New York picked up a 7-3 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their final two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -204 on the money line.
Christian Scott only went 4 1/3 innings for the Mets but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. Jose Butto came out of the bullpen for the win, and Dedniel Nunez got the save.
Francisco Lindor and Jeff McNeil each had two RBIs for the Mets’ offense. Lindor, Jake Cave, and Sam Hilliard each homered in the game. Charlie Blackmon went 1/4 with a homer for the Rockies.
Rockies Records & Stats
Colorado is on the road today, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, with their overall record at 33-63, putting them 23 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 10-17 in divisional games. The Rockies are also looking to snap a three-game losing streak as the underdog, and they are 13-36 as the road underdog this year.
At home, the Rockies are 20-27 compared to 13-36 on the road. Colorado has really struggled in day games this year, going 10-26. So far, they have an overall series record of 5-22-3. Heading into today’s game vs. the Mets, the Rockies have gone 4-6 over their last 10.
When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.8 runs per game. Their average run differential in losses is -4.2 runs per game. They are 46-50 against the run line this season, including 22-27 on the road. They are 24-23 against the run line at home. They have covered the run line in their last game, but they have yet to be favored in a game this season.
The Colorado Rockies are on the road today against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Rockies games this season is 10.0 runs per game. Colorado has a 50-44 over/under record on the season, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Rockies are 7-7. Overall, 55 of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, accounting for 57.3% of their contests. The over has hit in each of their last five games.
Coming off a season in which he made four starts, Germán Márquez went 2-2 with an ERA of 4.95. His WHIP for the year was 1.10, and he allowed a batting average of .250. Márquez’s slugging percentage allowed was .513, and he finished the year with an OPS allowed of .778. In terms of quality starts, he had one, and his strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 5.7. For the year, Márquez averaged 7.65 strikeouts per nine innings and 0.8 walks per game.
So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and are 15th in home runs. Colorado’s offense has been good at putting the ball in play, as they have the 4th best BABIP in the league.
Over his last 10 games, Michael Toglia has gone deep four times, but he is batting just .182 during that stretch. Toglia is hitting just .183 for the season. Brenton Doyle has also hit four homers in his last nine games, going 11/30 during that stretch. Ryan McMahon has been hot of late, batting .343 over his last 10 games and is leading the Rockies with 45 RBIs.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are currently riding a five-game winning streak, and they are 49-45 overall this season. In the NL East, they are 12.5 games behind the Phillies and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 16-12 in divisional matchups.
As the favorite, the Mets are 30-23 this year and 19-22 as the underdog. At home, they are 26-25 compared to 23-20 on the road. New York has won five straight at home, and they are 20-15 as the home favorite this year. The Mets’ overall series record is 14-13-5.
When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. That’s why they’re 24-17 against the run line as an underdog. Their overall run line record is 45-49, with a run line record of 24-19 on the road and 21-30 at home. They’re currently on a one-game run line win streak.
With a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game, the New York Mets have seen their games go over the total 50 times this season, compared to just 41 unders. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, but when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit at a 16-10 clip. Overall, 22 of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, accounting for 23.4% of their games. Their games have gone over the total in two straight contests.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Nationals on July 9th, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four outings, Quintana has given up two earned runs just once. His ERA for the season is 3.91, along with a record of 4-5. Out of his 18 starts, Quintana has seven quality starts and is averaging 6.61 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 13 homers and is averaging 3.07 walks per nine innings.
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best home run hitting team and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the MLB. As a team, the Mets are batting .249, which is 7th in the league.
Brandon Nimmo has been red hot for the Mets, batting .297 over his last nine games with three homers. This has helped him move into the team’s top spot in RBIs this season. Nimmo is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the Mets’ top two home run hitters, with 18 and 17 homers, respectively.