Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/14/24
From Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have the Guardians and Rays facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 1:40 PM ET, and BSGL will be televising this game.
The Rays are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -123 compared to the Guardians at +104. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and Ben Lively is starting for the Guardians, while the Rays have Ryan Pepiot on the mound.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +104
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, July 14th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS RAYS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Cleveland picked up a 4-2 road win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Rays got on the board with one run in the 3rd and added their final run in the 5th.
Gavin Williams only went five innings for the Guardians but gave up just one run and three hits. He finished the game with just two strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Nick Sandlin got the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor each had two hits and an RBI for Cleveland’s offense. Jhonkensy Noel also had a two-hit game and scored two runs while hitting a home run. Angel Martinez also went deep for the Guardians.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is on the road today vs. the Rays with an overall record of 58-36, which has them leading the AL Central by 4.5 games over the Twins. The Guardians took the series opener vs. the Rays but dropped game two. So far, they are 15-13 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Guardians have gone 30-11 this year, and they are just above .500 at 28-25 on the road. As the underdog, Cleveland has lost five straight games, and they are 16-16 as the underdog overall. The Guardians have gone 42-20 when favored this year, and their overall series record is 20-8-2.
When betting the run line, the Guardians have been a better play as the underdog, going 20-12. They have also been a good play on the road, going 27-26. Their average run margin is +0.9 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 48-46.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road to face the Tampa Bay Rays today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 47-41. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 15-11. Overall, 67.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Right-hander Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.59 ERA. Lively’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19, and opponents are batting .237 off him this year. Lively’s last outing came against the Tigers, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up six hits, six earned runs, and one homer in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Per nine innings, Lively has 7.73 strikeouts and 2.5 walks.
So far this season, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. The team’s batting average is 11th in the MLB at .244, and they have the 9th best slugging percentage in the league. As a team, the Guardians are one of the best in the league at avoiding strikeouts.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 23 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor is right behind him with 22. Ramirez also has the 2nd most RBIs in the league, while Naylor is 3rd in the MLB in RBIs.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is 47-48 overall and 10 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. So far, they have gone just 12-18 in divisional games. The Rays are also 4.5 games behind the Red Sox for the final Wild Card spot.
At home, the Rays are 26-27 this year and have gone 21-21 on the road. Tampa Bay has an overall series record of 16-12-2, and they are 27-25 as the favorite this year. Their overall record as the underdog is 20-23.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Rays, you might want to consider taking them on the road. They are 25-17 against the run line away from Tropicana Field, compared to 19-34 at home. They are also 25-18 against the run line as an underdog, compared to 19-33 as the favorite. Their average run differential is -0.7 runs per game, but in their wins, they are winning by an average of 2.5 runs per game.
When the Tampa Bay Rays play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 45-45. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the over is 16-12, and the over has hit in 65.3% of their games this season. Their last two games have gone under the total.
Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Yankees, he only gave up four hits and issued three walks. Looking back over his last four starts, Pepiot has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 4.21 ERA. Opponents are batting .203 off the right-hander this season.
For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 16th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .312 is 13th in the MLB.
Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays, as he is batting .264 for the season and has a team-high 15 homers. However, he has really struggled of late, going just 5/32 in his last 10 games. Yandy Diaz comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone deep eight times this season, which is 2nd on the team.