Looking to win big? The Vikings and Mastodons face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mastodons are hosting the game at Allen County War Memorial Coliseum in Fort Wayne, IN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 153.5 points, and Purdue Fort Wayne is favored by -3.5 to win at home against Cleveland State.

CLEVELAND STATE VIKINGS VS PURDUE FORT WAYNE MASTODONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland State Vikings +3.5

This game will be played at Allen County War Memorial Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 7th.

WHY BET THE CLEVELAND STATE VIKINGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-72 in favor of the Mastodons.
  • Even though we have Purdue Fort Wayne winning straight-up, we like Cleveland State at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Vikings Offense Score Enough on the Road?

So far this season, Cleveland State has been a much better team at home than on the road. They have gone 10-1 at home with an average scoring margin of +7.2 points per game. On the road, they are just 3-9 with an average scoring margin of -5.4 points per game.

Overall, the Vikings have gone 14-10 this season, including a 7-6 mark in Horizon League play. They are coming off an 83-71 loss to Oakland and have gone 1-4 in their last five road games.

As the underdog, Cleveland State has gone just 5-5 vs. the spread this season and they have an overall ATS mark of 11-12. On the road, their ATS record is 5-7 and it's 1-4 over their last 5 road games. As the underdog, the Vikings have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last 3 games.

Today's over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Cleveland State games this year (146.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and over their last 10 games, the OU record is 6-4. The average scoring total in their last three games is 141 points.

Compared to their season average of 77 points per game, Cleveland State struggled in their previous game. Against Oakland, the Vikings scored 71 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 42.4%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Tristan Enaruna who comes into today's matchup averaging 19. Tae Williams also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.3.

In terms of defense, Cleveland State is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.9 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.7 threes per game vs. Purdue Fort Wayne. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.8%.

Will the Mastodons Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

After a win over Youngstown State, Purdue Fort Wayne comes into this game with a record of 15-8. They are 6-6 in Horizon League play and 8-3 at home. On the season, they have been favored in 13 games and have gone 9-4 in those matchups.

At home this season, the Mastodons have an average scoring margin of +9.4. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 7-3. Through 23 games, Purdue Fort Wayne has a scoring differential of +1.1 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Purdue Fort Wayne has gone 7-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mastodons are 4-6 ATS. At home this year, Purdue Fort Wayne is 6-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 3 games at home, the Mastodons are just 1-2 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Purdue Fort Wayne games is 12-9. The average scoring total in their games this year is 152.3 points, not too far off from the average over/under line in their games of 151.9 points. Today's over/under line of 153.5 points is higher than the average scoring total in their games. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 138 points.

In their recent matchup, the Purdue Fort Wayne offense ended with 82 points against Youngstown State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 50.9% and made 8 threes. On the offensive front, the Mastodons have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 118th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 83rd in terms of percentage and 32nd in three-pointers made.

On defense, Purdue Fort Wayne is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.3 points per game. So far, the Purdue Fort Wayne defense is giving up an average of 8.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.1 times per game (424th).