Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/10/24
The forecast for Saturday’s matchup between the Guardians and Twins calls for temperatures in the upper 60s and partly cloudy skies. This one is getting started at 7:10 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The Guardians are 67-49, while the Twins have won two straight and they are 2nd in the AL Central at 65-50.
BSGL will be televising Saturday’s game, and the Twins are the slight favorites on the money line. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs. Looking at the odds, the Guardians are +101 compared to the Twins at -119.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -119
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:10 ET on Saturday, August 10th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs. Guardians series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -107 and squeaked out a 6-3 win. The Twins offense only had one more hit than the Guardians and struck out four more times.
Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Guardians could only muster two more runs in the 5th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th and tacked on three insurance runs in the 7th. As a result, the Guardians didn’t score another run after the 5th.
Louie Varland got the start for the Twins, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out four. Cole Sands came out of the bullpen for the win, and Trevor Richards got the save. Alex Cobb had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is on the road today, and they are looking to snap a seven-game losing streak, which has dropped their overall record to 67-49. The Guardians lead the AL Central by 1.5 games over the Twins. So far, they are 19-17 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Guardians have gone 35-20 this year, and they are just above .500 at 32-29 on the road. This season, the Guardians have gone 48-25 as the favorite but are just 19-24 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 21-11-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.
When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, as they are 31-30 overall. Their average run margin on the road is +0.6 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. As the underdog, they are 24-19 against the run line.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Minnesota Twins is just a tick above their combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. The Guardians have played 24 games with over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs, going 17-14 in those contests. Overall, Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 57 of their 109 games this season.
Cleveland is sending Gavin Williams to the mound today vs. the Twins, and he comes into the game with a record of 1-4 and an ERA of 4.91. Williams has made seven starts this year and has only turned in one quality start. His ERA at home is 9.15, compared to 0.60 on the road, where he is 1-0. In his last outing, Williams gave up six earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win and not giving up an earned run in five innings of work vs. the Tigers. So far, Williams has allowed a total of three homers.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been a great 1-2 punch for the Guardians this season, as Ramirez is batting .281 with a team-high 30 homers and 96 RBIs, while Naylor is hitting .243 with 26 homers and 85 RBIs. Both players have been swinging a hot bat of late, with Ramirez going 13/38 in his last 10 games, and Naylor also hitting four homers in this stretch.
For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are among the league’s best at avoiding strikeouts. Overall, they are 12th in scoring and have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 65-50 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 1.5 games. The Twins have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Guardians. So far, they have gone 26-14 in divisional games.
At home, the Twins are 34-21 this season and have won six straight at home. On the road, they are 31-29 this season. As the favorite, the Twins are 52-29 this year and 13-21 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 22-12-2.
The Twins have a run line record of 57-58 this season, including a 25-30 mark at home. They have covered the run line in six straight home games and have a run line record of 32-28 on the road. Their average run differential is +0.5 runs per game, but it jumps to +0.9 at home.
The Minnesota Twins are at home today against the Cleveland Guardians, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have played 112 games this season, and the over has hit in 60 of them. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs, and their combined run average is 9.3 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 17 of their 33 games.
Through 19 starts, Simeon Woods Richardson has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 3.87 for the Twins. He has made six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing vs. the White Sox, he gave up six hits, three walks, and a home run. Woods Richardson has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. The right-hander has a record of 1-0 at home with a 3.75 ERA compared to 2-2 with a 4.91 ERA on the road.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are the Twins’ top power threats this season, as Santana is 2nd on the team with 15 homers, and Jeffers is right behind him with 17 home runs. Jeffers comes into the game as the team’s leader in RBIs (53), while Santana is 2nd with 49 RBIs. However, both players are looking to get back on track, as Jeffers has gone just 1/11 in his last three games, and Santana is hitting just .247 for the season.
Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins, going 6/19 in his last five games with a home run. Christian Vazquez is also swinging a hot bat, going 2/5 in his last two games. Vazquez is also on a four-game hitting streak coming into the game.