Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 8/10/24

The Reds and Brewers are facing off in an NL Central matchup at 7:10 PM ET. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -136 compared to the Reds at +115. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Reds pitcher Nick Martinez is facing off against Tobias Myers for the Brewers. Cincinnati is 56-60, and they are 5th in the NL Central, while the Brewers are leading the division with a record of 66-49 and they are currently on a four-game winning streak. BSWI will be televising this one.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -136
This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:10 ET on Saturday, August 10th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Reds by a score of 8-3. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Reds and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -155 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Aaron Civale for the Brewers and Carson Spiers for the Reds. Civale went just 6 1/3 innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Spiers was tagged for two homers and eight runs in five innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two homers came from Willy Adames and Brice Turang. Adames, Turang, and Spencer Steer each had three RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 5th in the NL Central with a record of 56-60, putting them 10.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. Overall, they are 14-16 in divisional games and will look to make up some ground in the division today on the road.
At home, the Reds are 28-31 this year, and they have gone 28-29 on the road. The Reds are coming off a loss in their most recent game and are just 5-5 over their last 10 games. As the underdog, they are 26-34 this year and 17-24 as the road underdog.
The Reds have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 61-55 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they have covered the run line in 35 of 57 games. Their average run differential on the road is +0.8 runs per game, compared to -0.1 runs per game at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 36-24 against the run line.
When the Reds are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the average combined run total in their games is 8.6 runs. Overall, the over/under record for Cincinnati is 54-58. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Reds have a 5-9 record. This season, 68.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. The over has hit in their last seven games.
Right-hander Nick Martinez is starting for the Reds today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made six starts this year and 32 appearances, coming in with a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 3.43. Opposing batters are hitting .243 off Martinez this season. In his last outing, he picked up the win after going five innings and not allowing a run against the Marlins. Before that, he had three straight wins out of the bullpen. Martinez has been pitching well, as he hasn’t allowed more than one earned run in any of his last four outings.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 13/43 in his last 10 games with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .267 with 20 homers, which is 14th in the league. Leading the Reds in RBIs is Spencer Steer, who has 68 RBIs to go along with 16 homers. However, he is batting just .232.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 10th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting just .231 and have an on-base percentage of .305. Cincinnati’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 22nd in the league in this category.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central with a record of 66-49, putting them seven games ahead of the Cardinals. The Brewers have won four straight games, and they are 24-13 against other teams in the NL Central. They took the first game of their series vs. the Reds.
At home, the Brewers are 32-21 this season and have gone 34-28 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 37-27 this year, and they are 29-22 as the underdog. The Brewers’ overall series record is 19-14-3, and they have dropped four straight series at home.
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. They are 61-54 vs. the run line overall, and 35-27 on the road. They are 35-16 vs. the run line as an underdog, but just 26-38 as a favorite.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Brewers games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 64-46. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-7-2. Overall, 60.0% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 4 games.
Tobias Myers is looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss and gave up one earned run in five innings of work. In that start vs. the Nationals, he gave up four hits, two walks, and one home run. Looking back further, Myers has given up a homer in three straight outings. Myers has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.02 ERA. Opponents are batting .225 off the right-hander this year. Myers has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.82 strikeouts per nine innings. At home, his ERA is 4.01 compared to 2.89 on the road.
As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average at .258 and are leading the league with an on-base percentage of .335. Milwaukee also has the 2nd best BABIP in the league, which has helped them be one of the top-scoring offenses in the league.
Willy Adames has been a big power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 21 homers are the most on the team and 13th in the league. Rhys Hoskins is also near the top of the league in homers, but he is batting just .230 for the season. However, he is currently on a 13-game hitting streak. Catcher William Contreras comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and is batting .285 for the season.