Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/30/24
From Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, we have the Guardians and Royals facing off in an AL Central matchup. First pitch for Sunday’s matchup is set for 2:10 PM ET. The forecast for today’s game features temperatures in the mid to upper 60s and partly cloudy skies.
Logan Allen is starting for the Guardians, and they are 52-29 overall and 1st in the AL Central. The Royals are starting Seth Lugo and are 3rd in the AL Central with a record of 46-39. Kansas City is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -130 compared to the Guardians at +110. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and this game will be televised on BSGL.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -130
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 2:10 ET on Sunday, June 30th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cleveland cruised to a 7-2 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 5th inning, scoring three of their seven runs. As for the Royals, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -118 on the money line.
Tanner Bibee started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Cole Ragans got the start for the Royals and took the loss, going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
Jose Ramirez and Jhonkensy Noel each homered for the Guardians, while Josh Naylor went 2/4 with two RBIs. Andres Gimenez also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is 52-29 overall, good for a seven-game lead over the Twins in the AL Central. The Guardians have gone 12-8 against other teams in the division. So far, they have been tough to beat at home, going 26-9, and they have been good on the road as well, coming in at 26-20.
As the road underdog, the Guardians have gone 13-12 this year, and they are 36-16 as the favorite. Cleveland has an overall series record of 18-6-2 this year, and they have won three straight series.
When the Cleveland Guardians are favored, they are 26-26 vs. the run line, but when they are underdogs, they are 20-9. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.6, while their average run differential in losing games is -2.9. Their overall run line record is 46-35, and their average run differential on the road is +1.1, compared to +1.5 at home. Their run line record on the road is 26-20, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last two games as the favorite.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today to face the Kansas City Royals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.7. The Guardians’ over/under record for the season is 39-36, and they have hit the over in two straight games. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 8 of 19 games this season.
Cleveland is sending left-hander Logan Allen to the mound today vs. the Royals. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 8-3 with a 5.72 ERA. So far, Allen has turned in five quality starts, and his ERA for the season is 8.17 on the road compared to 9.03 at home. In his last outing, Allen finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, Allen has done a good job of limiting the damage, as he has allowed just one homer in each of his last three outings.
Heading into today’s game, José Ramírez has been on a tear for the Guardians, going 12/34 (.353) over his last eight games, with five home runs and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .280 with 23 home runs and 75 RBIs, which is 2nd in the MLB. Josh Naylor is also among the league leaders in home runs, as his 20 homers are 6th in the league. However, he is batting just .239 this season.
As a team, the Guardians are 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 7th ranked home run hitting team in the league and have the 5th best isolated power figure in the MLB. Cleveland’s offense is also one of the league’s best at avoiding strikeouts.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 46-39 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by eight games. So far, they have gone 15-10 in divisional matchups. The Royals have taken two of the first three games in this series vs. the Guardians.
At home, the Royals have gone 29-16 this season, and they are just under .500 at 17-23 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 23-12 this year and 16-6 as the favorite at home. Kansas City’s overall series record is 12-13-1, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
When the Royals are favored, they have a run line record of 18-17, but as the underdog, they are 30-20. Their average run margin is +0.6, and they are 48-37 against the run line. At home, they are 27-18 vs. the run line, and their average run margin is +1.2.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is right in line with the Kansas City Royals’ season average, as their games have averaged 8.5 runs per contest. The Royals have a 36-46 over/under record on the season, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total 8 times and under 16 times. Over their last two games, the over has hit.
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today and comes in with a record of 10-2 and an ERA of 2.29. So far, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .218 this season. Lugo has turned in a total of 13 quality starts and is averaging 7.77 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Lugo finished with a no-decision, going six innings and not giving up a run against the Marlins. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Lugo’s ERA for the season is 2.29.
At 4.5 runs per game, the Royals have the 13th best scoring offense in the league this season. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and have the 10th best slugging percentage in the league. Kansas City has been good at putting the ball in play, as they have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Vinnie Pasquantino has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/23 in his last six games with three homers. For the season, he is batting just .240, but his 10 home runs are 3rd on the team. Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez have also been big power threats for the Royals, with Witt Jr. having 12 homers and Perez at 13.