Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 6/30/24

At 2:10 PM ET, the Cubs and Brewers face off in an NL Central matchup. Sunday’s matchup is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the heavy favorite on the money line at -178. The Cubs are +150 on the money line, and their record is 39-45, which has them 5th in the NL Central.

Chicago will be starting Kyle Hendricks, while the Brewers are set to send Freddy Peralta to the mound. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on MARQ.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -178

This game will be played at American Family Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, June 30th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cubs vs Brewers series. Chicago went into the matchup as +100 underdogs and squeaked out a 5-3 win. The Cubs had a two-run lead after the first inning and didn’t score another run until putting up two in the 8th. As for the Brewers, they scored all three of their runs in the 3rd.

Justin Steele got the win for the Cubs, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued zero walks. As for the Brewers, Tobias Myers gave up three earned runs in six innings of work.

At the plate, the Cubs were led by Michael Busch and Ian Happ, as they were the only two Cubs hitters to have more than one hit. Busch, Happ, and Rhys Hoskins each had two RBIs for Chicago’s offense.

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago is 39-45 overall and trail the Brewers by 10.5 games in the NL Central. The Cubs are 10-18 against other teams in the division. The Cubs are looking to pick up a win today, having lost two straight series.

At home, the Cubs are 22-18 this year, and they are just under .500 at 17-27 on the road. As the favorite, the Cubs are 20-20 this year and 19-25 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 9-14-2 this year.

The Cubs have played 84 games this season and have a run differential of -25 runs, which is an average of -0.3 runs per game. They have gone 40-44 against the run line, with a 25-19 record on the road and a 15-25 record at home. They have been the underdog in 44 games and have gone 29-15 against the run line in those games.

Chicago Cubs games have been averaging 8.5 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 35-45. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Cubs have gone 3-11-1, and 47.6% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs.

Kyle Hendricks is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Hendricks has a record of 1-5 and an ERA of 6.87. Out of his 14 appearances, he has made just one quality start and is averaging 6.71 strikeouts per nine innings. Hendricks has allowed a total of 11 home runs this season. For the year, he has an ERA of 7.31 on the road compared to 6.33 at home.

For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .230 and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. Chicago does have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league and are 15th in terms of walks.

Over his last 10 games, Ian Happ has gone just 7/33, but three of those hits have been home runs. Happ is 2nd on the team with 11 homers this season. Christopher Morel leads the team with 15 home runs but is batting just .200 for the season. Nico Hoerner has gone 12/40 over his last 10 games and is currently on a seven-game hitting streak.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is 49-34 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They hold a 6.5-game lead over the Cardinals for the division lead. The Brewers are 19-10 against other teams in the NL Central.

The Brewers have been good at home this year, going 26-13, and they are above .500 on the road, with a record of 23-21. So far, they have been really good as the favorite, going 28-16, and they are 20-8 as the favorite at home. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 15-8-2, and they are coming off a series win over the Rockies.

When betting the run line on the Milwaukee Brewers, it’s been a profitable endeavor. They’ve covered the run line in 44 of their 83 games this season. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game, and they’ve been particularly good on the road, covering the run line in 25 of 44 games. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, covering in 26 of 39 games.

The Brewers are playing at home against the Cubs today. The Over/Under line is set at 8 runs, which is right around their average combined run average for the season. Their Over/Under record is 44-35, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 6-6-1. Overall, 59% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs.

Freddy Peralta is coming off a start in which he didn’t give up a run. Against the Angels on June 19th, he picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. In his outing vs. the Cubs today, he finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking back over his last four starts, Peralta has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has a record of 5-4 this season, along with an ERA of 4.03 and WHIP of 1.17. Opposing batters are hitting .211 off Peralta this season.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames’ 13 homers leads the team, and Contreras is right behind him with nine. Adames’ 54 RBIs is also the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. Both players will be looking to improve their batting averages, as Adames is batting just .232 this season, and Contreras is batting .291. Rhys Hoskins is also near the top of the Brewers’ home run leaderboard, with 11 homers, but he is batting just .228.

Brice Turang and Jackson Chourio have been swinging the bat well for the Brewers, with both players coming into the game on six-game hitting streaks. Over their last nine games, Turang is batting .350, and Chourio is batting .370. During this stretch, Turang has one homer and eight RBIs, while Chourio has two homers and six RBIs.