Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/30/24
On Sunday at 2:15 PM ET, the Reds and Cardinals face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Reds are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -115 compared to the Cardinals at -103. The over/under line is currently 8 runs.
Cincinnati will be looking for a win from Hunter Greene, while the Cardinals are starting Lance Lynn. Greene is the Reds’ No. 2 prospect, and he will be making his MLB debut. Lynn has a 6.51 ERA in 2021.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline -103
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 2:15 ET on Sunday, June 30th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Cincinnati cruised to a 9-4 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their nine runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored their four runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +172 on the money line.
Sonny Gray got the start for the Reds, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out six. Carson Spiers came out of the bullpen for the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run. He finished the game with just four strikeouts.
At the plate, the Reds were led by Austin Wynns, who went 3/5 with two RBIs. Jonathan India, Will Benson, and Elly De La Cruz each had two hits and two RBIs. For the Cardinals, Paul Goldschmidt hit the game’s only home run and went 1/4.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 39-44 overall and trails the Brewers by 10 games in the NL Central. So far, they are 12-13 in divisional games. The Reds are on a two-game losing streak, dropping them as the road favorite. This year, they are 7-1 as the road favorite, which is a big reason why they are 19-21 on the road overall.
At home, the Reds are 20-23 this season. They have been slightly better than .500 as the favorite this season, putting up a mark of 20-16. As the underdog, the Reds are 19-28 this year. Cincinnati has an overall series record of 8-16-2 and lost four straight series before taking the current series vs. the Cardinals 2-1 so far.
When the Reds are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 27-13. Their average run margin in those games is +0.8, and they have covered the run line in four straight games. As the underdog, they are 29-18 against the run line and have an average run margin of +0.2 on the season.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 8.4 runs per game. The Reds have played 80 games this season, and 55 of them have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs. Their O/U record for the season is 36-44, and they are 4-7 in games with an O/U line of 8 runs.
Hunter Greene will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Pirates, as he gets the start for the Reds today vs. the Cardinals. In that start vs. the Pirates, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Greene has finished with a no-decision, win, and loss. His record for the season is 5-3, and he has an ERA of 3.79. Opponents are batting .202 off Greene this season, and his WHIP is 1.17. So far, he has one complete game and six quality starts.
Elly De La Cruz has been on fire at the plate for the Reds, hitting .349 over his last 10 games, including two home runs. For the season, he is batting .255 and is 3rd on the team with 37 RBIs. Jeimer Candelario and De La Cruz are tied for the team lead with 14 homers. However, Candelario is looking to get back on track, as he has gone just 4/23 in his last six games.
Spencer Steer is also near the top of the Reds’ home run and RBI leaderboards, as he has 10 homers and 51 RBIs this season. He has also gone deep twice in his last 10 games, but is batting just .256 during that stretch. Jonathan India has been hot of late, going 19/37 in his last 10 games.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is 42-40 overall and trails the Brewers by 6.5 games in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 10-11 against other NL Central teams this year. The Cardinals are looking to pick up a win today, as they are losing the series vs. the Reds 1-2.
At home, the Cardinals are 23-18 this year compared to 19-22 on the road. St. Louis has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 14-11-1. As the home underdog, the Cardinals have gone 8-5 this season.
When betting the run line, the Cardinals have been a better play as the underdog this season, going 26-16. They have been a better bet on the run line at home, going 23-18, compared to 18-23 on the road. Their average run differential is -0.5 runs per game, with an average run differential of -0.3 runs per game at home and -0.8 runs per game on the road.
The St. Louis Cardinals have a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game, but their over/under record is just 36-43 on the season. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they are 6-9-1 in those games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cincinnati Reds is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average.
Lance Lynn will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. In that start vs. the Braves, he only gave up four hits and issued one walk. Lynn has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with a 3.86 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Lynn has a WHIP of 1.36 and opponents are batting .245 off him this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.6 strikeouts and 3.31 walks. For the year, Lynn has allowed 10 homers. The right-hander has made four quality starts this season.
So far this season, the Cardinals offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 13th in the league, and are also 17th in home runs.
Over his last six games, Michael Siani has gone 8/15, and for the season, he is batting .267 with an on-base percentage of .334. Brendan Donovan is the team’s top hitter in terms of RBIs, with 41, and is also 4th on the team with a batting average of .267. Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman are the Cardinals’ top power threats, with 12 and 16 homers, respectively.