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For years the prevailing logic has been that the American League was the high-scoring league, while the National League was a bit more reliant on pitching and didn’t score as much. That was due to the designated hitter and for a number of years that held true. In 2011, American League teams averaged 4.47 runs per game compared to 4.14 for National League teams and it was 4.42 for AL teams in 2012 and 4.22 for teams from the Senior Circuit. 

In 2015, AL teams scored 4.39 runs compared to 4.11 for National League teams, but last season saw the gap close quite a bit, as American League teams scored 4.5 runs compared to 4.43 runs for National League teams.

So far in 2017, American League teams are averaging 4.69 runs per game compared to 4.63 for National League teams. While this doesn’t really help a handicapper in regards to picking sides, it does pay some dividends when it comes to totals, which is something we haven’t spent much time on.

So far this season, when a National League team is at home and playing a fellow National League team, totals are 234-199-25, which has yielded a profit of $1,960 and an ROI of 3.9%. When an NL team hosts an AL team, totals are 40-29-3 for a profit of +900 and an ROI of 11.7%.

When an American League team hosts another AL team, totals are 217-223-13, which has netted a flat-bet loss of almost $2,400. AL teams are 35-27-2 when hosting NL teams, which has been good for $550 profit and an ROI of 7.7%.

One thing we’ve seen so far this season is games with high totals going over the number at am impressive rate. All games, regardless of league, with a total of 9 or higher, have gone 218-150-25 for a profit of $5,600 and an ROI of 13%. 

But we can break this down even more to see that when a National League team is at home with a total of 9 or greater, over/unders have gone 111-71-14 for a profit of $3,380 and a 15.7% ROI. When AL teams are at home, totals are 107-79-11 for a profit of $2,220 and a 10.3% ROI.

The highest-percentage play has been taking the over 9 (or greater) when an NL team is hosting another NL team, as these games have gone 100-55-11 for a profit of $3,963 and an ROI of 21.5%. When it’s two AL teams meeting, totals are 87-69-9 for a profit of $1,315 and a 7.3% ROI.

Taking all games with a total of 9 or higher would have yielded the slightest of profits last season, so it’s not unheard of, but those results are nothing like we’ve seen so far in 2017.

MLB Games With High Totals Going Over

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Wednesday's matchup between the Guardians and White Sox has a start time of 2:10 PM ET from Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL. Cleveland is currently on a two-game winning streak and is 83-62, which has them in 1st place in the AL Central. The White Sox are 5th in the AL Central with an overall record of 33-113 and they are +192 on the money line today.

Today's forecast in Chicago calls for temperatures in the mid 70s and broken clouds. Matthew Boyd is starting for the Guardians, while Davis Martin goes for the White Sox. Cleveland is the heavy favorite today, with money line odds of -230 compared to the White Sox at +192. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and NBCS will be televising this game.<h3>CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK</h3>The Pick: OVER 8 RunsThis game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 2:10 ET on Wednesday, September 11th.<h3>HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS WHITE SOX:</h3><ul><li>We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over</li></ul>Cleveland cruised to a 5-0 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the White Sox, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster three hits and left two runners on base.

Ben Lively only went two innings for the Guardians but didn't give up a run or a hit. Pedro Avila came out of the bullpen for the win. Jonathan Cannon struggled on the mound for the White Sox, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

At the plate, Lane Thomas was the only player for either team to homer. He went 2/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Andres Gimenez and Kyle Manzardo each had two hits and an RBI for Cleveland's offense.<h3>Guardians Records & Stats</h3>Cleveland is on the road today to take on the White Sox with an overall record of 83-62. The Guardians currently lead the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Royals and have gone 26-21 against other teams in the division. They have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.

So far, the Guardians have been really good as the favorite, going 58-30, including 20-12 as the favorite on the road. Cleveland's overall road record is 40-37 compared to a mark of 43-25 at home. Their series record is 26-14-5 this year.The Guardians have been a solid bet against the run line overall this season, going 73-72. They've been even better on the road, where they are 40-37 against the run line. They've covered the run line in four straight games when favored and are 41-47 against the run line in those games this season.The Cleveland Guardians are on the road to take on the Chicago White Sox in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. The Guardians and their opponents have combined to average 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-69. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Guardians have gone 13-15-6. This season, 47.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their current under streak is at three games.Matthew Boyd will be making his 4th start of the season and is coming off a win over the Dodgers, where he went 6 innings and struck out 6. Boyd has also faced the Pirates and Rangers, picking up a win in each of those starts.The Guardians have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .239, which is 14th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .309 is also below the league average.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team's top power threats this season, as Ramirez's 34 homers leads the team and is 8th in the league, while Naylor is 12th in the league with 29 home runs. Ramirez also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Over his last eight games, Lane Thomas has gone deep three times and is hitting .310.<h3>White Sox Records & Stats</h3>With an overall record of 33-113, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 50.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-40 this year. Chicago has dropped two straight games, and they are just 2-8 across their last 10 games.

At home, the White Sox are only 18-56 this year and 15-57 on the road. This season, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 28-110. As for how they have fared in night games, the White Sox are 21-67 and 12-46 in day games.Despite a losing record on the run line, the White Sox have been a profitable team to back at home, where they are 29-45. They have lost their last five run line bets at home, but have covered the run line in five of their last seven games as the favorite. Their average run differential in their wins is +3.4, while their average run differential in losses is -3.7.Chicago White Sox games have gone over the total in 62 of 138 games this season, and the average combined run total in their games is 8.2. The over/under line for today's game is set at 8, and the White Sox have a 12-12-3 over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season, and the over has hit in three straight games.Right-hander Davis Martin is starting for the White Sox today and comes into the game with a record of 0-3 and ERA of 3.29. He has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 8.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Martin's most recent outing came against the Red Sox, where he went six innings, giving up one earned run and coming away with a no-decision. In that outing, he only gave up one homer. Martin has allowed a homer in three of his last four outings. The right-hander has a record of 0-2 on the road and 0-1 at home.Chicago's offense has been the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.1 runs per game. They are also the worst home run hitting team in the league and have the worst on-base percentage in the league. Overall, they are batting just .221 as a team. However, Andrew Vaughn has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/29 in his last eight games with two homers.

For the season, Vaughn is batting .246 with a team-leading 17 homers and 63 RBIs. Andrew Benintendi is 2nd on the team with 16 homers but is batting just .221 overall. Benintendi is also on a four-game hitting streak. Lenyn Sosa has the longest active hitting streak at six games.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 9/11/24

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