At 7:10 PM ET, the Guardians and Red Sox will square off in an American League matchup. This one is being played at Fenway Park in Boston and features a Guardians club that is 12-5 vs. the Red Sox at 9-9. Ben Lively is starting for the Guardians, and he is facing off against Tanner Houck for Boston.

The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and the Red Sox are the favorite at -139 on the money line. If you're looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by BSGL.


The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +115

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, April 17th.


  • We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Cleveland rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this series, picking up a 10-7 win over the Red Sox. The Guardians scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn't score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th. Heading into the game, they were at +101 on the money line.

Tanner Bibee got the start for Cleveland, going just five innings while giving up one run and striking out three. Emmanuel Clase got the win out of the bullpen. Garrett Whitlock only went four innings for the Red Sox, giving up two earned runs on three hits.

At the plate, the Guardians were led by Tyler Freeman and Steven Kwan, as they were the only two Cleveland hitters to have more than one hit. Freeman, Gabriel Arias, and Andres Gimenez each had two RBIs.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland heads into today's game in Boston, riding a three-game winning streak. In the AL Central, they are just ahead of the Royals by one game, with a division record of 4-1. So far, they have been excellent on the road, putting together a record of 9-2.

Looking at their overall record, the Guardians have gone 12-5. This includes taking both games of this series so far vs. the Red Sox. Coming into today, the Guardians have yet to lose a series on the road (6-0).

The Cleveland Guardians have been a strong bet against the run line this season, going 12-5 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 9-2 against the run line. They have covered the run line in six straight road games and are 8-0 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +4.1 runs per game.

Despite the Cleveland Guardians' games averaging 9.2 runs per game, their over/under record is 10-6, and their average over/under line is 8.0 runs per game. Their games have gone over the over/under line in 1 of 1 game when the line has been set at 9.5 runs per game. Overall, 94.1% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today's 9.5-run line.

Starting for the Guardians is Ben Lively, who is coming off a season in which he made 12 starts and went 4-7. His ERA for the season was 5.38, and his WHIP was 1.36. Lively's batting average allowed was .264, and his on-base percentage allowed was .317. He gave up a total of 20 home runs last season and finished the year with two quality starts. For the season, Lively averaged 8.02 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.54 walks per nine innings.

If you are looking for some player props for the Guardians, we have Steven Kwan as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His total hits projection is 5th best in the league today. We also have José Ramírez with the 14th best total hits projection in the league. Bo Naylor has the best home run projection on the team and it is 9th best in the league today.

Red Sox Records & Stats

With an overall record of 9-9, the Red Sox are in 5th place in the AL East. Currently, they are three games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Red Sox will be looking to pick up a win today, as they are on a two-game losing streak.

At home, the Red Sox are just 2-6 this season, but they have been better on the road at 7-3. So far, they have been the favorite in 10 of their games, going 6-4 in those contests. Their series record for the season is 3-1-1.

The Red Sox have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 8-2 overall. They have covered the run line in five straight games as the favorite, but are just 1-7 at home this season. Their overall run line record is 9-9, with an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game.

So far this season, the Boston Red Sox have played 17 games with an average of 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 8-9, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. The Red Sox have played two games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs, and the over/under record in those games is 0-1. Overall, 83.3% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9.5 runs.

Tanner Houck will be making his first home start of the season for the Red Sox, as he has started the year with two road starts. He picked up the win in his first outing against the Athletics, striking out 10 in 6 innings. In his last start, he took the loss vs. the Angels, but he did strike out 12 batters in 5 2/3 innings.

When looking at the Red Sox's offensive projections, we see that Triston Casas is not only projected to have the most hits on the team, but his home run projection is the best on the team and 7th best in the league today. Tyler O'Neill has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 9th best in the league. Rafael Devers is 3rd on the team in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 9th in the league.