Looking to win big? The Bulldogs and Paladins face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Paladins are hosting the game at Timmons Arena in Greenview, SC. The over/under for this game is set at 151.5 points, and the Paladins are the home favorites against the Bulldogs in a Southern conference matchup.


The Pick: Citadel Bulldogs +10

This game will be played at Timmons Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Paladins.
  • Even though we have Furman winning straight-up, we like Citadel at +10.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will the Citadel Defense Show Up on the Road?

After losing their last two games, Citadel will be looking to get back on track as they head to Furman to take on the Paladins. So far, the Bulldogs have gone 8-7 overall, including a 0-2 mark in Southern Conference play. On the road, Citadel is 2-4 this season, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three games away from home.

Coming into this game, the Bulldogs are 1-7 as the underdog, and they have gone 4-0 when they have been favored. On the year, Citadel has an average scoring margin of -0.8 points per game on the road, and their scoring differential at home is +1.2 points per game.

Against the spread, the Citadel Bulldogs have a record of 6-6 this season. As the underdog, their ATS mark is 3-5. On the road, they are 3-3 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs are 3-7.

This season, the over/under record for Citadel games sits at 4-7-1. So far, their games have averaged 136.2 points compared to an average over/under line of 138.8. On the year, the average scoring total in their games is -2.6 points compared to the average over/under line. Today's over/under line of 151.5 is higher than 10 of their games this year. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1 with an average scoring total of 158 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Citadel offense tallied 64 points in a matchup against Samford. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.1%, and they made 8 threes. Elijah Morgan led the scoring for the Bulldogs, contributing 29 points. Additionally, Quentin Millora-Brown chipped in with 13 points.

Currently, the Bulldogs' defense holds the 81st rank in the nation, allowing 67.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Citadel's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 25.9% this season.

Can Furman Pull Off a Home Win?

Through 15 games, Furman has a 6-9 overall record, including a 4-1 mark at home. They have lost two straight games and are 0-2 in Southern Conference play. On the road, the Paladins are 0-7 this season.

So far, Furman has been the favorite in five of their games, going 4-1 in those matchups. In their last game, the Paladins lost to Chattanooga by a score of 73-58.

As the favorite this season, Furman has gone 2-3 vs. the spread, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 5-5 ATS. At home this year, the Paladins are 2-3 vs. the spread, and over their last 10 home games, they are 3-4 ATS. Furman's overall ATS mark for the year is 4-8.

On the season, the over/under record for Furman is 8-4, and today's over/under line of 151.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 156.5. So far, five of their games have finished with less points than today's line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 5-3.

The Furman offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 58 points versus Chattanooga. During the game, they attempted 33 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 27.5%. Leading Furman in scoring vs. Chattanooga was JP Pegues with his 16 points. Alex Williams also added 15 points for the Paladins.

At this time, the Paladins' defense is positioned 286th in the country, permitting 79.6 points per game. Furman's defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Chattanooga offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 73 points.