Planning on watching today's Bulldogs and Buccaneers game? Catch the action at Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, TN, as the Buccaneers hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 136 points, and East Tennessee State is favored by -7 to win at home against Citadel.

CITADEL BULLDOGS VS EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -7

This game will be played at Freedom Hall Civic Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.

WHY BET THE EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Buccaneers.
  • Not only will East Tennessee State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will the Bulldogs Win in Johnson City?

So far this season, the Citadel Bulldogs have struggled on the road, going just 2-8. Their average scoring margin on the road is -6.0, and they have lost four straight games away from home.

For the year, the Bulldogs have an overall record of 9-13. In Southern Conference play, they are just 1-7, compared to 8-6 in non-conference action.

On the season, the Citadel Bulldogs have an ATS record of 8-9-1, including a mark of 4-6 on the road. As the underdog, they have gone 4-7-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs have a record of 3-6-1.

Today's over/under line of 136 is slightly lower than the average over/under line in Citadel's games this season (139.9). Currently, the over/under record in their games is 6-10-2. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-0-1. On the season, their games have finished with more points than today's line in nine contests.

The Citadel offense is coming off a game where they scored 62 points against Chattanooga. They posted a field goal percentage of 41.4% and connected on 7 threes. Keynan Davis led the scoring for the Bulldogs, contributing 18 points. Additionally, AJ Smith chipped in with 14 points.

In terms of defense, Citadel is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.3 points per game. In their most recent game, the Citadel defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Chattanooga knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 90 points.

Can East Tennessee State Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

East Tennessee State is 5-2 when favored this season and will be favored by 7 points at home against Citadel. Their overall record is 11-11, and they are 3-6 in Southern Conference play. They are 5-3 at home this season and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

So far, the Buccaneers have gone 8-5 in non-conference games and 4-8 on the road. They are currently on a two-game winning streak on the road, and their average scoring margin on the road is -5.7 points per game.

East Tennessee State has not been a great team to bet on this season, as they are only 10-10 against the spread. Their ATS record is only 4-4 at home and they have gone just 2-5 vs. the spread when favored this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Buccaneers have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 136 for East Tennessee State's game against Citadel is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (142.5). So far, 17 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total is 131 points.

The East Tennessee State offense is coming off a game where they scored 54 points against Mercer. They posted a field goal percentage of 39.3% and connected on 7 threes. The team's scoring leader is Jaden Seymour, who holds an average of 15.5 as they head into today's matchup. Additionally, Ebby Asamoah is averaging 15.1 points per game this season.

Currently, the Buccaneers' defense holds the 119th rank in the nation, allowing 69.7 points per game. Against Mercer in their most recent game, the East Tennessee State defense gave up a total of 49 points while allowing Mercer to hit 36% of their shots.