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<h3><strong>ATLANTA FALCONS at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS, 1 PM ET Sunday</strong></h3>
<h4><strong><a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/betanysports">BetAnySports</a> Pro Football Odds: Saints -4, Total 49</strong></h4>
Drew Brees is out of this game with fractured ribs and a punctured lung. So head coach Sean Payton has tabbed Taysom Hill for this start, as Jameis Winston may or may not see some action.

Atlanta (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) is an interesting proposition. The Falcons, who came on strong to close out with a 6-2 mark in the second half of 2019, appear to be putting forth some honest efforts under interim coach Raheem Morris. It's funny, because the message we got from owner Arthur Blank was that Morris might have been able to campaign for the long-term job if he went undefeated. And who knows - maybe he is re-thinking things as the Falcons have won three of their last four games.

Clearly we knew they had an awful lot of talent. But maybe Dan Quinn was trying to do too much. Matt Ryan is always doing a lot, it seems. He is not throwing up the kind of numbers he was during the Super Bowl season, but they're pretty good - 2746 yards and 15 touchdowns. The acquisition of Todd Gurley is at least something that makes other teams defend the run, even if he is averaging just 3.7 yards per carry.

New Orleans is ranked #1 in the NFL in Total DVOA, an overall strength metric developed by the folks at Football Outsiders. And of course they have come up with two pretty solid wins over Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Michael Thomas has returned to the lineup, and that will help Hill. So will Alvin Kamara, who is averaging 4.7 yards per carry and has caught 67 passes, which is more than twice as much as anyone else on the roster. Certainly Hill can use a short-range outlet.

Interestingly enough, Atlanta hasn't done badly against the run. The Falcons are tops in the league against "Power Success" and fourth in Stuff Rate. So they aren't exactly sieve-like up front.

Yes, these Falcons possess some virtues.

And <a href="http://bangthebook.com/s/bas"><strong>BetAnySports</strong> </a>patrons who are familiar with their season at all know that they have lost a number of games in VERY bizarre fashion. And if those games had gone the other way, they could be 6-3 or 7-2. And that would change the way we look at them, I guess. But you know what? Even if that had happened, they still wouldn't be as good as this New Orleans team, which by the way has scored 27 or more points in eight of nine games.

Hill has thrown only five passes this season, and 30 in his career. But as we know, he has obvious talents. He will bring a very real RPO threat to the table. And he runs with power. He is, by all accounts, pretty relentless too.

Payton and the Saints (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS) were anything but lost when Brees was absent with his thumb injury last season. Under Teddy Bridgewater, they won five straight games. And Payton reinforced his credentials as one of the foremost offensive architects in the business.

And here's the thing - the general consensus is that just as Morris is "auditioning" to be the Falcons' "permanent" coach, this serves as an audition for Hill to see if he has what it takes to be Brees' eventual successor.

As such, you just get the sense that Payton has really been anxious for this opportunity. And you can bet he had a lot of fun compiling this game plan. And since his teammates love him, just imagine the effort they'll put forth behind him.

The Saints will keep things rolling with another dimension to the attack, and we don't want to bet against the industrious Hill. We'll take NEW ORLEANS.

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NFL Picks -- Falcons vs. Saints: Hill Gets His Audition.....Morris Continues His

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<p>At 2:35 PM from Globe Life Field in Arlington, we have an interleague matchup between the Reds and Rangers. Heading into Sunday's game, the Reds are 15-12, while the Rangers are 14-14. Dane Dunning will start for the Rangers, and he is up against Andrew Abbott for the Reds.</p>

<p>Currently, the over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Rangers are the slight favorite on the money line at -127. Looking at the money line odds for the Reds, they are sitting at +106. You can catch this one on BSSW.</p><h3>TEXAS RANGERS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Texas Rangers Moneyline -127</p><p>This game will be played at Globe Life Field at 2:35 ET on Sunday, April 28th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE REDS VS RANGERS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Rangers winning by a score of 6 to 5</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>Cincinnati cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Rangers, they scored their only four runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight underdogs at -101.</p>

<p>Hunter Greene pitched well for the Reds in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Alexis Díaz got the save. Michael Lorenzen had a rough outing for the Rangers, taking the loss.</p>

<p>Jonathan India and Will Benson each homered for the Reds, while Nick Martini scored three times and drove in two runs while going 1/2. Davis Wendzel hit the game's only other home run for the Rangers, going 1/1 with two RBIs.</p><h3>Reds Records & Stats</h3><p>Cincinnati is on the road today vs. the Rangers, and they are 15-12 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. The Reds trail the Brewers by 2.5 games in the division and have gone 1-2 in divisional games. The Reds won the first game of this series vs. the Rangers.</p>

<p>At home, the Reds have gone 9-7 this year compared to 6-5 on the road. As the favorite, the Reds are 10-4 this year, and they are 5-8 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 4-3-1.</p><p>The Reds are 15-12 vs. the run line this season, including a 7-4 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 6-7 as the underdog.</p><p>The Cincinnati Reds are on the road against the Texas Rangers today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Reds have had a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 15-11. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 2-2. So far this season, 48.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.</p><p>Andrew Abbott and the Reds are on the road to take on the Rangers. Abbott has started 3 games this season and has a win and a loss to his name. He is coming off a no-decision in his last start, where he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 1 earned run.</p><p>Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been the Reds' top power threats this season, with De La Cruz's seven homers leading the team and Steer's three homers being the 8th best mark in the league. De La Cruz is also batting .283, while Steer comes in at .253. Will Benson has also hit four homers this season but is batting just .198. However, he has gone 5/21 in his last five games, including two homers.</p>

<p>As a team, the Reds are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been a very patient team at the plate, as they are 5th in walks but are batting just .221 as a team, which is 20th in the league. Overall, their team on-base percentage and slugging percentage numbers are below average.</p><h3>Rangers Records & Stats</h3><p>Texas is currently 14-14 overall and trail the Mariners by 1.5 games in the AL West. The Rangers dropped the final game of their series vs. the Mariners and have an AL West division record of 5-8. This season, they are 7-8 at home compared to 7-6 on the road.</p>

<p>The Rangers have an overall series record of 3-4-1, and they have dropped two straight series. So far, they are 6-7 as the favorite and 8-7 as the underdog. When playing during the day, the Rangers are just 3-7 this season.</p><p>The Rangers have been a solid run line team overall this season, going 13-15. They have been better on the road, going 7-6, compared to 6-9 at home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 9-6, compared to just 4-9 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.6, while it's -3.2 in losses.</p><p>Through 27 games, the Texas Rangers have played to an over/under record of 12-15. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, but their combined run average is 8.9 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Rangers' over/under record is 3-5. The over has hit in 60.7% of their games this season. In their last game, they combined for 12 runs against the Reds, going over the 8.5-run line.</p><p>Dane Dunning is getting the start for the Rangers today, as they are hosting the Reds. Dunning has started 2 games this season, and he has a win and a loss. His last time out, he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 4 runs on 7 hits and struck out 4.</p><p>Adolis Garcia has been a big power threat for the Rangers this season, as his seven home runs are 4th in the league and the most on the team. Garcia is also batting .290 for the season. Marcus Semien has also been a solid power threat, as he has five homers and is batting .261. Evan Carter is also tied for 2nd on the team with five homers, but he is batting just .213 for the season.</p>

<p>Over their last five games, Josh Smith has gone 6/18, and Evan Carter has two homers in this stretch but is just 4/18. Both players have two RBIs in this stretch. As a team, the Rangers are 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team so far, and are 8th in team batting average.</p>

Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/28/24

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