Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/27/24
The Reds and Rays are set to square off in an interleague matchup at 4:10 PM ET at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. Cincinnati is 50-53, and they will be looking to extend their three-game winning streak. The Reds are +101 on the money line. Zack Littell will start for the Rays, and they are 52-52 overall.
Currently, the over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and BSSUN is carrying the game on TV. The money line odds have the Rays favored at -120 compared to the Reds at +101.
CINCINNATI REDS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +101
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, July 27th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS RAYS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Cincinnati picked up a 3-2 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a late rally, scoring one run in the 10th inning to pick up the win. Heading into the game, the Reds were at -109 on the money line.
Nick Lodolo started for the Reds, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued just one walk. As for the Rays, Shane Baz got the start and went six innings, giving up two earned runs on two hits.
At the plate, the Reds were led by Jeimer Candelario, who went 1/4 with two RBIs. Jose Caballero and Jonny DeLuca each had two hits and an RBI for the Rays.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 50-53 overall and trails the Brewers by nine games in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division and have gone 12-14 against other teams in the NL Central. They head into today’s game having won three straight games, and they took the first game of this series vs. the Rays.
At home, the Reds are 25-28 this year, and they are an even 25-25 on the road. As the road favorite, the Reds have gone 8-3 this year and are 26-22 as the favorite overall. When they are the underdog, the Reds are 24-31 this year, and they are 12-18-3 in series this year.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 55-48 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 32-18 against the run line. Their average run differential for the season is +0.4 runs per game, and they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 34-21 against the run line.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the Tampa Bay Rays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 46-53. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Reds have gone over in 6 out of 15 games, and for the season, 80.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 9-6 with an ERA of 3.19. So far, Abbott has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 6.93 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went 6 2/3 innings vs. the Nationals, giving up two earned runs, six hits, and three walks. Abbott didn’t give up a homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds of late, going 13/37 in his last nine games with three homers and five RBIs. De La Cruz is batting .260 for the season and is 1st on the team with 18 homers. The Reds also have three other hitters with at least 15 homers, including Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario, who are also at the top of the team’s RBI leaderboard.
For the season, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .230, which is 20th in the league. The Reds are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts and have a collective on-base percentage of just .304.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is at an even 52-52 overall as they host the Reds today, and they are 9.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. So far, they have gone just 16-21 in AL East matchups. The Rays are looking to bounce back in the series vs. the Reds after dropping the first game.
At home, the Rays are 27-28 this year compared to 25-24 on the road. As the favorite, Tampa Bay has gone 28-26 and 24-26 as the underdog. The Rays’ overall series record is 18-12-3 this year, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Rays have a run line record of 50-54 this season, including a 21-34 mark at home. They have a run line record of 29-20 on the road, and their average run margin for the season is -0.5 runs per game. In their 50 wins, they have an average run margin of +2.8 runs per game, compared to an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game in their 54 losses. As underdogs, they have a run line record of 30-20, compared to a mark of 20-34 as favorites.
Today’s over/under line for the Tampa Bay Rays’ game against the Cincinnati Reds is set at 7.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Rays have played 69 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 66.3% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 50-49, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they are 16-14.
Zack Littell gets the start for the Rays today and will be looking to rebound from his last outing, where he gave up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Littell has a record of 3-7 and an ERA of 4.46, along with a WHIP of 1.40. Looking at his home/away splits, Littell has an ERA of 7.29 on the road compared to 3.36 at home. Opponents are batting .292 this season off Littell. He has made 20 starts, seven of which were quality starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Rays offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 27th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .234 and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs. However, they do have a good team walk rate and have the league’s 8th best team on-base percentage.
Isaac Paredes has been one of the few bright spots for the Rays offense this season, as he is batting just .249, but his 16 homers are the most on the team and 15th in the league. He also has driven in 55 runs this season. Yandy Diaz has the 2nd best batting average on the team at .272 and is 2nd on the team with 46 RBIs.