Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 7/27/24

The forecast for Saturday’s Braves vs. Mets matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 4:10 PM ET. Tylor Megill is starting for the Mets, and the Braves are going with Spencer Schwellenbach. Atlanta is on a six-game losing streak and is 3rd in the NL East, while the Mets have won five straight and are 2nd in the division.

New York is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -117 compared to the Braves at -101. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and this game can be seen on BSSE.

NEW YORK METS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -117

This game will be played at Citi Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, July 27th.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS METS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

New York picked up an 8-4 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense got off to a fast start, scoring seven of their eight runs in the 1st and 2nd innings. As for the Braves, they scored their only four runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -132 on the money line.

J.D. Martinez and Mark Vientos each homered for the Mets, while Francisco Alvarez went 1/4 with an RBI in his MLB debut. Martinez, Vientos, and Alvarez combined for seven of the Mets’ eight runs. On the other side, Adam Duvall hit a two-run homer for the Braves.

Kodai Senga pitched well for the Mets in this one, going 5 1/3 innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Charlie Morton had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss.

Braves Records & Stats

Atlanta is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Mets and snap their six-game losing streak. Currently, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East, 9.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are 14-14 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Braves have gone 30-21 this season compared to 24-27 on the road. As the favorite, Atlanta is 50-38 and 4-10 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 17-13-3, but they have dropped two straight series.

When betting the run line on the Braves, it’s been a losing proposition overall this season, as they are 45-57 on the run line. They are 24-27 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +0.5 runs per game. They are 6-8 on the run line as an underdog and have failed to cover in their last two road games.

The Braves are on the road against the Mets today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves have played in 97 games this season, and the O/U record for their games is 36-61. The average O/U line for their games is 8 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-18. So far this season, 35.3% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Schwellenbach has made four starts on the road and has a record of 1-2 with a 5.76 ERA in those outings.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 29 homers and 81 RBIs both rank 3rd in the league. His batting average of .308 is also the best mark on the Braves. Ozuna has been especially hot of late, going 9/24 in his last seven games with three homers.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. Their team batting average of .240 is 13th in the league, and they are 10th in home runs. Atlanta’s team on-base percentage is just 23rd in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in walks.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are currently nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East, and they are 20-14 in the division this year. New York has won five straight games, and they are 55-48 overall. At home, the Mets are 28-26 this year and 27-22 on the road.

So far, the Mets have been the underdog in three straight games, and they have gone 22-22 as the underdog this year. As the favorite, the Mets are 33-26 this year. New York’s overall series record is 16-12-6, and they are winning their current series vs. the Braves.

Despite being the underdog in their last three games, the Mets have covered the run line in each of those contests. They are now 27-17 against the run line as the underdog this season. Overall, they are 50-53 against the run line this season, with an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game.

When the Mets are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games is 55-45. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-11. So far this season, 24 of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 23.3% of their games.

Tylor Megill will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Against the Astros, he finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back further, Megill has finished with a loss in two of his last three outings. Megill’s ERA for the season is 5.08, along with a record of 2-4. Opponents are batting .230 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, Megill is averaging 4.38 walks compared to 11.31 strikeouts.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. New York has been a good power-hitting team this season, as they are 5th in total home runs and have the 6th best isolated power mark in the MLB. The Mets have three players with at least 16 homers, and that includes Francisco Lindor, who is 9th in the league with 22 long balls.

Over his last seven games, Lindor has gone 9/31 with five homers and 10 RBIs. He is also batting .257 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 62 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo is the team’s top run producer, as he is 13th in the league with 63 RBIs. However, he has just 16 homers and is batting only .234 for the season.