San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 7/27/24

From Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have the Padres and Orioles facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for Saturday’s matchup is set for 4:05 PM ET. FS1 will be televising this one, and the money line odds have the Orioles as the slight favorite (-116).

San Diego is currently on a six-game winning streak, and they are 56-50 overall. The Padres are +154 on the run line compared to the Orioles, who are 61-42. Dean Kremer will be starting for the Orioles, while the Padres are going with Michael King.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -116

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 4:05 ET on Saturday, July 27th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

San Diego rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this series, picking up a 6-4 win over the Orioles. The Padres scored four runs in the 6th inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th. Heading into the game, they were at +170 on the money line.

Adam Mazur only went 2 2/3 innings for the Padres but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Robert Suarez got the win out of the bullpen. Grayson Rodriguez went five innings for the Orioles, giving up two earned runs on seven hits.

Jurickson Profar and Xander Bogaerts each homered for the Padres, while Jordan Westburg went deep for Baltimore. Profar, Jackson Merrill, Luis Campusano, and Ha-Seong Kim each had two RBIs for San Diego’s offense.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is on a six-game winning streak, and they are 56-50 overall this season. The Padres are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and have gone 15-17 in divisional games. This year, they are 26-28 at home and have gone 30-22 on the road.

As the road favorite, the Padres have gone 10-9 this season, and they are 31-29 when favored overall. San Diego has been good as the underdog, putting together a mark of 25-21. The Padres’ overall series record is 19-13-3, and they have won two straight series.

The Padres have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 56-50 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 37-15. They have covered the run line in six straight road games and are 32-14 as an underdog on the run line this season.

San Diego Padres games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 55-50. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone over the total 3 times and under 4 times. Only 11.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 8-6 with a 3.28 ERA. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19, and opponents are batting .217 off him this year. King has turned in nine quality starts this year and is averaging 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. So far, he has won three straight starts.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .262. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the best on-base percentage in the league. The Padres have been swinging the bats well of late, as Jurickson Profar has gone 10/36 with four homers in his last eight games, and Xander Bogaerts is 16/32 in his last eight games.

Jurickson Profar has been a key power bat for the Padres this season, as his 18 homers are the best mark on the team and 13th best in the league. He also comes into the game with a team-best 66 RBIs. Profar’s 18 homers are nearly double the total of Luis Arraez and Jake Cronenworth, who are tied for 2nd on the team with 14 homers.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles are 61-42 overall and lead the AL East by two games over the Yankees. So far, they have gone 20-9 against other teams in the division. Baltimore is coming into today’s game having gone 4-6 over their last 10 games. At home, the Orioles are 30-23 this year and 31-19 on the road.

As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 49-34 this year, and they are 12-8 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 21-9-3, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When the Orioles win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, while their losses come by an average of 3.5 runs. They are 55-48 against the run line this season, including a 40-43 mark as the favorite and a 15-5 record as the underdog. They are 25-28 against the run line at home, where they have an average scoring margin of 0.5 runs per game, compared to 1.2 runs per game on the road.

The Orioles have been a strong over team this season, with a record of 54-39 on the over/under line. Their games have averaged a combined 9.1 runs per game, and their current over streak is at four games. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 10-11-3. Overall, the average over/under line in their games this season has been set at 8 runs.

Through 13 starts, Dean Kremer has a record of 4-6 and an ERA of 4.43. This season, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 8.61 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Kremer took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts. Kremer’s ERA at home is 6.83 compared to 3.49 on the road. Overall, he has a 1-3 record at home.

Anthony Santander has been on a tear for the Orioles of late, hitting six homers in his last eight games while going 12/35 (.343). For the season, he is batting .244, and his 29 homers are 3rd in the MLB. Santander’s 68 RBIs are 8th best in the league. Gunnar Henderson is 2nd on the team with 28 homers and is batting .284.

As a team, the Orioles are 1st in home runs and 2nd in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They are also the top team in the league in slugging percentage and have the best isolated power figure in the league. Currently, Santander is on a 12-game hitting streak, and Colton Cowser has a seven-game streak going.