Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 7/2/24
First pitch for Tuesday’s Reds vs. Yankees interleague matchup is set for 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The forecast for the game calls for temperatures in the mid-80s with a few clouds.
Cincinnati is 39-45 this season, while the Yankees are 54-32 and they are 2nd in the AL East. New York is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -202 compared to the Reds at +171. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and YES will be televising this one.
CINCINNATI REDS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +171
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Tuesday, July 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS YANKEES:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 2-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the slight favorite at +102 on the money line. Offensively, the Reds only had two fewer hits than the Cardinals but didn’t score a run. Both of their hits were singles and came in the 2nd inning.
Hunter Greene got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run, but got the loss. Cincinnati’s bullpen was also solid, as they didn’t give up a run in their 3 /13 innings of work.
Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10.5 games. Overall, the Reds are 39-45 as they play on the road vs. the Yankees. Cincinnati is 20-23 at home this year and have gone 19-22 on the road.
So far, the Reds have gone 12-14 in divisional games. They will be looking to make up some ground in the division, and they are 10.5 games behind the Brewers. As the underdog, the Reds are 19-29 this year, compared to a mark of 20-16 as the favorite. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 8-16-3, and they lost two straight series at home before splitting their most recent series vs. the Cardinals.
The Reds are 45-39 against the run line this season, and they have been a better bet on the road (27-14) than at home (18-25). Cincinnati’s average run differential is +0.2 runs per game overall, but it’s been slightly better on the road (+0.7) than at home (-0.3). The Reds are 16-20 against the run line as the favorite and 29-19 as the underdog.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.3 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 36-45, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 6-7. Overall, 50% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Cincinnati is sending right-hander Graham Ashcraft to the mound today as he faces the Yankees on the road. Ashcraft has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 4-4 with a 5.45 ERA. Looking at his numbers, Ashcraft has a WHIP of 1.49 and opponents are batting .280 this season. In his 13 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 6.92 strikeouts per nine innings. Ashcraft’s last outing came on June 26th, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging the bat well for the Reds of late, going 12/35 in his last eight games, with one home run and five RBIs. Overall, he is batting .252 with a team-high 14 homers. Jonathan India is also swinging a hot bat, going 16/30 in his last eight games and is currently on a 12-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a little better on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .229 and have the 17th ranked slugging percentage in the league.
Yankees Records & Stats
Aaron Judge and the Yankees are coming off a big 8-1 win over the Blue Jays to close out their series. New York was the slight favorite at -113 on the money line going into the game. It was a big second inning for the Yankees, as they scored two runs to take the early lead and added another two runs in the 3rd to extend their lead. New York’s offense scored their final four runs in the 5th.
Gerrit Cole put together a good start for the Yankees, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out six Blue Jays batters. Aaron Judge was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
With an overall record of 54-32, the Yankees are in 2nd place in the AL East, tied with the Orioles for the division lead. New York will take on the Reds at home today, and they are 24-14 at home this season. On the road, the Yankees have gone 30-18, which is the 2nd-best road record in the majors.
The Yankees have gone just 12-14 against other AL East teams this year. As the favorite, the Yankees are 42-26 and 12-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-7-3, but they have dropped three straight series at home.
When the Yankees win, they do so by an average of 4.0 runs per game, which has helped them to a run line record of 48-38. They have been especially profitable as an underdog, going 14-4 against the run line in those games.
The Yankees have been trending towards the over in recent games, with their last six games all going over the total. Their over/under record for the season is 45-39, and when the line is set at 8.5, they have gone over 22 times and under 14 times. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.0 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Reds is set at 8.5 runs.
New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he comes into the game with a record of 9-3 and an ERA of 3.15. So far this year, he has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .164 off him this year. Gil has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up seven earned runs in 1 1/3 innings of work. So, Gil will be looking to bounce back today.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top offense in terms of runs per game. This season, they are averaging 5.1 runs per contest and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. As a team, the Yankees are batting .251, which is 8th in the league, and are 3rd in the league in both on-base percentage and slugging.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the best hitters in the league this season, with Judge leading the MLB in both homers (31) and RBIs (82). He is also batting .316 for the season. Over his last 10 games, Judge has gone 15/36 with five homers and 18 RBIs. Giancarlo Stanton has also been swinging a hot bat, as he is on a 10-game hitting streak.