Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/2/24

Jose Berrios and the Blue Jays will host the Astros tonight in Toronto, and the Blue Jays are favored on the money line (-116). However, they are on a two-game losing streak. As for the Astros, they are +102 on the money line and their three-game winning streak has them 2nd in the AL West.

Spencer Arrighetti is starting for the Astros, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs. Toeing the rubber for the Blue Jays is Jose Berrios. If you’re looking for this game on TV, it is being carried by AT&T SportsNet Southwest and SportsNet.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -116

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Tuesday, July 2nd.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Houston rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Astros vs. Blue Jays series. The Astros scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 3-1 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -132 on the money line.

Toronto wasted a good outing from Yariel Rodriguez, as he gave up just one run in 6 2/3 innings of work for the Blue Jays. Hunter Brown started for the Astros and also gave up just one run across six innings. Brown got the win in the game, while Josh Hader got the save.

Offensively, the Astros were led by Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena, as they were the only two Astros hitters to have more than one hit. Alvarez and Alex Bregman each drove in a run for Houston’s offense.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston is 43-41 overall and is 2nd in the AL West, three games behind the Mariners for the division lead. The Astros have won three straight games, and they are 9-1 over their last 10 games, which is the best mark in the AL West. So far, they have gone 15-12 in divisional games.

As the road team today, the Astros are 19-22 on the road this season compared to 24-19 at home. Houston has won three straight games as the road team and have an overall series record of 15-11-1 this year. The Astros have won five straight series.

When betting the run line on the Astros, it’s important to consider their overall run line record of 41-43, which includes a 22-21 mark at home. They have a run line record of 19-22 on the road, but they have covered in three straight games on the run line away from home. Houston has an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game, but that number jumps to 1.1 runs per game at home. As the favorite, they are just 29-35 on the run line, but they are 12-8 as the underdog.

The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.9, and their over/under record is 31-49. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 9-14. So far this season, 33 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 39.3% of their games.

Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 4-6 with a 5.68 ERA. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.60. In his 14 starts, he has turned in just two quality starts. Arrighetti’s ERA at home is 9.6, compared to 7.58 on the road. The right-hander most recently faced the Rockies, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.

Yordan Alvarez has been a key power threat for the Astros this season, as his 17 home runs are 2nd on the team and 9th in the league. He also leads the team with 43 RBIs. Alvarez is batting .294 for the season. Kyle Tucker has also been a big power threat, as his 19 homers are the most on the team and 7th in the MLB. Tucker is 3rd on the team with 40 RBIs.

Jose Altuve has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/21 in his last five games. For the season, he is batting .304 with 13 homers and 37 RBIs. Kyle Tucker has also gone deep in his last six games and is batting .381 in this stretch. Alex Bregman is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 15 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 38-46 and have dropped two straight games, including losing the series opener vs. the Astros. Their record in the AL East is 12-16 this season.

At home, the Blue Jays are 20-22 this season, and they are 18-24 on the road. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are just 9-26 this season, and they are 2-9 as the home underdog. Toronto’s overall series record is 9-12-6, and they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.4. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9. Their overall run line record is 39-45, and they’re 24-18 against the run line on the road. They’re 15-27 against the run line at home, where they’ve lost two straight against the run line.

When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs per game. However, in the 27 games where the line was set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit 11 times. The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 39-42.

José Berríos will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just two earned runs in seven innings of work. In that outing vs. the Yankees, he picked up the win. Overall, Berríos has a record of 7-6 and an ERA of 3.38. Opponents have a batting average of .228 vs. Berríos this season. He has made 17 starts, and opponents have hit 18 home runs off the right-hander. Berríos has turned in 12 quality starts this year. Looking at his numbers, he has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.49 ERA compared to 5.18 on the road.

Over his last nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire for the Blue Jays, going 17/39 with six homers and 20 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in homers (13) and RBIs (50). Guerrero Jr. is batting .297 for the season, which is 3rd best on the team.

As a team, the Blue Jays are 25th in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .235 and are near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs. However, the Blue Jays are 4th in the MLB in terms of fewest strikeouts per game.