Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 9/28/24
From Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have the Reds and Cubs facing off in an NL Central matchup. This one gets started at 2:20 PM ET, and it is being televised by MARQ.
The Cubs are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -129 compared to the Reds at +110. This game will be played in light rain, as the forecasted temperature is 66 degrees. Kyle Hendricks will start for the Cubs, while the Reds are starting Rhett Lowder. Cincinnati is currently on a four-game losing streak, and they are 76-84 overall, while the Cubs are 82-78.
CHICAGO CUBS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline -129
This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 2:20 ET on Saturday, September 28th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS CUBS:
- We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cubs vs Reds series. Chicago went into the matchup as -129 favorites and squeaked out a 1-0 win. The only run of the game came in the 5th inning when Nico Hoerner scored on a fielder’s choice.
Cincinnati wasted a good outing from Nick Martinez, as he gave up just one run in eight innings of work for the Reds. Jameson Taillon was even better for the Cubs, getting the win after going seven innings and not giving up a run.
With the win, the Cubs have now taken two out of the first three games of this series. Heading into the matchup, they were at -139 on the money line.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 76-84 overall, and they are 16 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds have dropped four straight games, and they are 23-27 against other teams in the NL Central. So far, they trail the Cubs by six games in the division.
At home, the Reds are 39-42 this season, and they are just under .500 at 37-42 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 25-36 this season compared to 41-50 as the underdog. Cincinnati has an overall series record of 19-29-3, and they are losing this series vs. the Cubs 0-1.
The Reds have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 86-74 overall. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 48-31, and have covered in their last three road games. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 57-34, compared to 29-40 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while it is -3.4 in losing games.
The Cincinnati Reds have played in 153 games this season with Over/Under lines higher than 7, which accounts for 95.6% of their games. Their average O/U line is 9 runs per game, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. Their O/U record for the season is 73-80, and when the line is set at 7 runs, they are 2-2-2. The under has hit in their last 5 games.
Rhett Lowder and the Reds are on the road to take on the Cubs. Lowder has started 3 games this season, and he has a 2-1 record. He’s coming off a win in his last start, which was a 5-inning outing vs. the Pirates. In that game, he struck out 4 and gave up 5 hits.
Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent run producer for the Reds this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 74 RBIs and is batting .261 for the year. Over his last five games, De La Cruz has gone 6/21 with two runs and an RBI. He also went deep in this stretch. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are tied for 2nd on the team with 20 homers, but both are batting below .230 for the season.
Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 14th in home runs this season. As a team, they are batting just .232, which is 15th in the league. Currently, Nick Martini is on a three-game hitting streak for the Reds.
Cubs Records & Stats
With an overall record of 82-78, the Cubs are 10 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 22-28 against other NL Central teams. The Cubs are coming off a win over the Reds and will look to keep things going at home today.
Chicago has gone 43-36 at home this season compared to a 39-42 mark on the road. As the home favorite, the Cubs are 29-26 this season and 44-38 as the favorite overall. They have won two straight games as the favorite. So far, they are 38-40 as the underdog this year.
Chicago has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 77-83 on the run line. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 47-34 on the run line, compared to just 30-49 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 50-28 on the run line, compared to just 27-55 as the favorite.
Chicago Cubs games have had an average combined run total of 8.7 this season, and their over/under record is 75-79. When the over/under line is set at 7, their record is 4-5-1. The Cubs have played 147 games with over/under lines set higher than 7, which accounts for 91.9% of their games. They have played just three games with lower lines, which is 1.9% of their games.
Kyle Hendricks gets the start for the Cubs today and comes in with a record of 4-12 and an ERA of 6.28. So far this year, he has made 23 starts, and opponents are batting .289 off the right-hander. Hendricks has turned in just four quality starts this year and is averaging 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Hendricks has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 8.56 compared to 5.68 at home.
Seiya Suzuki has been a big power threat for the Cubs lineup this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 21 homers and comes into the game with a team-leading 73 RBIs. Suzuki is also hitting .281 for the season. Ian Happ has also been a big power threat, as he leads the Cubs with 25 homers and is batting .245 for the year.
Over his last eight games, Nico Hoerner has been on fire, going 12/28 with two homers and seven runs scored. This has pushed his season average to .276, and he is also 2nd on the team with seven homers.