Miami Marlins vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/28/24

From the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have the Marlins and Blue Jays facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 3:07 PM ET. SNET will be televising this one, and the Blue Jays are favored on the money line (-167). The Marlins are 60-100 overall and they have won two straight. Xzavion Curry is starting for the Marlins, while the Blue Jays are going with Yariel Rodriguez. In the NL East, the Marlins are 5th, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East.

Today’s forecast in Toronto calls for clouds and temperatures in the mid-60s. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Marlins are +141 on the money line compared to the Blue Jays at -167. Yariel Rodriguez will be starting for the Blue Jays, while the Marlins are going with Xzavion Curry.

MIAMI MARLINS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +141

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 3:07 ET on Saturday, September 28th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Miami cruised to a 15-5 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their fifteen runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only five runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Marlins were the +192 underdogs.

Adam Oller only went five innings for the Marlins but gave up just four hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts and two walks. On the other side, Jose Berrios was tagged for six runs in just three innings of work for the Blue Jays.

Miami’s offense was led by Jonah Bride and Griffin Conine, who each homered twice. Bride, Xavier Edwards, Jake Burger, and Connor Norby each had three RBIs for the Marlins’ offense.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 60-100 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 34 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 18-34 in divisional matchups. The Marlins have won two straight games and are 5-5 across their last 10.

At home, the Marlins are just 30-51 this year, but they have been slightly better on the road at 30-49. As the underdog, the Marlins are 56-86 this year, and they are 4-14 when favored. Miami has an overall series record of 12-30-9 and have lost two straight series at home.

When the Marlins are on the road, they have a run line record of 41-38. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 74-68 as the underdog on the run line this season. Their average run differential in games they win is +2.9, but it drops to -3.9 in games they lose.

Today, the Miami Marlins are on the road against the Toronto Blue Jays. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.2 runs per game. The Marlins have gone over the line in 30 of 55 games when the line is set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 85-69. Over their last three games, the over has hit each time.

Miami is sending Xzavion Curry to the mound today, and he has made four starts and 15 appearances this season. Curry’s ERA is 5.02, and his record for the season is 1-2. The right-hander most recently pitched on September 22nd out of the bullpen, where he went one inning, giving up one earned run on one hit. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Curry has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three appearances. Opponents are batting .242 off Curry this season, and he has a BB/9 figure of 1.43 compared to 6.45 strikeouts per nine innings.

After a slow start to the season, the Marlins offense has been better of late, as they are averaging 4.2 runs per game at home and are batting .243 as a team, which is 9th in the league. However, they are just 22nd in home runs and are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS. Miami’s team ISO of .135 is also just 21st in the league.

Jake Burger has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 29 homers are 13th in the league, and he is also leading the Marlins with 76 RBIs. Burger and Jesús Sánchez are both batting .251 this season, with Sánchez sitting 2nd on the team with 18 homers. Sánchez is currently on a six-game hitting streak, and Jonah Bride has been hot of late, going 11/34 in his last nine games with four homers.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 74-86 overall this season, which has them in 5th place in the AL East. Currently, they are 19.0 games behind the Yankees for the top spot in the division. So far, they have gone just 21-31 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays have lost three straight series and have an overall series record of 17-28-6.

At home, the Blue Jays are 39-40 this season compared to 35-46 on the road. Toronto has really struggled as the underdog this season, going 29-54, but they are 45-32 when favored. Looking at their overall record, the Blue Jays have been struggling, going just 2-8 over their last ten games.

When betting the run line on the Toronto Blue Jays, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. They are 51-30 against the run line away from home compared to just 29-50 at home. They have an average run margin of -0.4 on the season, but that number is slightly worse at home (-0.7) than on the road (-0.1).

When the Toronto Blue Jays are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Blue Jays’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 80-76. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 23-20. Overall, 28 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 17.5% of their games this season.

Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays. In that start, which came on September 21st, he took the loss and gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back at his last three outings, Rodríguez has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 1-7, along with an ERA of 4.41. Opponents are batting .223 this season vs. Rodríguez, and his WHIP for the season is 1.32.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, batting .326 with 30 home runs and 103 RBIs. He is also coming off a stretch in which he went 11/26 (.423) with four RBIs. George Springer is also near the top of the Blue Jays’ home run leaderboard, but he is batting just .220 this season.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, where they are also 20th in the league in runs scored. Overall, they are 9th in terms of batting average, and their team OPS of .706 is 15th in the league.