Brandon Pfaadt and the Diamondbacks will host the Reds today at Chase Field in Phoenix, with the game getting underway at 3:40 PM ET. Cincinnati will be starting Andrew Abbott and is looking to move above .500 for the season, as they are 18-24.

Arizona comes into the game as the slight money line favorite (-143), while the Reds are currently sitting at +122. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on Bally Sports Arizona and Bally Sports Ohio.


The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -143

This game will be played at Chase Field at 3:40 ET on Wednesday, May 15th.


  • We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Cincinnati picked up a 6-2 road win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a big 3rd inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight favorites at -103.

Hunter Greene started for the Reds and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts and allowed just one home run. Slade Cecconi struggled on the mound for the Diamondbacks, giving up six runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

At the plate, the Reds were led by Will Benson, Tyler Stephenson, and Jake Fraley, as they were the only three Reds hitters to have more than one hit. Benson and Stephenson each homered in the game. For the Diamondbacks, Kevin Newman went 2/2 with an RBI.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 18-24 overall and is 7th in the NL Central. The Reds trail the Brewers by seven games for the division lead, and they are 1-2 in division games this year. The Reds have lost five straight series, and their overall series record is 4-8-1 this year.

At home, the Reds are 9-13 this year and are just above .500 at 9-11 on the road. Cincinnati has dropped eight of their last ten games overall and are just 2-8 in their last ten.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 21-21 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 13-7. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2.

When the Reds and Diamondbacks met earlier this season, the combined run average was 8 runs per game. The over/under line was set at 8.5 runs for two of those games, and the over/under record for those games was 1-1. Overall, the Reds have played in 19 games with higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for those games is 8-11. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-20.

Cincinnati is sending Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-4. Abbott's ERA is 3.35, and he is coming off a solid outing vs. the Giants in which he got the win. In that outing, he went five innings and gave up two earned runs. Looking back at his last three outings, Abbott has given up two earned runs in each of them. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 7.74 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed eight homers and is averaging 2.51 walks per nine innings.

Elly De La Cruz has been the Reds' best power threat this season, as his nine home runs are 5th in the league and the top mark on the team. However, he has hit just .200 over his last nine games. Overall, De La Cruz is batting .260 for the season. Spencer Steer is also in the top 10 in home runs, as he has gone deep four times while batting .248.

Looking at the Reds as a team, they are 15th in scoring at 4.3 runs per game. This season, they are batting just .220, which is 25th in the league. Currently, Cincinnati has three players on a decent hitting streak, with Jeimer Candelario and Santiago Espinal both having hits in four straight games, and Spencer Steer has hits in five straight.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 20-23 overall and trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games in the NL West. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 9-8 in divisional matchups. The Diamondbacks are looking to pick up a win today, as they are 10-11 at home this year.

So far, the Diamondbacks have been favored in 19 of their games, going 10-9 in those matchups. As the underdog, Arizona is 10-14 this year. They have struggled at home as the favorite, putting together a record of 7-6. Arizona's overall series record is 4-8-1 this year, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

The Diamondbacks have a run differential of +0.3 runs per game this season, and their run line record is 21-22. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 12-10 compared to 9-12 at home. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 14-10 compared to 7-12 as the favorite.

The Diamondbacks have played 20 games with over/under lines higher than 8.5, going 7-6 in those games. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-23 overall. Their games have averaged nine runs per game this season, and their games have gone over the over/under line in 46.5% of their games this season.

Through eight starts, Brandon Pfaadt has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 4.60. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing against the Orioles, where he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Pfaadt has a walk rate of just 1.53 per nine innings compared to 8.04 strikeouts. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.19. Pfaadt has made four starts at home, going 1-2 with a 4.47 ERA. On the road, his ERA is 4.70.

Arizona has been one of the league's top offensive teams so far this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also among the league leaders in home runs, and have the 8th best team batting average in the league.

Christian Walker has been the team's top power threat so far, as his seven home runs is 2nd on the team and 7th in the league. Ketel Marte has also been swinging the bat well, as he is hitting .290 for the season and has gone deep twice in his past five games. However, he is just 5/23 in that stretch.