Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/17/24
On Sunday, November 17th at 8:20 ET, the Bengals and Chargers will face off at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. This week 11 AFC matchup is being televised on NBC. The Chargers are the favorite with a point spread of -1.5 and money line odds of -120. The over/under line is set at 46.5 points.
CINCINNATI BENGALS VS LOS ANGELES CHARGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Chargers -1.5
This game will be played at SoFi Stadium at 8:20 ET on Sunday, November 17th.
WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES CHARGERS:
- We have the Chargers winning this one by a score of 28 to 21
- Not only do we have the Chargers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 46.5 points
Will The Bengals Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Heading into week 11, the Bengals sit 15th in our NFL power rankings and have a 36.9% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4-6 on the season, including a 3-2 record on the road. In division play, Cincinnati is 1-2, and they are 2-4 against AFC opponents. This puts them 3rd in the AFC North and 9th in the conference standings.
Against the spread, the Bengals are 6-4, with a +0.8 scoring margin. They have covered the spread in two straight games, including a 1-point loss to the Ravens in week 10, where they were 6-point underdogs. The over has hit in three consecutive Bengals games, and their O/U record is 7-3 this season.
Joe Burrow has been on a tear, following up his 5-touchdown performance in week 9 with 428 passing yards and 4 touchdowns in week 10 against the Ravens. He completed 34 of 56 passes without an interception, posting a passer rating of 108. Ja’Marr Chase was his top target, hauling in 11 catches for 264 yards and 3 touchdowns. On the ground, Chase Brown had 13 carries for 42 yards and a touchdown.
Heading into week 11, the Bengals are 5th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 5th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 27, and are 4th in passing yards per game with 254.8. They have struggled in the run game, ranking 29th in rushing yards per game with 89.7, on 22.4 attempts per game.
Despite winning the tackles for loss battle, the Bengals’ defense struggled to generate pressure in their latest game, a 35-34 loss to the Ravens. Cincinnati allowed four passing touchdowns and gave up 290 yards through the air on 25 completions. Baltimore converted 58.3% of their third down attempts, and the Bengals failed to record a single sack while losing the QB hit differential by -12.
Overall, the Bengals’ defense allowed a completion percentage of 75.8% and 389 total yards in the game. They also gave up 99 yards on the ground, with the Ravens averaging 4.0 yards per rushing attempt.
Will The Chargers Win At Home Over The Bengals?
With three straight wins, the Chargers now sit at 6-3, giving them an 88.2% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. After a week 7 loss to the Cardinals, they bounced back with victories over the Saints (28-6), Browns (27-10), and Titans (27-17). Against Tennessee, L.A. covered the 8.5-point spread, but the 44 points scored in the game went over the 40-point line.
Heading into week 11, the Chargers rank 16th in our power rankings. They are 6-2-1 against the spread, with a +7.6 scoring margin. Their O/U record stands at 2-7, with their games averaging 33.8 points per game.
Heading into week 11, the Chargers are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in points per game (20.7) and 22nd in passing yards per game (196.4), despite ranking 30th in passing attempts. On the ground, they average 117.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 19th, with 29.6 rushing attempts per game, which is 8th in the league. Los Angeles ranks 12th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (39.8%) and 6th in red zone conversion percentage.
Justin Herbert has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 123 in week 10, following ratings of 125 in week 9 and 111 in week 8. Against the Titans in week 10, he threw for 164 yards and a touchdown, completing 14 of 18 passes without an interception. Ladd McConkey led the team with 52 receiving yards, while Gus Edwards rushed for 55 yards on 10 carries.
The Chargers’ defense came up with seven sacks in their most recent game, helping them to a 27-17 win over the Titans. Despite allowing 132 rushing yards on just 21 attempts, the Chargers held the Titans to 157 passing yards. Tennessee managed to complete 78.3% of their passes, with two passing touchdowns, but the Chargers limited them to 6.8 yards per attempt.
Los Angeles’ defense was also strong on third downs, allowing the Titans to convert just 33.3% of their third down attempts. The Chargers’ pass rush was effective, as they also had a positive differential in QB hits and tackles for loss.