Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 5/5/24

At 2:15 PM ET, the White Sox and Cardinals will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and features a Cardinals club that is 15-18 compared to the White Sox at 7-26. Matthew Liberatore is starting for the Cardinals, and he is facing off against Garrett Crochet for the White Sox.
St. Louis is the favorite at -160 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. Looking at the White Sox, they are +134 on the money line. You can catch this one on BSMW.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline -160
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 2:15 ET on Sunday, May 5th.
HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this White Sox vs Cardinals series. Chicago went into the matchup as +154 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-5 win. The White Sox had a huge 5th inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored their lone run in the 5th and added four in the 9th.
Nolan Arenado had a three-hit game for the Cardinals, including a home run. He finished with three RBIs and scored a run. Brendan Donovan also had a two RBI game at the plate. As for the White Sox, Korey Lee went 2/4 with two RBIs.
Michael Kopech got the win for the White Sox out of the bullpen, while Tanner Banks got the save. Ryan Fernandez took the loss for St. Louis out of the bullpen.
White Sox Records & Stats
With a record of 7-26, the White Sox are 14 games out of the AL Central lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 2-18. Chicago is on the road today vs. the Cardinals, and they are just 2-14 on the road this year.
Chicago has really struggled in close games this year, as they are 1-8-1 in series this year. As the road underdog, the White Sox are just 2-14 this year. They have yet to be the favorite in a game this year.
When it comes to the run line, the White Sox have been a better bet as the underdog, going 15-18 overall. They have been a better bet at home (10-7) than on the road (5-11). The average run margin in their losses is -3.8, while it’s +1.9 in their wins.
Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs for the White Sox-Cardinals game is actually lower than the average over/under line for White Sox games this season, which is set at 8 runs. The White Sox have played 22 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 8.4 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 16-16, and their over/under record when the line has been set at 7.5 runs is 3-6.
Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. So far this season, he has made seven starts and has a record of 1-4 with a 5.97 ERA. Crochet’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10, and opponents are batting .218 this season. Crochet’s last outing came against the Twins, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Crochet has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings.
Chicago’s offense has been the worst in the league so far this season, averaging just 2.9 runs per game. They are also the league’s worst home run hitting team, and have the worst team batting average in the league. However, they do have a few hitters who have shown some power, as Gavin Sheets, Andrew Benintendi, Paul DeJong, Eloy Jiménez, and Korey Lee are all tied for the team lead with three homers.
Benintendi has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/29 in his last seven games with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .195. The White Sox’s lineup also features a number of other hitters who are batting under .220, including Luis Robert Jr., who is at .214.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is looking to pick up a win today as they host the White Sox with an overall record of 15-18. The Cardinals are 5.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central and have yet to win a game against another NL Central team this year, going 0-3. So far, they have played better on the road, going 9-10 compared to 6-8 at home.
The Cardinals have an even series record of 5-5 heading into today’s game, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. St. Louis has really struggled in day games this year, going 5-12, and they have lost two straight home games as the favorite.
The Cardinals have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 18-15 overall. They have been particularly good as the underdog, going 11-6 against the run line in those games. The average run differential in their wins is +2.5, while it drops to -3.6 in their losses.
St. Louis Cardinals games have had an average of 7.9 runs scored this season, but their over/under record is just 12-20. The average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is just 1-8. In 23 of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs, which is 69.7% of their games. Their most recent game against the White Sox had 11 runs scored, going over the 8.5 run line. Their game before that had just 3 runs scored, going under the 7.5 run line.
Left-hander Matthew Liberatore will be starting for the Cardinals today as he faces the White Sox at home. He has made 12 appearances this season but has yet to make a start, finishing with a no-decision in his only outing out of the bullpen. In that appearance, he went one inning and didn’t give up a run. Liberatore’s ERA for the season is 2.75, along with a record of 1-1. Opponents are batting .182 off Liberatore this season. His WHIP is currently 1.10. This year, he has allowed a total of two homers. Per nine innings, he has 4.41 walks compared to 5.51 strikeouts.
St. Louis will be looking for their offense to get on track today, as they are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .217. One positive note is that they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters in Willson Contreras and Nolan Gorman, but Gorman is batting just .182 so far this season.
Nolan Arenado has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/27 in his last seven games with seven RBIs. He also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .296 with two homers. Contreras has five homers this season and is batting .276. However, he has just one RBI in his last seven games.