Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 5/5/24

At 2:10 from Target Field in Minneapolis, we have an American League matchup between the Red Sox and Twins. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Red Sox are 18-16 compared to the Twins at 19-13. On the money line, the Twins are the favorite at -176.

Joe Ryan is starting for the Twins, and he is facing off against Cooper Criswell for the Red Sox. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and you can catch this one on NESN.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -176

This game will be played at Target Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, May 5th.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS TWINS:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Red Sox series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -178 favorites and squeaked out a 3-1 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Red Sox could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 6th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Pablo Lopez started for the Twins and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued a season-high seven walks. On the other side, Brennan Bernardino only went one inning for the Red Sox, giving up one run on one hit.

Max Kepler was the difference for the Twins, as he homered, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Willi Castro also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. Wilyer Abreu and Dominic Smith each had two hits for Boston.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is on the road today vs. the Twins, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, all of which have come vs. AL East opponents. Currently, the Red Sox are 4.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Overall, they are 18-16 this season.

At home, the Red Sox are 7-9 this year and have gone 11-7 on the road. As the road underdog, Boston is 6-7 this year and 9-5 as the favorite. The Red Sox have an overall series record of 6-3-1 this year, and they have won two straight series.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 12-6. They have covered the run line in three straight road games, but they have not been a good bet to cover the run line as the favorite, going just 5-9. They are 13-7 against the run line as the underdog.

The Red Sox have had a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 13-18. Their last five games have all gone under the total, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game. The Red Sox have played 18 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, going 1-3-2 in those games. They have played 10 games with over/under lines set lower than 8 runs, going 2-7-1 in those games.

Cooper Criswell and the Red Sox are on the road to take on the Twins today. Criswell has started 2 games this season, and he has picked up wins in both. In his last outing, he went 5 innings and struck out 4, giving up 2 hits and 1 walk. He has yet to give up a home run this season.

Over his last six games, Rafael Devers has gone 7/19 with three RBIs for the Red Sox, and he is also Boston’s top home run threat this season, with nine homers. Tyler O’Neill is also a big power threat for the Red Sox, as he is 2nd in the league with nine homers and comes into the game batting .292. However, O’Neill has gone just 4/23 in his last six games.

Jarren Duran has been swinging a hot bat for the Red Sox, going 6/21 in his last six games and is batting .257 for the season. Duran is 2nd on the team with 15 RBIs. The Red Sox will be looking for Ceddanne Rafaela to break out of his recent slump, as he is just 5/22 in his last six games and is batting just .198 for the season.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is hosting the Red Sox today, and they come in having won 12 straight games, including taking the first two games of this series vs. the Red Sox. The Twins are 19-13 overall, putting them 1.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 12-7 in divisional games.

As the favorite, the Twins have gone 17-5 this year and just 2-8 as the underdog. Minnesota has been good on the road at 11-7 and 8-6 at home. Looking at their overall series record, the Twins are 4-4-2 and have won three straight series overall.

Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season at 17-15. They are 6-8 on the run line at home, where they have an average scoring margin of +0.4 runs per game. The Twins have been even better on the run line on the road, going 11-7. Their average scoring margin in winning games is +3.5 runs per game.

The Twins have seen their last two games go under the total, and their over/under record for the season is 15-16. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and their combined run average is 8.8 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Red Sox is set at 8 runs.

Through six starts, Joe Ryan has a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 3.38. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a homer. In his last outing, Ryan gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Ryan has allowed one homer in three of his last four outings. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.04 and is averaging 10.64 strikeouts per nine innings. Ryan’s ERA at home is 4.69 compared to 2.06 on the road.

Minnesota’s offense has been one of the better home run hitting teams in the league so far, as they are 10th in the league in homers and have the 4th best isolated power figure in the league. As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. However, they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest.

Over his last seven games, Willi Castro has gone 14/31 with seven runs scored. For the season, he is batting .287 and is 4th on the team with 12 RBIs. Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ top power threat so far, with seven homers (4th in the league) and is 9th in the league with 21 RBIs. He is also batting .296 for the season.