Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 5/3/24

At 8:15 PM from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have an interleague matchup between the White Sox and Cardinals. Heading into Friday’s game, the White Sox have a record of 6-25, while the Cardinals are 14-17 overall. Sonny Gray will start for the Cardinals, and he is facing off against Brad Keller for the White Sox.
St. Louis is the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -264, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. You can catch this one on NBC Sports.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 8:15 ET on Friday, May 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
White Sox Records & Stats
The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 10-5 loss. Chicago was the +186 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the White Sox, as they got on the board with two runs in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Twins scored three times in the top of the first.
Chicago started Chris Flexen, and he took the loss, going five innings and giving up six earned runs on four hits. Tommy Pham had only two hits, but one of them was a home run, and Korey Lee scored the team’s other run, going 1/3 with a homer.
Chicago is on the road today to take on the Cardinals, and they are just 6-25 overall this season. The White Sox have dropped three straight games, and they are 14 games out of first in the AL Central. So far, they are just 2-18 against other AL Central teams.
At home, the White Sox are only 5-12 while going just 1-13 on the road. Chicago has struggled in day games this year, going 2-11 and 4-14 in night games. As the road underdog, the White Sox are 1-13 this year and 0-0 as the favorite.
Chicago has been a solid run line team this season, going 14-17 overall. They have been especially good at covering the run line at home, going 10-7. However, on the road, they have struggled to cover the run line, going just 4-10. Their average run margin this season is -2.7 runs per game.
So far this season, the White Sox have played in 30 games with an average over/under line of 8 runs. Their over/under record is 15-15, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. In games with an over/under line set at 7.5 runs, the White Sox have gone 3-5 to the over. The over has hit in two straight games for the White Sox, with a combined run average of 15 runs in those two contests.
Brad Keller will be making his first start of the season for the White Sox on the road against the Cardinals. Keller made a relief appearance in his first outing of the year, going 1 2/3 innings and striking out 1. He did not allow a run, but did give up a hit and two walks.
Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 2.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse in terms of getting on base, as their team OBP of .276 is also the worst in the league. The White Sox are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .212.
Over his last nine games, Andrew Benintendi has gone 10/34 with three homers and 11 RBIs, while Eloy Jiménez is also coming off a stretch in which he hit two homers and batted .297. Both players come into the game with three homers for the season. Benintendi’s 13 RBIs are the most on the team, while Jiménez is 3rd with nine. Both players are looking to get their batting averages up, as Benintendi is at just .200 for the season, and Jiménez is at .239.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis closed out their series vs. the Tigers with a 4-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were the slight favorite at -116 on the money line. Things started off well for the Cardinals, as they got on the board with a run in the 4th inning but gave up the lead right away as the Tigers scored two runs in the bottom of the 4th.
Miles Mikolas put together a good start for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs, and he also issued only one walk. However, the Cardinals offense couldnjsonly score one run, and Willson Contreras’s homer was the only bright spot. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Michael Siani, who went 2/2 with a run scored.
St. Louis will host the White Sox today with an overall record of 14-17, which has them 4th in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 5.5 games behind the Brewers for the lead in the NL Central and are 0-3 in divisional games this year. The Cardinals lost the final two games of their series with the Tigers, dropping two straight games to start their losing streak.
At home, the Cardinals are 5-7 this year and 9-10 on the road. So far, they have been .500 both as the favorite and as the underdog, going 7-7 in each situation. St. Louis’ overall series record is 5-5, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games overall.
When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.4 runs per game. However, they have been outscored by an average of -1.0 runs per game overall, which has led to a run line record of 17-14. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 11-6, compared to 6-8 as the favorite.
St. Louis has had a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game this season, but the over/under line for tonight’s game against the White Sox is set at 7.5 runs. The Cardinals have played 22 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and they have gone 1-7 in games with that specific line. Overall, the over/under record for St. Louis games this season is 11-19.
Sonny Gray is taking the mound for the Cardinals today, and he has been solid in his first three starts of the season. He has a win in each of his first two outings, and in his last start, he struck out 9 Mets batters. He has yet to give up a home run this season.
St. Louis has really struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .220, and their team on-base percentage of .300 is also near the bottom of the league.
Willson Contreras is the Cardinals’ top power threat, as his five homers this season is 6th in the league and leads the team. However, he has gone just 4/25 in his last six games. Brendan Donovan is also near the top of the league in home runs, but he is batting just .222 for the season. Nolan Arenado is hitting .271 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 13 RBIs.