San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 5/3/24

At 9:40 PM from Chase Field in Phoenix, we have an NL West matchup between the Padres and Diamondbacks. San Diego comes in with a record of 16-18, while the Diamondbacks are 14-18 overall. The money line odds have the Padres favored at -108, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

Slade Cecconi is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Dylan Cease for the Padres. You can catch Friday night’s game on TV on MLB Network.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -108

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Friday, May 3rd.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Padres Records & Stats

The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 6-2 win. After allowing one run to the Reds in the top of the first, the Padres responded with two runs of their own. San Diego went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.

Starting for the Padres was Joe Musgrove, who picked up the win while tossing six innings of two-run ball. He also finished with nine K’s and issued just one walk. Jake Cronenworth went only one inning, but he drove in four runs with a homer.

San Diego is on the road today, taking on the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 16-18. They have won two straight games and are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they are 8-8 against other teams in the NL West.

The Padres closed out their series vs. the Reds with two straight wins to take the series 2-1. At home, the Padres are just 8-12 this year, but they have been better on the road at 8-6. So far, they have gone 11-10 as the favorite and 5-8 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 5-5-2, and they are coming in with an overall record of 4-6 in their last 10 games.

San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 17-17 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 11-3 ATS. Their average run margin is right at zero for the season, but they have been able to cover the run line in their last two games as the favorite.

San Diego’s over/under record for the season is 18-15, with the average line set at 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 60% of games. The Padres have gone over in two straight games, with their last game against the Reds seeing a combined 10 runs scored. Their games have averaged a combined 9.6 runs per game this season.

Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Padres today. Cease took the loss in his last outing, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Cease has made four quality starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 2.78 ERA. Opponents are batting .142 this year off Cease, and his WHIP is currently .87. For the season, Cease has allowed two homers and is averaging 10.09 strikeouts per nine innings.

San Diego has been one of the league’s most productive offenses so far this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (9th) and batting a collective .250, which is the 6th best mark in the league. They have also been a good home run hitting team, as their 34 homers is the 7th best mark in the league. The Padres have been especially good on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been swinging a hot bat for the Padres, hitting .342 for the season and .432 over his last 10 games. During this stretch, he has two homers and eight RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has also been hot of late, going 10/35 over his last nine games with two homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .265 with five homers.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona closed out their series vs. the Dodgers with a tough 8-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were the +121 underdog at home. Things really got away from the Diamondbacks in the 2nd inning, as the Dodgers scored five runs in the inning. Arizona’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.

Jordan Montgomery got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the Diamondbacks had seven hits but only scored one run. Joc Pederson was hot at thejson, going 3/4 with a run scored.

Arizona opens their series vs. the Padres at home, and they are 4th in the NL West, 5.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 14-18 and have an 8-6 record in the division. Arizona lost the series vs. the Dodgers, dropping two of three games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 8-8 this year compared to 6-10 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 15 games, going 8-7 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 6-11 this season. Arizona’s overall series record is 3-6-1, and they have dropped three straight series.

The Diamondbacks have been a solid run line bet this season, going 15-17 overall. They are 8-8 against the run line at home and 7-9 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 6-9 against the run line, while they are 9-8 as the underdog. Their average run margin for the season is +0.6 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 3.1 runs per game in their losses.

The Diamondbacks have had a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 13-18. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 3-4. In their last 10 games, the over has hit in 5 of them.

Slade Cecconi will be making his first start of the season at home for the Diamondbacks, as they take on the Padres. Cecconi has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his first outing and taking a tough-luck loss in his last start. In that outing, he went 6 innings, striking out 8, and only allowing 3 hits.

Arizona’s offense has been one of the better units in the league so far, averaging 5.1 runs per game (6th) and batting a collective .249, which is 7th in the league. They also have a good team on-base percentage and have been good at avoiding strikeouts. At home, they are averaging 5.4 runs per contest, which is the 3rd best mark in the league.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat for the Diamondbacks, going 8/23 in his last seven games with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .276 with a team-high seven homers. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Ketel Marte are also tied for 2nd on the team with five homers apiece.