Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/5/25
The Bears and Packers will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th at Lambeau Field. The Packers are heavily favored at -480 on the money line and -10 on the point spread. This week 18 NFC North matchup is being televised on FOX, with the over/under line set at 41 points.
CHICAGO BEARS VS GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Green Bay Packers -10
This game will be played at Lambeau Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th.
WHY BET THE GREEN BAY PACKERS:
- We have the Packers winning this one by a score of 26 to 11
- Not only do we have the Packers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -10
- We see this game finishing below the line of 41 points
Will The Bears Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Heading into week 18, the Bears have dropped 10 straight games, leaving them with a 4-12 record. This includes an 0-7 mark on the road and an 0-5 record in the NFC North. Chicago ranks 4th in the division and 14th in the NFC, and they have no chance of making the playoffs. In our NFL power rankings, they are 23rd.
Chicago has a scoring margin of -3.9 points per game and is 8-7-1 against the spread. They are 3-1 ATS as favorites and 5-6-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-10, with their games averaging 39.6 points compared to the line of 43.1.
Heading into week 18, the Bears sit 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (287.2) and 26th in points per game (17.9). Chicago ranks 13th in passing attempts but is 29th in passing yards per game, with 184.1. On the ground, they are 19th in rushing attempts and 25th in rushing yards per game (103.2). The Bears have struggled on third down, converting just 31.8% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. Despite being 21st in red zone attempts, they have converted 44.4% of their chances, ranking 2nd in the NFL.
In week 17, the Bears were shut out in the first, third, and fourth quarters, scoring just 3 points in the second quarter of their 6-3 loss to the Seahawks. Caleb Williams threw for 122 yards on 16/28 passing, with one interception and no touchdowns, while being sacked 7 times. D’Andre Swift led the team with 53 rushing yards on 12 carries, and DJ Moore had 6 receptions for 54 yards.
In their 6-3 loss to the Seahawks, the Bears’ defense gave up just 143 passing yards on 17 completions. However, they struggled against the run, allowing 122 yards on just 25 attempts, with Seattle gaining 4.9 yards per attempt on the ground. Chicago’s defense also forced three sacks and held Seattle to a 38.5% third-down conversion rate.
Despite their strong effort against the pass, the Bears’ defense couldn’t keep Seattle out of field goal range, as they managed only three points in the game. Chicago’s defense also lost the tackles for loss battle, with a differential of -5 in the game.
Are The Packers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
With an 11-5 record, the Packers have a 100% chance of making the playoffs, but they can no longer win the NFC North. Despite their division struggles (1-4), they rank 3rd in our power rankings. Green Bay is 8-7-1 against the spread, with a +7.8 scoring margin.
In week 17, the Packers lost 27-25 to the Vikings, ending their 3-game winning streak. They had a dominant 34-0 win over the Saints in week 16 and a 17-point victory over the Seahawks in week 15.
Heading into week 18, the Packers are 8th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 27.4 points per game. They rank 7th in the NFL with 370.7 yards per game, and despite being 29th in passing attempts, they are 12th in passing yards per game. On the ground, Green Bay ranks 6th in rushing attempts and 5th in rushing yards per game with 144.6. They are 11th in the league in 3rd-down conversions and 27th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 3rd in red zone attempts.
In week 17, Jordan Love threw for 185 yards (19/30) and a touchdown without an interception against the Vikings. Josh Jacobs had 69 rushing yards on 17 carries, and Romeo Doubs led the receivers with 58 yards on 7 catches. Green Bay scored 15 points in the 4th quarter and converted 8 of 14 3rd-down attempts, while going 3/4 in the red zone.
In their 27-25 loss to the Vikings, the Packers allowed 372 passing yards and 69 rushing yards on just 26 attempts. The Packers’ defense gave up 441 total yards, with Minnesota converting on 50% of their third down attempts. They also allowed three passing touchdowns and struggled to contain the Vikings’ passing game, as Minnesota completed 76.7% of their passes.
Despite allowing just 69 rushing yards, the Packers’ inability to stop the Vikings’ passing attack was a key factor in their defensive performance. They only managed one sack and allowed 372 yards through the air, including big plays that led to three passing touchdowns.