The Bears and Dolphins are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Dolphins will host the game at Swisher Gymnasium in Jacksonville, FL. The over/under for this Atlantic Sun conference contest is set at 147.5 points, with Jacksonville being favored by -7 at home against Central Arkansas.


The Pick: Jacksonville Dolphins -7

This game will be played at Swisher Gymnasium at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-65 in favor of the Dolphins.
  • Not only will Jacksonville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will Central Arkansas Be The Talk of Swisher Gymnasium?

Central Arkansas enters this game with an 8-17 overall record, including a 4-13 non-conference record and a 4-4 Atlantic Sun record. They are 3-10 on the road this season and have lost two straight games.

For the year, they have been the underdog in 21 of their 25 games, going 6-15 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is -14.3 points per game.

As the underdog, Central Arkansas has gone 11-9-1 vs. the spread this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-6 and their last 10 road ATS record is 5-5. In their last 5 games as the underdog, the Bears are just 1-4 vs. the spread.

The over/under record for Central Arkansas games this season is 10-11-1 and today's line of 147.5 is in line with the average OU line in their games this year (152). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points compared to their season average of 152.

In contrast to their season average of 72.6 points per game, the Central Arkansas had a below average performance. They scored 59 points against Florida Gulf Coast and had a field goal percentage of 34.8%. On offense, Central Arkansas has been struggling with their efficiency, coming into today's game with a field goal percentgage of 41%. So far, they are 230th in free-throws made on a free throw shooting percentage of 73%.

At present, the Bears' defense is nationally ranked 296th, allowing 78.4 points per game. In their previous game vs. Florida Gulf Coast, the Eagles finished with a field goal percentage of 34% and a total of 82 points vs. Central Arkansas.

Will the Dolphins Find a Way to Win at Home?

So far this season, Jacksonville has been much better at home than on the road. They come into this game with a record of 6-1 at home compared to 2-11 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +8.6 compared to -15.9 on the road.

Overall, the Dolphins are 11-12, including a 2-7 record in the Atlantic Sun. They are coming off a tough 84-82 loss to Lipscomb and have gone 4-1 in their last five home games.

As the favorite this season, Jacksonville has gone 4-3 against the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 8-12. At home, the Dolphins have a 5-2 ATS record this year and they are 2-1 ATS in their last three games at home.

So far this season, the over/under record for Jacksonville is 14-6. On average, their games have finished with 147.2 points compared to an average over/under line of 141.9, resulting in an average margin of 5.2 points. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.

Jacksonville's offense had a good outing, putting up 82 points against Lipscomb. They achieved a 48.5% field goal percentage and went 9/15 from the free-throw line. Robert McCray led the team in scoring, putting up 22 points. Additionally, Jarius Cook contributed 17 points for the Dolphins.

Coming into today's game, the Jacksonville defense is giving up an average of 73.8 points per contest. In today's game vs. Central Arkansas, the Jacksonville defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Jacksonville made 19 free-throws vs. the Dolphins.