Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Mustangs and Aggies. The game is starting at 5:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Aggies at University Credit Union Center in Davis, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this Big West conference game currently have the Aggies as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 134 points.

CAL POLY MUSTANGS VS UC DAVIS AGGIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +11.5

This game will be played at University Credit Union Center at 5:00 ET on Saturday, December 30th.

WHY BET THE CAL POLY MUSTANGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Even though we have UC Davis winning straight-up, we like Cal Poly at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can Cal Poly Lock in a Road Win?

Cal Poly will face UC Davis in their 14th game of the season. They currently hold a 4-9 record. In their last ten road games, which includes games from last year, Cal Poly has a record of 2-8. As of now, Cal Poly holds a 6-6 record against the spread for the season. In their previous five games, the team is 2-3 ATS.

Looking at their over/under performance through 13 games, Cal Poly has an over/under record of 6-5-1, with their games averaging 138.2 points per game on average. The Mustangs' last five games have culminated with an average of 130 points per game and an over/under record of 2-2-1.

Cal Poly recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 73 points against CSUN. This output exceeded their season average of 65.7 points per game. The top scorer for the Mustangs was Kobe Sanders with 33 points, while Jarred Hyder also chipped in with 15 points.

On the defensive side, Cal Poly is currently hovering around the NCAA's average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.8 points per game. In today's game vs. UC Davis, the Cal Poly defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Cal Poly made 27 free-throws vs. the Mustangs.

Can the Aggies Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

After defeating UC Santa Barbara 76-62, UC Davis now has a 6-6 record. In away games, the Aggies are 1-3, while they are 3-3 at home. UC Davis currently has an ATS record of 4-6, which is below .500. In their last ten games, UC Davis is 2-2 vs. the spread.

After 12 games, UC Davis has an over/under record of 3-7-0, with their games averaging a combined 140.6 points per game so far. In their most recent three games, the Aggies' over/under record is 0-2, with their games averaging 136 points per game.

In their previous game, the Aggies' offense finished with 76 points, which is right in line with their current average of 72.2 points per contest. Offensively, the Aggies hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 182nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 139th in terms of percentage and 219th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Aggies' defense is positioned 89th in the country, permitting 67.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. UC Santa Barbara, the Gauchos finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 62 points vs. UC Davis.