The Mustangs and Beach are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Beach will host the game at Walter Pyramid in Long Beach, CA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 144.5 points, and Long Beach State is favored by -14.5 to win at home against Cal Poly.


The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +14.5

This game will be played at Walter Pyramid at 7:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Beach.
  • Even though we have Long Beach State winning straight-up, we like Cal Poly at +14.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will Cal Poly Be The Talk of Walter Pyramid?

Cal Poly will look to snap their 12-game losing streak tonight against Long Beach State. The Mustangs are 4-20 overall and 0-12 in Big West play. They have gone 3-20 as the underdog this season.

Cal Poly is 1-12 on the road this season, with an average scoring differential of -14.2 points per game. Their last win away from home came over a month ago, and they have lost 10 straight on the road.

When looking at Cal Poly's ATS record this season, they are currently 10-13. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-8 and their last three road games, they have gone 1-2 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Mustangs have gone 3-2 ATS in their last five games and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Cal Poly's over/under record for the season is 10-11-2 and the average scoring total in their games is 134.7 points. Today's over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (134.3) and 15 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1 and the average scoring total is 128 points.

In their most recent game, the Cal Poly offense put up just 65 points vs. the CSUN Matadors. Overall, they are now averaging 62.7 points per game which is 471st in the country. On the offensive front, the Mustangs have a season-long field goal percentage of 39%, ranking 386th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 316th in terms of percentage and 327th in three-pointers made.

On defense, Cal Poly is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.4 points per game. In today's game vs. Long Beach State, the Cal Poly defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Cal Poly made 16 free-throws vs. the Mustangs.

Can Long Beach State Secure a Home Victory?

Long Beach State has been better at home this season, going 4-2 compared to their 8-7 record on the road. They have been favored in 13 of their 23 games, going 8-5 in those contests.

The Beach are coming off a win over California-San Diego, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

Long Beach State has an ATS record of 10-11 this season and a mark of 5-8 vs. the spread when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Beach are 5-5 ATS. At home, they have gone 3-3 vs. the spread this year and are 4-4 in their last 10 home games ATS.

Long Beach State's over/under record for the season is 14-7, and today's line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (152.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 145 points. Over their last five games, the OU record is 3-2, and the average scoring total is 143 points.

Long Beach State's offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 85 points against California-San Diego. They had an overall field goal percentage of 47.5% and made 19/24 free throws. Leading the team in scoring was Marcus Tsohonis with 18 points. Jadon Jones also added 16 points for the Beach.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Long Beach State is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 76.4 points per game (272nd). In their previous game vs. California-San Diego, the Tritons finished with a field goal percentage of 47% and a total of 76 points vs. Long Beach State.