Looking to win big? The Mustangs and Rainbow Warriors face off at 11:59 ET on None. The Rainbow Warriors are hosting the game at Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, HI. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 126.5 points, and Hawaii is favored by -14 to win at home against Cal Poly.


The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +14

This game will be played at Stan Sheriff Center at 11:59 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Rainbow Warriors.
  • Even though we have Hawaii winning straight-up, we like Cal Poly at +14.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 126.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Mustangs Find a Way to Win in Honolulu?

Cal Poly is coming off a 54-51 loss to Cal State Fullerton, and they have lost eight straight games overall. The Mustangs are 4-16 this season, including 0-8 in Big West play.

On the road, Cal Poly is just 1-10 this season, and they have lost their last eight games away from home. For the year, the Mustangs have an average scoring margin of -14.6 points per game on the road.

Cal Poly has an ATS record of 8-11 this season and they are 4-7 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last three road games, the Mustangs are 0-3 ATS and they have gone 1-2 vs. the spread as the underdog.

Cal Poly's over/under record for the season is 8-10-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 134.6. Today's over/under line of 126.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (134.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 123 points, and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.

Compared to their season average of 62.8 points per game, Cal Poly struggled in their previous game. Against Cal State Fullerton, the Mustangs scored 51 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 37.7%. Coming into the game, the Mustangs offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 30%. On average, they get up 17.6 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 12.6 made free-throws.

Cal Poly's defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.2 points per game. The Cal Poly defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 54 points and allowed Cal State Fullerton to connect on 4 threes.

Can the Rainbow Warriors Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

After a 78-61 loss to UC Santa Barbara, Hawaii is looking to snap a three-game losing streak. The Rainbow Warriors are 10-10 this season, including a 2-6 record in Big West play.

At home, Hawaii is 5-6 this season, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 4-6. For the season, the Rainbow Warriors have been the favorite in 12 of their 20 games, going 8-4 in those contests.

So far this season, Hawaii has an ATS record of 6-12. At home, their ATS mark is 3-8. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Rainbow Warriors have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 126.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Hawaii's games this season (139.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Compared to their season average of 70 points per game, Hawaii struggled in their previous game. Against UC Santa Barbara, the Rainbow Warriors scored 61 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 42.3%. Noel Coleman is leading the team in scoring at 13.2 points per contest. Bernardo Da Silva has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 10.8 going into the game.

This season, the Hawaii defense has been impressive, holding the 65th position in the country while permitting an average of 67.2 points per contest. Against UC Santa Barbara in their most recent game, the Hawaii defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing UC Santa Barbara to hit 42% of their shots.